MLB Total Picks and Bets: Guardians vs Rays - 7/12
- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 11, 2024, 3:37:14 PM
MLB Total Picks and Bets: Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays - 7/12
Read our expert total picks for the Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays game on July 12. Get the latest odds, betting trends, and in-depth team analysis.
Game Summary
The Cleveland Guardians will visit the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida on July 12. The Guardians, with a record of 45-47, have had an inconsistent season and are looking to find some stability. They rank 20th in hits and 26th in runs, indicating some struggles on offense. Their pitching has been slightly better, with a team ERA of 4.31, ranked 22nd overall.
On the other hand, the Tampa Bay Rays are having an excellent season with a 57-34 record. They rank 8th in runs scored and have a solid team ERA of 3.72, ranking 8th in the league. The Rays have been dominant at home with a 30-11 record at Tropicana Field. This game will feature Taj Bradley (3-4, 3.23 ERA) on the mound for the Guardians against Carlos Carrasco (3-6, 5.22 ERA) for the Rays.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 7.5 | -122 |
| Under 7.5 | 100 |
| Cleveland Guardians | -122 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 100 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Carrasco (TBR) | 3-6 | 5.22 | 1.36 | 81.0 | 85 | 65 | 25 | 14 |
| Taj Bradley (CLE) | 3-4 | 3.23 | 1.13 | 61.1 | 47 | 77 | 22 | 10 |
Team Previews
Cleveland Guardians
Hitting: The Guardians rank 20th in hits (723) and 26th in runs (365), with a team batting average of .235 (21st). Their offensive struggles are evident, and they will need to improve if they want to compete against top teams like the Rays.
Relief Pitching: The Guardians’ bullpen has been decent, with 28 saves (Tied-5th) and an ERA of 4.31 (22nd). They will need their relievers to perform well to support their struggling offense.
Fielding: The Guardians have committed 43 errors this season, ranking them Tied-24th in the league. Improved defense could help alleviate some of the pressure on their pitching staff.
Starting Pitchers: Taj Bradley will start for the Guardians. With a 3.23 ERA and 77 strikeouts in 61.1 innings, Bradley has been a bright spot in an otherwise inconsistent rotation.
Tampa Bay Rays
Hitting: The Rays rank 18th in hits (743) and 8th in runs (449), with a team batting average of .246 (13th). Their offense has been one of their strengths this season.
Relief Pitching: The Rays’ bullpen has been excellent, with 33 saves (2nd) and a team ERA of 3.72 (8th). They have reliable options to close out games.
Fielding: The Rays have committed 45 errors this season, ranking Tied-21st in the league. Their solid defense complements their strong pitching and hitting.
Starting Pitchers: Carlos Carrasco will start for the Rays. Despite his 5.22 ERA, Carrasco has the experience and capability to deliver a strong performance.
Team Injuries
Cleveland Guardians
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 23 |
Tampa Bay Rays
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
| Wander Franco | SS | Personal | Out for the season |
Betting Trends
- Guardians are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- Rays are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- Guardians are 21-21 on the road this season.
- Rays are 30-11 at home this season.
- Over is 5-5 in Guardians’ last 10 games.
- Over is 6-4 in Rays’ last 10 games.
Recent Games
Cleveland Guardians
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Detroit | 1-0 | L |
| @ Detroit | 9-8 | W |
| @ Detroit | 5-4 | L |
| @ Detroit | 10-1 | L |
| vs San Francisco | 5-4 | W |
Tampa Bay Rays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs New York Yankees | 2-1 | L |
| vs New York Yankees | 5-3 | W |
| @ Texas | 13-2 | L |
| @ Texas | 4-3 | L |
| @ Texas | 3-0 | L |
Team Rankings
| Category | Cleveland Guardians | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 21st (.235 AVG) | 13th (.246 AVG) |
| Starting Pitching | 22nd (4.31 ERA) | 8th (3.72 ERA) |
| Relief Pitching | Tied-5th (28 saves) | 2nd (33 saves) |
| Fielding | Tied-24th (43 errors) | Tied-21st (45 errors) |
Significant Betting Stats
- Guardians are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- Rays are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- Guardians are 21-21 on the road this season.
- Rays are 30-11 at home this season.
- Over is 5-5 in Guardians’ last 10 games.
- Over is 6-4 in Rays’ last 10 games.
- Rays have a strong bullpen with 33 saves (2nd).
- Guardians' starting pitcher Taj Bradley has a 3.23 ERA.
- Rays' starting pitcher Carlos Carrasco has a 5.22 ERA.
- Guardians rank 26th in runs scored.
Weather
The game will be played indoors at Tropicana Field, so weather conditions will not impact the game. However, there are thunderstorms expected in St. Petersburg with a temperature of 84°F.
Prediction
Pick: Over 7.5 runs
Both teams have shown the ability to score runs, and with Carlos Carrasco's struggles this season (5.22 ERA), it is likely the game will see a decent amount of scoring. Additionally, the Guardians' offense, while inconsistent, has the potential to take advantage of Carrasco's weaknesses. Taj Bradley has been solid, but the Rays' strong offense may still find ways to score. Therefore, the over 7.5 runs is a favorable pick for this matchup.
Photo Credit: © Junfu Han / USA TODAY NETWORK
