MLB Total Odds Tonight: Yankees vs Rays - 7/9

- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 8, 2024, 11:55:48 PM
MLB Total Odds Tonight: New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays - 7/9
Game Summary
The New York Yankees (44-46) will face the Tampa Bay Rays (55-37) at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida on July 9. The Yankees are currently struggling with a sub-.500 record, while the Rays are performing well, holding one of the top records in the league. This matchup features two probable starting pitchers with contrasting seasons. Ryan Pepiot (4-5, 4.40 ERA) is expected to start for the Yankees, while Carlos Rodon (9-6, 4.45 ERA) will take the mound for the Rays. Both teams have shown varying strengths and weaknesses, making this a compelling game for bettors.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Betting Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.0 |
| New York Yankees Moneyline | -110 |
| Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline | -110 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pepiot (NYY) | 4-5 | 4.40 | 83 |
| Carlos Rodon (TB) | 9-6 | 4.45 | 100 |
Team Previews
New York Yankees
Hitting: The Yankees have struggled offensively, ranking 24th in runs scored (359) and 21st in batting average (.235). Key hitters include Yandy Diaz (.270 AVG) and Isaac Paredes (14 HR, 47 RBI).
Relief Pitching: The Yankees possess a solid bullpen, tied for 5th in saves (27). However, the team’s overall ERA of 4.36 ranks 24th in the league.
Fielding: Defensively, the Yankees are tied for 23rd in errors with 42, indicating occasional defensive lapses.
Starting Pitchers: Ryan Pepiot (4-5, 4.40 ERA) has been inconsistent but has the potential to deliver a strong performance. The Yankees' rotation has been a mixed bag, contributing to their mid-tier standings.
Tampa Bay Rays
Hitting: The Rays are a formidable offensive team, leading the league in runs scored (464) and ranking 10th in batting average (.248). Aaron Judge leads the team with a .308 average, 32 home runs, and 83 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Rays have a reliable bullpen, tied for 8th in saves (25) with an overall team ERA of 3.59, ranking 5th in the league.
Fielding: Tampa Bay is strong defensively, ranking 5th in the league with 55 errors.
Starting Pitchers: Carlos Rodon (9-6, 4.45 ERA) has had a solid season, providing stability in the rotation. The Rays' starting pitchers have been consistently effective, contributing to their successful campaign.
Team Injuries
New York Yankees
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gleyber Torres | 2B | Groin | Probable for Jul 9 |
Tampa Bay Rays
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Springs | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Jul 22 |
| Richard Lovelady | RP | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Jul 19 |
Betting Trends
- The Yankees are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- The Rays are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of the Yankees' last 7 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Rays' last 6 games.
- Yankees are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against the Rays.
- Rays are 4-2 SU in their last 6 home games.
Recent Games
New York Yankees
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Boston | 3-0 | L |
| Boston | 14-4 | W |
| Boston | 5-3 | L |
| Cincinnati | 8-4 | L |
| Cincinnati | 3-2 | L |
Tampa Bay Rays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Texas | 13-2 | L |
| Texas | 4-3 | L |
| Texas | 3-0 | L |
| Kansas City | 10-8 | W |
| Kansas City | 4-2 | L |
Team Rankings
| Team | Hitting | Starting Pitching | Relief Pitching | Fielding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | 20th | 24th | 5th | 23rd |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 10th | 5th | 8th | 5th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Yankees are 6-4 in their last 10 games against right-handed pitchers.
- Rays are 7-3 in their last 10 games against right-handed pitchers.
- Yankees are 2-4 in their last 6 games on the road.
- Rays are 4-2 in their last 6 games at home.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of the Yankees' last 7 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Rays' last 6 games.
- Yankees are 6-4 in their last 10 games as underdogs.
- Rays are 8-2 in their last 10 games as favorites.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of the last 10 head-to-head matchups between these teams.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Rays' last 6 games following a loss.
Weather
Mostly cloudy with a temperature of 87°F at game time.
Prediction
Pick: Over 8.0 runs
Considering both teams' offensive capabilities and the recent trends, the total of 8.0 runs seems achievable. The Yankees have seen the total go OVER in 5 of their last 7 games, while the Rays have had mixed results with the total going UNDER in 4 of their last 6 games. Given the potential for scoring from both sides, especially with the Yankees' recent form against right-handed pitchers, the OVER is a solid pick.


