MLB Total Odds: Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays - 7/12

Big Ben Profits
Jul 11, 2024, 10:44:31 PM

MLB Total Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Toronto Blue Jays - 7/12

On July 12, the Arizona Diamondbacks will take on the Toronto Blue Jays at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. This matchup features two teams with contrasting seasons thus far, and it promises to be an intriguing encounter. The Diamondbacks, currently holding a record of 46-47, will be looking to leverage their home-field advantage to secure a win. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays, with a record of 43-50, will aim to turn their fortunes around on the road.

Odds and Betting Lines

Market	Odds
Over 9.0	-105
Under 9.0	-115

Pitching Probables

Pitcher Name	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Ryne Nelson (ARI)	6-6	5.08	54
Yariel Rodriguez (TOR)	1-3	3.68	29

Team Previews

Arizona Diamondbacks

Hitting: The Diamondbacks have been solid offensively, ranking 8th in hits (797), 5th in runs (457), and 8th in batting average (.253). Key players include Christian Walker, leading the team with 22 home runs and 66 RBIs, and Ketel Marte, who boasts a .283 batting average.

Relief Pitching: The bullpen has struggled, with the team ranking 24th in saves (20). This could be a critical factor if the game is close late.

Fielding: Defensively, the Diamondbacks have committed 40 errors, placing them 27th overall. This is an area that needs improvement to support their pitchers better.

Starting Pitchers: Ryne Nelson will start, carrying a 6-6 record with a 5.08 ERA. He will need to refine his approach to keep the Blue Jays' batters in check.

Toronto Blue Jays

Hitting: The Blue Jays have struggled offensively, ranking 26th in hits (711), 25th in runs (372), and 22nd in batting average (.235). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is the standout performer with a .287 batting average, 13 home runs, and 53 RBIs.

Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been slightly better than the Diamondbacks, ranking 18th in saves (21). Consistency from the relievers will be crucial.

Fielding: The Blue Jays have committed 53 errors, which ranks 10th overall. They need to maintain their defensive stability to support their pitchers.

Starting Pitchers: Yariel Rodriguez will be on the mound, entering the game with a 1-3 record and a 3.68 ERA. He will look to capitalize on the Diamondbacks' offensive inconsistencies.

Team Injuries

Arizona Diamondbacks

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Eduardo Rodriguez	SP	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
Lourdes Gurriel	LF	Undisclosed	Probable for Jul 12
Jordan Montgomery	SP	Knee	Expected to be out until at least Jul 19

Toronto Blue Jays

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Bo Bichette	SS	Calf	Probable for Jul 12
Daulton Varsho	LF	Knee	Probable for Jul 12

Betting Trends

Arizona Diamondbacks are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
Toronto Blue Jays are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
Over is 6-4 in Diamondbacks' last 10 home games.
Under is 7-3 in Blue Jays' last 10 road games.
Diamondbacks are 4-6 against the spread in their last 10 games.
Blue Jays are 5-5 against the spread in their last 10 games.

Recent Games

Arizona Diamondbacks

Opponent	Score	W/L
Atlanta	7-5	W
Atlanta	2-6	L
Atlanta	4-5	L
@San Diego	9-1	W
@San Diego	7-5	W

Toronto Blue Jays

Opponent	Score	W/L
@San Francisco	5-3	W
@San Francisco	10-6	W
@San Francisco	4-3	L
@Seattle	5-4	W
@Seattle	2-1	L

Team Rankings

Category	Arizona Diamondbacks	Toronto Blue Jays
Hitting	8th	26th
Starting Pitching	29th	23rd
Relief Pitching	24th	18th
Fielding	27th	10th

Significant Betting Stats

Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the over in 6 of their last 10 home games.
Toronto Blue Jays have hit the under in 7 of their last 10 road games.
Diamondbacks' games have gone over in 53% of their home games.
Blue Jays' games have gone under in 55% of their road games.
Diamondbacks have scored 5 or more runs in 7 out of their last 10 games.
Blue Jays have allowed 4 or fewer runs in 6 out of their last 10 games.
Diamondbacks are 4-6 against the spread in their last 10 games.
Blue Jays are 5-5 against the spread in their last 10 games.
Ryne Nelson has allowed 3 or more runs in 4 of his last 5 starts.
Yariel Rodriguez has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 3 of his last 5 starts.

Weather

The game will be played indoors at Chase Field, so weather conditions will not be a factor. However, it is worth noting that the temperature outside is expected to be around 114°F and mostly sunny.

Prediction

Pick: Over 9.0 runs

Considering the recent performances of both teams and the pitching matchup, the over seems to be a solid bet. The Diamondbacks have shown they can score runs, especially at home, and Ryne Nelson's inconsistency on the mound suggests that the Blue Jays will have opportunities to score as well. Similarly, the Blue Jays' recent games have seen a mix of high and low scores, but their ability to hit the over in road games cannot be overlooked. Therefore, betting on the total to exceed 9.0 runs is a prudent choice.