MLB Total Odds: Brewers vs Twins Prediction 7/21

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 20, 2024, 8:47:01 PM
MLB Total Odds: Milwaukee Brewers vs Minnesota Twins 7/21
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Game Summary
On July 21, the Milwaukee Brewers will face off against the Minnesota Twins at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Both teams have had a competitive season so far, making this matchup an exciting one for fans and bettors alike. The Brewers, currently holding a record of 54-42, have shown consistent performance both at home and on the road. Meanwhile, the Twins, with a 55-42 record, have proven to be formidable opponents, especially at home where they boast a 29-17 record.
The Brewers' probable starting pitcher, Joe Ryan, has had a solid season with a 6-6 record and an ERA of 3.53. On the other side, the Twins will likely start Aaron Civale, who holds a 2-7 record with an ERA of 4.94. Both teams have strong offensive and defensive stats, making this game a highly anticipated one.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 7.5 | -120 |
| Under 7.5 | -102 |
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Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Ryan (MIN) | 6-6 | 3.53 | 124 |
| Aaron Civale (MIN) | 2-7 | 4.94 | 98 |
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Team Previews
Milwaukee Brewers
Hitting: The Brewers are ranked 9th in hits with 827 and tied for 7th in runs with 466. They have a team batting average of .254, which is 7th in the league.
Relief Pitching: With 29 saves, they are tied for 6th in the league. Their bullpen has been reliable in closing out games.
Fielding: The Brewers have committed 45 errors, which ranks them 25th in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Joe Ryan has been a standout with a 6-6 record, 3.53 ERA, and 124 strikeouts over 114.2 innings pitched.
Minnesota Twins
Hitting: The Twins are ranked 8th in hits with 839 and tied for 7th in runs with 466. They have a team batting average of .255, ranking them 6th in the league.
Relief Pitching: The Twins' bullpen has recorded 32 saves, 3rd in the league, showcasing their strength in closing games.
Fielding: They have committed 51 errors, which places them tied for 15th in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Aaron Civale, although struggling with a 2-7 record and 4.94 ERA, will be looking to improve his performance in this game.
Team Injuries
Milwaukee Brewers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Ross | SP | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 24 |
Minnesota Twins
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa | SS | Heel | Probable for Jul 20 |
Betting Trends
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 7 games.
- Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against Minnesota.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota’s last 7 games at home.
- Minnesota is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
Recent Games
Milwaukee Brewers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Minnesota | 3-5 | L |
| @ Minnesota | 5-3 | W |
| @ Chicago | 4-1 | W |
| @ Chicago | 7-8 | L |
| @ Chicago | 2-6 | L |
Minnesota Twins
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Milwaukee | 5-3 | W |
| vs Milwaukee | 3-5 | L |
| vs Philadelphia | 6-2 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | 4-5 | L |
| vs Philadelphia | 3-1 | W |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Milwaukee Brewers | Minnesota Twins |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 9th | 8th |
| Starting Pitching | 18th | 11th |
| Relief Pitching | 6th | 3rd |
| Fielding | 25th | 15th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against Minnesota.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 7 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota’s last 7 games at home.
- Minnesota is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
- Joe Ryan has a 3.53 ERA this season.
- Aaron Civale has a 4.94 ERA this season.
- Milwaukee’s team batting average is .254.
- Minnesota’s team batting average is .255.
- Milwaukee has 29 saves, tied for 6th in the league.
- Minnesota has 32 saves, 3rd in the league.
Weather
The weather forecast for the game at Target Field in Minneapolis predicts intermittent clouds with a temperature of 76°F.
Prediction
Pick: Over 7.5 runs
Given the recent performances of both teams and their respective starting pitchers, we expect a high-scoring game. Joe Ryan has been consistent for the Brewers, but Aaron Civale's struggles for the Twins might open up opportunities for Milwaukee's hitters. Additionally, both teams have shown the ability to score runs and have a strong batting lineup. Therefore, our pick for this game is to go with the Over 7.5 runs.
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