MLB Total Odds Analysis: Brewers vs Pirates 7/11
- A Plus Picks
- Jul 10, 2024, 4:56:04 PM
MLB Total Odds Analysis: Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Read our expert total odds analysis for the Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates game on 7/11. Get the latest odds, betting trends, and in-depth team analysis.
Game Summary
The Milwaukee Brewers will face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin on July 11. This matchup features two teams with contrasting seasons so far. The Brewers have been consistent, holding a strong record and positioning themselves as playoff contenders. On the other hand, the Pirates have had a rollercoaster season, struggling to find consistency. Both teams will be looking to secure a win, making this an intriguing game for bettors, especially with the total set at 7.5 runs.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 7.5 | -110 |
| Under 7.5 | -110 |
| Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline | -110 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline | -110 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Civale (MIL) | 2-6 | 5.18 | 92 |
| Paul Skenes (PIT) | 5-0 | 2.12 | 78 |
Team Previews
Milwaukee Brewers
Hitting: The Brewers' offense has been solid, ranking 5th in hits (800) and 5th in batting average (.255). William Contreras leads the team with a .296 batting average, while Willy Adames has contributed 13 home runs and 58 RBIs.
Starting Pitching: Aaron Civale has struggled this season with a 5.18 ERA, but the Brewers' overall pitching staff has a respectable 3.85 ERA, ranking 11th in the league.
Relief Pitching: The Brewers' bullpen has been a strength, with 32 saves, ranking 3rd in the league. This could be crucial in a close game.
Fielding: Defensively, the Brewers have committed 48 errors, ranking 15th. They will need to be sharp to support their pitching staff.
Pittsburgh Pirates
Hitting: The Pirates' offense has been inconsistent, ranking 22nd in hits (712) and 23rd in batting average (.231). Bryan Reynolds has been a bright spot with a .280 batting average, 17 home runs, and 56 RBIs.
Starting Pitching: Paul Skenes has been outstanding with a 2.12 ERA and a 5-0 record. He will be key to the Pirates' chances in this game.
Relief Pitching: The Pirates' bullpen has 23 saves, ranking 15th in the league. They will need to be reliable to back up Skenes.
Fielding: The Pirates have committed 47 errors, ranking 16th. They will need to minimize mistakes to stay competitive.
Team Injuries
Milwaukee Brewers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Sanchez | DH | Calf | Expected to be out until at least Jul 10 |
| J.B. Bukauskas | RP | Triceps | Expected to be out until at least Jul 10 |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Borucki | RP | Wrist | Expected to be out until at least Jul 10 |
Betting Trends
- Brewers are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- Pirates are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- Brewers are 27-14 at home this season.
- Pirates are 22-23 on the road this season.
- Over is 8-2 in Brewers' last 10 home games.
- Under is 6-4 in Pirates' last 10 road games.
Recent Games
Milwaukee Brewers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Los Angeles | 9-2 | W |
| @ Los Angeles | 5-3 | L |
| @ Los Angeles | 8-5 | L |
| @ Colorado | 4-3 | W |
| @ Colorado | 3-0 | W |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs New York | 8-2 | W |
| vs New York | 3-2 | L |
| vs New York | 5-2 | L |
| vs St. Louis | 3-2 | L |
| vs St. Louis | 5-4 | W |
Team Rankings
| Category | Milwaukee Brewers | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 5th | 22nd |
| Starting Pitching | 11th | 12th |
| Relief Pitching | 3rd | 15th |
| Fielding | 15th | 16th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Brewers have hit the over in 8 of their last 10 home games.
- Pirates have hit the under in 6 of their last 10 road games.
- Brewers are 27-14 at home this season.
- Pirates are 22-23 on the road this season.
- Brewers are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- Pirates are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- Brewers' bullpen has a 3rd best 32 saves this season.
- Pirates' offense ranks 23rd in batting average (.231).
- Brewers' offense ranks 5th in hits (800).
- Pirates' starting pitcher Paul Skenes has a 2.12 ERA.
Weather
Mostly sunny with a temperature of 78°F. Conditions are expected to be ideal for baseball at American Family Field.
Prediction
Pick: Over 7.5 runs
Given the recent performance of both teams, especially considering the Brewers' tendency to hit the over in their home games and the Pirates' struggles on the road, the over 7.5 runs seems a strong bet. The Brewers' offense has been consistent, and while Paul Skenes has been excellent, Aaron Civale's struggles might contribute to a higher-scoring game.
