MLB Total Matchups: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets - 7/28

- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 27, 2024, 11:53:03 PM
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MLB Total Matchups: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets - 7/28
#### New York Mets
### Betting Trends
- Atlanta Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- New York Mets are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 3 of New York's last 5 games.
### Recent Games
#### Atlanta Braves
#### New York Mets
### Team Rankings
### Significant Betting Stats
- Atlanta Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the Mets.
- The Braves are 5-0 in games where they are favored.
- New York Mets have seen the total go OVER in 4 of their last 5 games.
- Mets are 3-2 when Lopez starts this season.
- The Braves are 5-2 against right-handed pitchers.
- The Mets are averaging 4.5 runs per game at home.
- Atlanta's bullpen has a WHIP of 1.45.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the Braves’ last 7 games.
- The Mets have a 67% success rate in save situations.
- The Braves are allowing 4.7 runs per game on the road.
### Weather
- Mostly sunny, with a temperature around 84°F.
### Prediction
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MLB Total Matchups: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets - 7/28
### Game Summary The Atlanta Braves will face off against the New York Mets on July 28 at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Both teams have shown competitive spirit this season, with the Braves currently holding a record of 55-49 while the Mets stand at 55-48. This matchup is particularly intriguing as both teams are vying for playoff positioning in a tightly contested National League. The Braves have been inconsistent lately, struggling to find their rhythm after a series of tough losses. Their recent form showcases a need for improvement in both pitching and hitting, as they currently rank 5th in runs scored but have a subpar team batting average of .249. Their pitching, with an ERA of 4.15, has also left room for concern. Despite these inconsistencies, key players like Francisco Lindor, who leads the Braves with 22 home runs, have the potential to spark the offense. On the other hand, the Mets have shown resilience, particularly at home where they boast a 30-21 record. Their pitching has been strong this season, with an impressive 3.52 ERA, placing them 3rd in the league. Reynaldo Lopez will take the mound for the Mets, bringing a stellar ERA of 2.12 with him. The Mets will rely heavily on him to maintain their strong home form against a struggling Braves lineup. The Braves will counter with David Peterson, who has a solid record of 5-0 this season but has shown vulnerability with a 3.14 ERA. This matchup promises to be a battle of pitching prowess versus offensive firepower, making it a must-watch for fans and bettors alike.Don't miss out on our expert picks and in-depth analysis! Download the KingPin app now for iOS or Android for exclusive insights and real-time updates.
### Odds and Betting Lines| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over | -115 |
| Under | -105 |
| Point Total | 8.0 |
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### Pitching Probables| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reynaldo Lopez (NYM) | 7-4 | 2.12 | 1.19 | 101.2 | 85 | 100 | 36 | 7 |
| David Peterson (ATL) | 5-0 | 3.14 | 1.48 | 48.2 | 49 | 36 | 23 | 5 |
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### Team Previews #### Atlanta Braves - **Hitting:** The Braves have accumulated 884 hits this season, ranking them 9th in the league. They have scored 504 runs, placing them 5th overall. However, their batting average of .249 is a concern, indicating inconsistency at the plate. - **Starting Pitching:** David Peterson has been a reliable starter, boasting a perfect 5-0 record. However, his ERA of 3.14 suggests he can be hit, especially against strong lineups. - **Relief Pitching:** With 28 saves this season, the Braves' bullpen has been somewhat effective, but they need to improve their ERA of 4.15 to close games effectively. - **Fielding:** The Braves have committed 70 errors this season, ranking 3rd in the league, indicating defensive struggles that could lead to unearned runs. #### New York Mets - **Hitting:** The Mets have a total of 825 hits, ranking 18th in the league, with a batting average of .240. Their run total of 428 places them 21st, showing they struggle to generate offense consistently. - **Starting Pitching:** Reynaldo Lopez's exceptional ERA of 2.12 highlights his ability to control games. He has recorded 100 strikeouts over 101.2 innings pitched, demonstrating his effectiveness in limiting scoring opportunities. - **Relief Pitching:** With 26 saves, the Mets have managed to close out games, but their overall pitching needs to improve to support their struggling offense fully. - **Fielding:** The Mets have committed 45 errors, ranking them 27th, which might present opportunities for the Braves to capitalize on defensive mistakes. ### Team Injuries #### Atlanta Braves| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Merrifield | LF | Finger | Expected to be out until at least Aug 1 |
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| H. Bader | CF | Ankle | Probable for Jul 28 |
| K. Senga | SP | Calf | Out for the season |
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs St. Louis | W3-2 F/10 | W |
| vs St. Louis | L9-5 | L |
| vs St. Louis | L6-2 | L |
| vs Cincinnati | L4-1 | L |
| @ New York | L3-2 F/10 | L |
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Miami | L6-4 | L |
| @ Miami | W1-0 | W |
| @ Miami | L4-2 | L |
| @ Miami | W6-4 | W |
| @ New York | W3-2 | W |
| Team | Hitting | Starting Pitching | Relief Pitching | Fielding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | 5th (504 runs) | 21st (4.15 ERA) | 9th (28 saves) | 3rd (70 errors) |
| New York Mets | 21st (428 runs) | 3rd (3.52 ERA) | Tied-14th (26 saves) | 27th (45 errors) |
Given the strong performance of Reynaldo Lopez on the mound with his low ERA of 2.12 and the Mets’ effective pitching overall, I believe this game will be a tightly contested matchup. The Braves have shown inconsistency lately, and with their recent poor offensive performance, it’s unlikely they will break through against Lopez. Coupled with the weather conditions favoring pitching, I am inclined to pick the total to go UNDER.
Specific pick: **Pick: Under 8.0 runs**
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#1
Winnings $78,844
last 30 days winnings ($5,187)
Yesterday winnings ($252)
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last 30 days winnings $0
Yesterday winnings $0
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