MLB Total Lines: Red Sox vs Royals 7/13

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 12, 2024, 7:39:05 PM
MLB Total Lines: Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals 7/13
Photo Credit: © Paul Rutherford-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
On July 13, the Boston Red Sox will host the Kansas City Royals at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. The game is set to showcase two teams with contrasting seasons so far. The Red Sox, currently holding a 51-41 record, are striving to maintain their momentum as they chase a postseason berth. On the other hand, the Royals, with a 51-43 record, are looking to solidify their position in the competitive AL Central.
Boston has been strong at the plate, ranking 8th in hits and 12th in runs scored. Their pitching staff has also been reliable, with a team ERA of 3.65, ranking 5th in the league. However, their fielding has been a weak point, with 67 errors, the highest in the league.
Kansas City has had a decent season as well, ranking 14th in hits and 13th in runs scored. Their pitching staff's ERA of 3.79 places them 10th in the league. The Royals' fielding has been more stable compared to the Red Sox, with only 46 errors, ranking 19th.
This matchup will feature Kutter Crawford for the Red Sox, who has a 5-7 record with a 3.24 ERA, against Seth Lugo of the Royals, who boasts an impressive 11-3 record with a 2.21 ERA. Both pitchers have been key contributors to their respective teams and will look to give their teams an edge in this crucial game.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 9.5 | 103 |
| Under 9.5 | -123 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts | WHIP | IP | H | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kutter Crawford (BOS) | 5-7 | 3.24 | 106 | 1.07 | 105.2 | 85 | 28 | 14 |
| Seth Lugo (KC) | 11-3 | 2.21 | 110 | 1.04 | 122.0 | 98 | 29 | 10 |
Team Previews
Boston Red Sox
Hitting: The Red Sox have been strong offensively, with 803 hits (8th in the league) and a team batting average of .253 (8th). Rafael Devers has been a standout performer, leading the team with a .289 average, 21 home runs, and 58 RBIs.
Starting Pitchers: Kutter Crawford has been solid with a 3.24 ERA and 106 strikeouts in 105.2 innings. The Red Sox's starting rotation has contributed to their 51-41 record, ranking 5th in team ERA (3.65).
Relief Pitching: The bullpen, led by Kenley Jansen with 18 saves, has been effective, contributing to the team's 25 saves (11th in the league).
Fielding: Fielding has been a weak point for the Red Sox, with 67 errors, ranking 1st in the league for most errors.
Kansas City Royals
Hitting: The Royals have been decent offensively, with 771 hits (14th) and a team batting average of .247 (11th). Bobby Witt Jr. leads the team with a .325 average, while Salvador Perez has contributed 16 home runs and 62 RBIs.
Starting Pitchers: Seth Lugo has been exceptional this season, with a league-leading 2.21 ERA and 11 wins. The Royals' starting rotation has been a key factor in their 51-43 record, ranking 10th in team ERA (3.79).
Relief Pitching: The bullpen, with 24 saves (13th in the league), has also played a significant role in the team's success.
Fielding: The Royals have been more stable defensively, with 46 errors, ranking 19th in the league.
Team Injuries
Boston Red Sox
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Slaten | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
| Bryan Mata | RP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 19 |
Kansas City Royals
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Altavilla | RP | Oblique | Expected to be out until at least Sep 18 |
| Josh Taylor | RP | Biceps | Expected to be out until at least Jul 25 |
Betting Trends
- Boston Red Sox are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- Kansas City Royals are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games.
- Boston is 3-2 in their last 5 games at home.
- Kansas City is 4-1 in their last 5 games on the road.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games against Kansas City.
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 9 games against an AL East opponent.
Recent Games
Boston Red Sox
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Oakland | 7-0 | W |
| vs Oakland | 2-5 | L |
| vs Oakland | 12-9 | W |
| @ New York | 3-0 | W |
| @ New York | 14-4 | L |
Kansas City Royals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Colorado | 10-1 | W |
| @ Colorado | 3-1 | L |
| @ Colorado | 4-2 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | 4-2 | W |
| vs Tampa Bay | 10-8 | L |
Team Rankings
| Category | Boston Red Sox | Kansas City Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 8th | 14th |
| Starting Pitching | 5th | 10th |
| Relief Pitching | 11th | 13th |
| Fielding | 1st | 19th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Boston Red Sox have a 51-41 record overall.
- Kansas City Royals have a 51-43 record overall.
- Boston Red Sox are 29-17 on the road.
- Kansas City Royals are 31-18 at home.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games.
- Boston Red Sox's team ERA is 3.65 (5th in MLB).
- Kansas City Royals' team ERA is 3.79 (10th in MLB).
- Kutter Crawford has a 3.24 ERA in 105.2 innings pitched.
- Seth Lugo has a 2.21 ERA in 122 innings pitched.
Weather
Cloudy with a temperature of 85°F. Click here for more details.
Prediction
Pick: Over 9.5 runs
Given the offensive capabilities of both teams and the recent trends of high-scoring games, the over 9.5 runs is a favorable bet. Both teams have shown they can put runs on the board, and while the starting pitchers are solid, the offenses may have the upper hand in this matchup.


