MLB Total Lines and Odds: Reds vs Rockies 7/9

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Jul 9, 2024, 12:03:30 AM

MLB Total Lines and Odds: Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies 7/9

Game Summary

The Cincinnati Reds will face the Colorado Rockies on July 9 at the Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. This matchup features two teams with contrasting fortunes this season. The Reds, with a record of 43-48, are looking to climb back into contention, while the Rockies, sitting at 32-59, are struggling to find consistency.

Frankie Montas will take the mound for the Reds, bringing a 4-6 record with a 4.19 ERA. He will face Cal Quantrill of the Rockies, who has a 6-6 record and a 3.77 ERA. Both pitchers have had their ups and downs this season, and this game could hinge on their performances.

The Reds have had mixed results recently, with their offense showing flashes of brilliance but also struggling at times. Jonathan India leads the team with a .270 batting average, while Elly De La Cruz has been a power threat with 15 home runs. On the other side, Brendan Rodgers leads the Rockies with a .282 average, and Ryan McMahon has been their top power hitter with 14 home runs.

Defensively, the Reds have a solid bullpen, ranking tied-17th in saves with 21, while the Rockies have struggled, ranking tied-25th with just 18 saves. Fielding errors have also been an issue for both teams, with the Reds committing 54 errors (tied-6th) and the Rockies 42 errors (tied-23rd).

Odds and Betting Lines

Market	Odds
Over/Under	8.5
Cincinnati Reds Moneyline	-115
Colorado Rockies Moneyline	-105

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Cal Quantrill (COL)	6-6	3.77	1.33	100.1	95	74	38	12
Frankie Montas (CIN)	4-6	4.19	1.32	77.1	69	62	33	10

Team Previews

Cincinnati Reds

Hitting: The Reds' offense has been inconsistent, ranking 29th in hits (660) and 27th in batting average (.225). However, they are 16th in runs scored (382), indicating they can put up runs when needed. Key players include Jonathan India (.270 AVG), Elly De La Cruz (15 HR), and Spencer Steer (57 RBIs).

Relief Pitching: The Reds' bullpen has been reliable, with 21 saves (tied-17th). Their overall ERA of 3.84 ranks 11th in the league, showing that their pitching staff can keep them in games.

Fielding: Defensively, the Reds have committed 54 errors, ranking tied-6th in the league. This indicates some issues in the field that could impact their performance.

Starting Pitchers: Frankie Montas leads the rotation with a 4-6 record and a 4.19 ERA. He has shown flashes of brilliance but needs to be more consistent to help the Reds climb the standings.

Colorado Rockies

Hitting: The Rockies' offense has been slightly better, ranking 14th in hits (746) and batting average (.244). They are 20th in runs scored (373). Key players include Brendan Rodgers (.282 AVG), Ryan McMahon (14 HR), and Ryan McMahon (45 RBIs).

Relief Pitching: The Rockies' bullpen has struggled, with only 18 saves (tied-25th). Their overall ERA of 5.47 is the worst in the league, indicating significant issues with their pitching staff.

Fielding: The Rockies have committed 42 errors, ranking tied-23rd. Their defensive struggles have been a significant factor in their poor record.

Starting Pitchers: Cal Quantrill has been a bright spot with a 6-6 record and a 3.77 ERA. He will need to be at his best to give the Rockies a chance in this game.

Team Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Stuart Fairchild	CF	Back	Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
TJ Friedl	CF	Hamstring	Expected to be out until at least Jul 19

Colorado Rockies

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Jacob Bird	RP	Groin	Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
Josh Rogers	RP	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Jul 26

Betting Trends

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games.
Colorado is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
Colorado is 1-8 SU in their last 9 games on the road.

Recent Games

Cincinnati Reds

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Detroit	L5-1	L
vs Detroit	L5-3	L
vs Detroit	L5-4	L
@ New York	W8-4	W
@ New York	W3-2	W

Colorado Rockies

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Kansas City	L10-1	L
vs Kansas City	W3-1	W
vs Kansas City	W4-2	W
vs Milwaukee	W4-3	W
vs Milwaukee	L3-0	L

Team Rankings

Category	Cincinnati Reds	Colorado Rockies
Hitting	29th in Hits, 27th in AVG	14th in Hits, 14th in AVG
Starting Pitching	11th in ERA	30th in ERA
Relief Pitching	17th in Saves	25th in Saves
Fielding	6th in Errors	23rd in Errors

Significant Betting Stats

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games.
Colorado is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
Colorado is 1-8 SU in their last 9 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games against Colorado.
Colorado is 2-10 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 9 games against an opponent in the National League.
Colorado is 3-6 SU in their last 9 games against an opponent in the National League Central Division.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games played on a Tuesday.

Weather

Partly sunny with a temperature of 86°F. For more details, visit AccuWeather.

Prediction

Pick: Under 8.5 runs

The pitching matchup between Frankie Montas and Cal Quantrill, coupled with the recent under trends for both teams, suggests a lower-scoring game. Both offenses have been inconsistent, and with the Reds' solid bullpen and the Rockies' struggles on the road, the under 8.5 runs is the recommended pick.