MLB Total Lines and Odds: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/26
- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 25, 2024, 10:13:05 PM
MLB Total Lines and Odds: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/26
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Game Summary
The Miami Marlins will face off against the Milwaukee Brewers on July 26 at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. The Marlins come into this game with a strong record of 59-43, placing them 6th in the league. The Brewers, however, have struggled this season with a 37-66 record, placing them 29th. Both teams are looking to gain momentum as they approach the latter part of the season. Miami has been consistent both at home and on the road, while Milwaukee has had significant challenges, particularly in their home games.
In their most recent games, the Marlins have shown resilience and a fighting spirit, winning 4 out of their last 5 games. The Brewers, on the other hand, have had a mixed bag of results, managing to win 3 out of their last 5 games. The pitching matchup is set to feature Trevor Rogers for the Marlins and Freddy Peralta for the Brewers. Both pitchers have had their ups and downs this season, and this game will be a crucial opportunity for them to make a statement.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 7.5 | -122 |
| Under 7.5 | +100 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Rogers (MIA) | 1-9 | 4.59 | 84 |
| Freddy Peralta (MIL) | 6-5 | 3.88 | 138 |
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Team Previews
Miami Marlins
Hitting: The Marlins have been consistent at the plate, ranking 6th in hits with a total of 883. They have also scored 487 runs, placing them 8th in the league. William Contreras has been leading the team with an impressive batting average of .284.
Relief Pitching: Miami's bullpen has been reliable, securing 35 saves and ranking 3rd in the league.
Fielding: The Marlins have committed 54 errors this season, ranking them tied for 14th. This solid fielding performance has supported their pitchers effectively.
Starting Pitchers: Trevor Rogers, with a record of 1-9 and an ERA of 4.59, has struggled this season. However, the Marlins' overall pitching staff has managed an ERA of 3.74, placing them 8th in the league.
Milwaukee Brewers
Hitting: The Brewers have struggled offensively, ranking 29th in runs scored with 362 and tied for 17th in hits with 811. Jazz Chisholm Jr. leads the team with a .249 batting average.
Relief Pitching: Milwaukee's bullpen has only secured 20 saves, placing them 27th in the league.
Fielding: The Brewers have committed 71 errors this season, ranking them 2nd in the league for most errors. This has added additional pressure on their pitchers.
Starting Pitchers: Freddy Peralta has been a bright spot for the Brewers with a record of 6-5 and an ERA of 3.88. The team's overall ERA is 4.49, ranking them 26th in the league.
Team Injuries
Miami Marlins
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Weathers | SP | Finger | Expected to be out until at least Aug 23 |
| Josh Simpson | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Ross | SP | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 30 |
| Devin Williams | RP | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
| DL Hall | SP | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
Betting Trends
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 home games.
- Marlins are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Milwaukee.
Recent Games
Miami Marlins
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs New York | W 6-4 | W |
| vs New York | L 1-0 | L |
| vs New York | W 4-2 | W |
| vs New York | L 6-4 | L |
| vs Baltimore | W 6-3 | W |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Minnesota | W 8-4 F/12 | W |
| @ Minnesota | W 8-7 | W |
| @ Chicago | L 3-1 | L |
| @ Chicago | W 1-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | W 3-2 | W |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Miami Marlins | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 6th | 17th |
| Starting Pitching | 8th | 26th |
| Relief Pitching | 3rd | 27th |
| Fielding | 14th | 2nd |
Significant Betting Stats
- Marlins are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Milwaukee.
- Marlins are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-2 in Marlins last 7 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 home games.
- Under is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win.
- Brewers are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Marlins are 4-1 in Rogers' last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rogers' last 4 road starts.
Weather
Mostly sunny with a temperature of 81°F. Suitable conditions for baseball, expected to have minimal impact on the game.
Prediction
Given the recent form of both teams and the pitching matchup, the under 7.5 runs appears to be a solid pick. Trevor Rogers, despite his struggles, has shown capability against weaker offensive teams, and Freddy Peralta has been consistent for the Brewers. Additionally, both teams have shown a tendency to hit the under in recent games.
Pick: Under 7.5 runs
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