MLB Total Guide: Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction 7/12

- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 11, 2024, 10:41:57 PM
MLB Total Guide: Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals - 7/12
Game Summary
The Chicago Cubs will face off against the St. Louis Cardinals on July 12 at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. This matchup features two teams from the National League Central division, each looking to gain ground in the standings. The Cubs, with a record of 48-44, are currently ranked 13th overall, while the Cardinals, with a 45-49 record, hold the 19th spot. The Cubs have had a slightly better season so far, but both teams have shown their strengths and weaknesses. The Cubs' Sonny Gray will take the mound against the Cardinals' Kyle Hendricks in what promises to be an intriguing pitching duel.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| Chicago Cubs Moneyline | 100 |
| St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline | -122 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray (CHC) | 9-5 | 3.30 | 1.04 | 92.2 | 72 | 115 | 24 | 8 |
| Kyle Hendricks (STL) | 1-7 | 7.53 | 1.58 | 63.1 | 80 | 47 | 20 | 13 |
Team Previews
Chicago Cubs
Hitting: The Cubs have recorded 761 hits (16th), 378 runs (23rd), and have a batting average of .244 (16th). Masyn Winn leads the team with a .286 batting average. Nolan Gorman is their top home run hitter with 17 homers, and Alec Burleson has driven in 48 runs.
Relief Pitching: The Cubs' bullpen has been impressive, with 34 saves, ranking 1st in the league.
Fielding: The Cubs have committed 46 errors, ranking them tied for 19th.
Starting Pitchers: Sonny Gray has been a standout in the rotation with a 9-5 record and a 3.30 ERA. The team’s ERA stands at 3.98, placing them 15th in the league.
St. Louis Cardinals
Hitting: The Cardinals have 712 hits (25th), 387 runs (19th), and a .231 batting average (23rd). Michael Busch is the team’s leading hitter with a .278 average. Christopher Morel has hit 16 home runs, and Ian Happ leads with 56 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Cardinals' bullpen has 21 saves, ranking tied for 18th in the league.
Fielding: The Cardinals have committed 51 errors, ranking them 13th.
Starting Pitchers: Kyle Hendricks has struggled this season with a 1-7 record and a 7.53 ERA. The team’s ERA is 3.85, which is 12th in the league.
Team Injuries
Chicago Cubs
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Wicks | SP | Oblique | Expected to be out until at least Aug 1 |
| Cody Bellinger | CF | Finger | Expected to be out until at least Jul 21 |
St. Louis Cardinals
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Herrera | C | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 12 |
Betting Trends
- The Cubs are 43-49 on the moneyline this season.
- The Cardinals are 48-42 on the moneyline this season.
- The Cubs have a 40-52 record against the spread.
- The Cardinals have a 46-44 record against the spread.
- The Cubs have a 41-49-2 record on the totals.
- The Cardinals have a 39-47-4 record on the totals.
Recent Games
Chicago Cubs
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Los Angeles | W 5-0 | W |
| @ Baltimore | W 9-2 | W |
| @ Baltimore | W 4-0 | W |
| @ Baltimore | W 8-0 | W |
| vs Kansas City | L 6-4 | L |
St. Louis Cardinals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Washington | W 8-3 | W |
| @ Washington | W 6-0 | W |
| vs Kansas City | L 6-4 | L |
| vs Kansas City | L 8-5 | L |
| vs Chicago | W 8-5 | W |
Team Rankings
| Category | Chicago Cubs | St. Louis Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 16th | 23rd |
| Starting Pitching | 15th | 12th |
| Relief Pitching | 1st | 18th |
| Fielding | 19th | 13th |
Significant Betting Stats
- St. Louis Cardinals have a better home record (25-21) compared to their away record (20-28).
- Sonny Gray has a solid ERA of 3.30, indicating strong performances.
- Kyle Hendricks has struggled with a 7.53 ERA this season.
- The Cubs’ bullpen ranks 1st in the league with 34 saves.
- Chicago Cubs have a balanced record both at home (24-20) and on the road (24-24).
- St. Louis Cardinals have committed fewer errors (51) compared to the Cubs (46).
- Chicago Cubs have scored fewer runs (378) compared to the Cardinals (387).
- The Cubs are 15th in ERA, indicating average pitching performance overall.
- Despite their struggles, the Cardinals' pitching staff has a better ERA (3.85) compared to the Cubs (3.98).
- Both teams have similar overall records, with the Cubs slightly ahead (48-44 vs. 45-49).
Weather
Partly sunny with thunderstorms, with a temperature of 85°F. For more detailed weather information, visit AccuWeather.
Prediction
Given the current form of both teams and the pitching matchup, this game is likely to see a lot of runs. Sonny Gray has been solid for the Cubs, but Kyle Hendricks has struggled significantly for the Cardinals. The Cardinals' bats may come alive against Gray, while the Cubs should be able to exploit Hendricks' weaknesses. With both teams showing inconsistency in pitching and decent hitting stats, betting on the over 8.5 runs seems like a solid choice.


