MLB Total Forecast: Orioles vs Rangers 7/20
- Kingpin
- Jul 20, 2024, 3:32:13 AM
MLB Total Forecast: Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers 7/20
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Game Summary
The Baltimore Orioles are set to take on the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. This game promises to be an exciting matchup as the Orioles look to improve their record of 46-50, while the Rangers aim to maintain their strong performance this season, boasting an impressive 58-38 record. Baltimore's Max Scherzer will be on the mound, bringing his 2.96 ERA and 1-2 record to face off against Texas' Grayson Rodriguez, who holds an 11-4 record with a 3.88 ERA. The Orioles have struggled on the road with a 22-29 record, while the Rangers have been dominant at home, going 30-22. With both teams having key players and notable injuries, this game is expected to be a competitive and closely contested battle.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.0 |
| Baltimore Orioles Spread | -105 |
| Texas Rangers Spread | -115 |
| Baltimore Orioles Moneyline | -105 |
| Texas Rangers Moneyline | -115 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer (BAL) | 1-2 | 2.96 | 23 |
| Grayson Rodriguez (TEX) | 11-4 | 3.88 | 112 |
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Team Previews
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles have had a challenging season, currently holding a 46-50 record. Their hitting has been middle-of-the-pack, ranking 16th in hits with 779 and 17th in runs scored with 414. Baltimore's batting average sits at .241, ranking 18th. Pitching-wise, they have an ERA of 3.98, ranking 15th, and have recorded 19 saves, placing them 26th in the league. Defensively, the Orioles have committed 43 errors, ranking 27th. Key players for the Orioles include Josh Smith, who leads the team with a .293 batting average, Corey Seager with 18 home runs, and Marcus Semien with 51 RBIs.
Texas Rangers
The Rangers have been one of the top teams this season with a 58-38 record. They are strong offensively, ranking 6th in hits with 838 and 5th in runs with 474. Their batting average of .253 places them 9th in the league. Texas' pitching staff has been solid, with an ERA of 3.71, ranking 6th, and they have recorded 31 saves, tied for 4th. Defensively, the Rangers have committed 44 errors, ranking 26th. Key players for the Rangers include Gunnar Henderson, who leads the team with a .286 batting average and 28 home runs, and Marcus Semien, who has 63 RBIs.
Team Injuries
Baltimore Orioles
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Coulombe | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Sep 1 |
| Heston Kjerstad | LF | Concussion | Expected to be out until at least Jul 20 |
Texas Rangers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
| Dane Dunning | SP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 22 |
Betting Trends
- Baltimore is 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- Texas is 7-3 in their last 10 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas' last 6 games.
- Baltimore is 2-4 in their last 6 road games.
- Texas is 4-2 in their last 6 home games.
- Baltimore is 1-4 in their last 5 games against Texas.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of the last 6 meetings between these teams.
- Baltimore's bullpen ranks 26th in saves.
- Texas' bullpen ranks 4th in saves.
Recent Games
Baltimore Orioles
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Toronto Blue Jays | 4-2 | W |
| New York Yankees | 3-5 | L |
| Boston Red Sox | 6-7 | L |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 3-4 | L |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 7-3 | W |
Texas Rangers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels | 5-3 | W |
| Houston Astros | 2-6 | L |
| Seattle Mariners | 8-7 | W |
| Oakland Athletics | 6-2 | W |
| Los Angeles Angels | 4-3 | W |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Baltimore Orioles | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 16th | 6th |
| Starting Pitching | 15th | 6th |
| Relief Pitching | 26th | 4th |
| Fielding | 27th | 26th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Baltimore is 58-38 against the moneyline this season.
- Texas is 58-38 against the moneyline this season.
- Baltimore is 51-45 against the spread this season.
- Texas is 42-54 against the spread this season.
- The total has gone over in 47 of Baltimore's games this season.
- The total has gone over in 37 of Texas' games this season.
- Baltimore's bullpen ranks 26th in saves.
- Texas' bullpen ranks 4th in saves.
- Baltimore is 2-4 in their last 6 road games.
- Texas is 4-2 in their last 6 home games.
Weather
The weather forecast for Arlington, Texas on the day of the game is intermittent clouds with a high temperature of 93°F. This could potentially favor the hitters, as hot weather can increase ball travel distance.
Prediction
Pick: Over 8.5 runs
Given the recent performance of both teams, the strong hitting capabilities of the Texas Rangers, and the favorable weather conditions for hitting, we predict that the total runs in this game will go over 8.5. Both teams have shown the ability to score runs, and with Baltimore's inconsistent bullpen, there is a good chance that this game will see a high-scoring affair.
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