MLB Total Expert Picks: Tigers vs Dodgers 7/12

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 11, 2024, 10:28:37 PM
MLB Total Expert Picks: Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Dodgers 7/12
Game Summary
The Detroit Tigers will face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers in a highly anticipated matchup at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. This game is set to commence at 6:40 PM on July 12. Both teams have shown their strengths and weaknesses throughout the season, and this game promises to be an exciting one.
The Detroit Tigers, currently holding a record of 45-49, have had a mixed season. While their hitting has been somewhat average, their pitching, particularly their starting pitchers, have kept them competitive. Tarik Skubal, who will be starting for the Tigers, has been a standout performer with a stellar 10-3 record and an impressive ERA of 2.37. His ability to strike out batters and limit walks has been pivotal for the Tigers.
On the other hand, the Los Angeles Dodgers have been one of the top teams in the league with a 55-39 record. Their offense has been prolific, with key players like Shohei Ohtani leading the charge. Ohtani has been a force to reckon with, boasting a batting average of .314 and leading the team with 28 home runs and 66 RBIs. James Paxton, who will be on the mound for the Dodgers, has had a decent season with a 7-2 record and a 4.24 ERA.
This game will be a test of the Tigers' pitching against the Dodgers' powerful offense. Both teams have had their ups and downs in recent games, and this matchup will be crucial in determining their momentum going forward.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.0 |
| Detroit Tigers Moneyline | -122 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline | 100 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 10-3 | 2.37 | 132 | 0.9 |
| James Paxton (LAD) | 7-2 | 4.24 | 56 | 1.4 |
Team Previews
Detroit Tigers
Hitting: The Tigers have struggled offensively, ranking 22nd in hits with 719 and 20th in runs with 385. Riley Greene has been a bright spot with a .266 batting average and leading the team in home runs with 17 and RBIs with 48.
Relief Pitching: The Tigers' bullpen has been serviceable, with a combined ERA of 3.95, ranking 14th in the league. They have managed to secure 21 saves, tying them for 18th place.
Fielding: Defensively, the Tigers have struggled, accumulating 56 errors, which ranks them 6th worst in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Tarik Skubal has been the ace of the staff, boasting a 10-3 record with a 2.37 ERA. His ability to limit walks and strike out batters has been crucial for the Tigers.
Los Angeles Dodgers
Hitting: The Dodgers have one of the most potent offenses in the league, ranking 6th in hits with 809 and 3rd in runs with 462. Shohei Ohtani has been the standout performer, leading the team with a .314 batting average, 28 home runs, and 66 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Dodgers' bullpen has been solid, with a combined ERA of 3.70, ranking 7th in the league. They have secured 27 saves, placing them 7th overall.
Fielding: Defensively, the Dodgers have been relatively strong, committing 44 errors, which ranks them 23rd in the league.
Starting Pitchers: James Paxton has had a decent season with a 7-2 record and a 4.24 ERA. He has been reliable in eating up innings and providing stability to the rotation.
Team Injuries
Detroit Tigers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Meadows | CF | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Jul 19 |
| Kerry Carpenter | RF | Back | Expected to be out until at least Aug 1 |
Los Angeles Dodgers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brasier | RP | Calf | Expected to be out until at least Jul 25 |
Betting Trends
- The Tigers have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- The Dodgers have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- The Tigers have hit the over in 50 games this season.
- The Dodgers have hit the over in 49 games this season.
Recent Games
Detroit Tigers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Cleveland | W10-1 | W |
| vs Cleveland | W5-4 | W |
| vs Cleveland | L9-8 | L |
| vs Cleveland | W1-0 | W |
| @ Cincinnati | W5-1 | W |
Los Angeles Dodgers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Philadelphia | L5-1 | L |
| @ Philadelphia | L4-3 | L |
| @ Philadelphia | L10-1 | L |
| vs Milwaukee | L9-2 | L |
| vs Milwaukee | W5-3 | W |
Team Rankings
| Category | Detroit Tigers | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 22nd | 6th |
| Starting Pitching | 14th | 7th |
| Relief Pitching | 18th | 7th |
| Fielding | 6th worst | 23rd |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
- The Dodgers are 8-3 in their last 11 road games.
- The Tigers' last 5 games have gone over the total of 8.0 runs.
- The Dodgers have gone over the total in 4 of their last 6 games.
- Tarik Skubal has a 2.37 ERA in his last 10 starts.
- James Paxton has a 4.24 ERA in his last 10 starts.
- The Tigers have an average of 4.5 runs per game in their last 10 games.
- The Dodgers have an average of 5.6 runs per game in their last 10 games.
- The Tigers' bullpen has a 3.95 ERA, ranking 14th in the league.
- The Dodgers' bullpen has a 3.70 ERA, ranking 7th in the league.
Weather
The weather forecast for the game is mostly sunny with a temperature of 82°F. This should provide ideal conditions for baseball.
Prediction
Pick: Over 8.0 runs
Given the current form of both teams, the over 8.0 runs bet looks promising. The Tigers have been scoring well recently, and the Dodgers' potent offense, led by Shohei Ohtani, is always a threat. Additionally, both teams have seen a number of their recent games go over this total. With favorable weather conditions expected, this game could see plenty of runs.
Photo Credit: © Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports


