MLB Total Expert Advice: Mets vs Nationals 7/11

MLB Total Expert Advice: Mets vs Nationals 7/11

MLB Total Expert Advice: New York Mets vs Washington Nationals 7/11

 

Game Summary

 

The New York Mets will host the Washington Nationals at Citi Field on July 11. Both teams are trying to solidify their standings as they approach the latter part of the season. The Mets, currently sitting at 45-45, are aiming to gain momentum and make a push towards the playoffs. The Nationals, on the other hand, have a record of 42-50 and are looking to find consistency in their performances.

The Mets have had a decent season so far, with a balanced home and away record. Their offense, led by Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso, has been consistent, ranking 10th in the league in hits and runs. The pitching has been somewhat of a concern, with the team ERA of 4.25 placing them 21st in the league. David Peterson will be the starting pitcher for the Mets, boasting a 3-0 record with a 3.58 ERA.

The Nationals have struggled with consistency, especially in their pitching department. MacKenzie Gore will take the mound for Washington, carrying a 6-7 record and a 3.83 ERA. The Nationals’ offense has been less productive compared to the Mets, ranking 19th in hits and 18th in runs. However, they have shown some resilience in close games.

This matchup promises to be an intriguing contest, especially given the pitching duel between Peterson and Gore. With both teams having their respective strengths and weaknesses, it will be interesting to see how this game unfolds, particularly with the weather forecast predicting mostly cloudy conditions with thunderstorms.

 

Odds and Betting Lines

 

Betting Market Odds
Over/Under 8.5
New York Mets Moneyline -122
Washington Nationals Moneyline +100

 

Pitching Probables

 

Player W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR
MacKenzie Gore (WAS) 6-7 3.83 1.44 94.0 101 112 34 7
David Peterson (NYM) 3-0 3.58 1.46 37.2 39 27 16 4

 

Team Previews

 

New York Mets

Hitting: The Mets' offense is led by Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso. Lindor has a batting average of .253, while Alonso has hit 18 home runs so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has been effective in driving in runs, with 58 RBIs to his name.

Relief Pitching: The Mets' bullpen has recorded 22 saves, ranking them tied for 16th in the league. Their overall ERA stands at 4.25, placing them 21st in the league.

Fielding: The Mets have committed 61 errors this season, which is the second highest in the league. Their defensive play has been a concern and could be a factor in tight games.

Starting Pitchers: David Peterson will start for the Mets, with a 3-0 record and a 3.58 ERA. He has 27 strikeouts in 37.2 innings pitched.

 

Washington Nationals

Hitting: The Nationals' offense is spearheaded by Luis Garcia Jr., who holds a batting average of .277. CJ Abrams has contributed with 14 home runs and 46 RBIs.

Relief Pitching: The Nationals' bullpen has been more effective than the Mets, with 24 saves (tied for 12th in the league) and a team ERA of 4.06, ranking 17th.

Fielding: The Nationals have committed 51 errors this season, placing them 12th in the league. Their defensive metrics are better than the Mets, which could give them an edge in close games.

Starting Pitchers: MacKenzie Gore will take the mound for the Nationals, with a 6-7 record and a 3.83 ERA. He has struck out 112 batters in 94 innings pitched.

 

Team Injuries

 

New York Mets

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Reed Garrett RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 25

 

Washington Nationals

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Trevor Williams SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 27

 

Betting Trends

 

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York Mets' last 5 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington Nationals' last 9 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York Mets' last 6 games against an opponent in the National League East Division.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington Nationals' last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.

 

Recent Games

 

New York Mets Opponent Score W/L
vs Pittsburgh W 5-2 W
vs Pittsburgh W 3-2 W
vs Pittsburgh L 8-2 L
vs Washington W 7-5 W
vs Washington L 7-5 L

 

Washington Nationals Opponent Score W/L
vs St. Louis L 8-3 L
vs St. Louis L 6-0 L
vs New York W 7-5 W
vs New York W 1-0 W
vs New York L 7-5 L

 

Team Rankings

 

Category New York Mets Washington Nationals
Hitting 10th 19th
Starting Pitching 21st 17th
Relief Pitching 16th 12th
Fielding 2nd 12th

 

Significant Betting Stats

 

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Mets' last 6 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Mets' last 10 games at home.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games on the road.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nationals' last 9 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mets' last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.
  • Mets are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Washington.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nationals' last 9 games against an opponent in the National League East Division.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nationals' last 6 games against the Mets.
  • Mets are 4-2 in their last 6 home games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.

 

Weather

 

Weather: Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms, high temperature of 84°F.

 

Prediction

 

Pick: Over 8.5 runs

Given both teams' recent tendencies to play in high-scoring games and the pitching matchups, this game is likely to see a fair amount of runs. The Mets have consistently gone over the total in their recent games, and with the Nationals also having a tendency to go over, betting on the total to go over 8.5 runs seems like a solid pick.

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