MLB Total Betting Strategies: Red Sox vs Dodgers 7/21
- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 20, 2024, 9:28:50 PM
© Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports
MLB Total Betting Strategies: Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers 7/21
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Game Summary
The Boston Red Sox will face the Los Angeles Dodgers on July 21 at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California. This match-up features two teams with solid records and significant offensive prowess. The Red Sox, with a 57-41 record, have been strong both at home and on the road. The Dodgers, with a 53-43 record, have been particularly formidable on the road, boasting a 29-18 away record. The game is set to feature James Paxton (7-2, 4.38 ERA) for the Red Sox and Kutter Crawford (6-7, 3.04 ERA) for the Dodgers.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | Over 9.0 (-105) / Under 9.0 (-115) |
| Red Sox Moneyline | -105 |
| Dodgers Moneyline | -115 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | Team | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Paxton | Red Sox | 7-2 | 4.38 | 57 |
| Kutter Crawford | Dodgers | 6-7 | 3.04 | 110 |
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Team Previews
Boston Red Sox
The Boston Red Sox have a strong offensive lineup, ranking 5th in hits (846) and tied for 4th in runs (483). Their leading hitter, Shohei Ohtani, boasts a batting average of .316 and has contributed significantly with 29 home runs and 69 RBIs. The team’s pitching has also been commendable, with a team ERA of 3.73, ranking 8th in the league. James Paxton, their probable starting pitcher, has a decent record of 7-2 but an ERA of 4.38, indicating some inconsistencies.
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Los Angeles Dodgers are also impressive offensively, ranking 7th in hits (843) and 13th in runs (447). Rafael Devers leads the team with a .294 batting average, 23 home runs, and 61 RBIs. On the mound, Kutter Crawford has been a standout performer with a 3.04 ERA, making him one of the top pitchers in the league. The Dodgers' team ERA is 3.65, ranking 5th in the league, indicating strong overall pitching performances.
Team Injuries
Boston Red Sox
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vaughn Grissom | 2B | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
| Triston Casas | 1B | Ribs | Expected to be out until at least Sep 1 |
Los Angeles Dodgers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Brogdon | RP | Foot | Expected to be out until at least Jul 20 |
| Michael Grove | RP | Ribs | Expected to be out until at least Jul 20 |
Betting Trends
- Boston Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games.
- Los Angeles Dodgers are 4-2 in their last 6 games at home.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles' last 5 games.
Recent Games
Boston Red Sox
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 1-4 | L |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 5-4 | W |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 2-3 | L |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 6-5 | W |
| New York Yankees | 3-2 | W |
Los Angeles Dodgers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox | 4-1 | W |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 4-6 | L |
| New York Yankees | 5-3 | W |
| New York Yankees | 2-4 | L |
| New York Yankees | 6-5 | W |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Boston Red Sox | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 5th | 7th |
| Starting Pitching | 8th | 5th |
| Relief Pitching | 6th | 10th |
| Fielding | 19th | 1st |
Significant Betting Stats
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles' last 5 games.
- Boston is 5-1 in their last 6 games.
- Los Angeles is 4-2 in their last 6 games at home.
- Boston has a team ERA of 3.73, ranking 8th in the league.
- Los Angeles has a team ERA of 3.65, ranking 5th in the league.
- James Paxton has an ERA of 4.38.
- Kutter Crawford has an ERA of 3.04.
- Boston ranks 5th in hits and tied for 4th in runs.
- Los Angeles ranks 7th in hits and 13th in runs.
Weather
The weather for the game is expected to be sunny with a high temperature of 88°F, which could impact the gameplay and player performance.
Prediction
Pick: Under 9.0 runs
Considering both teams' recent trends and strong pitching, the game is likely to be a low-scoring affair. The Red Sox have seen the total go UNDER in 4 of their last 6 games, while the Dodgers have seen the total go UNDER in 4 of their last 5 games. Additionally, the weather conditions and the presence of top-performing pitchers like Kutter Crawford and James Paxton suggest a tight, low-scoring game.
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