MLB Total Bets: Red Sox vs Royals - 7/12
- Mr Wager
- Jul 11, 2024, 3:40:51 PM
© Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports
MLB Total Bets: Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals - 7/12
Read our expert total (over/under) pick for the Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals game on July 12. Get the latest odds, betting trends, and in-depth team analysis.
Game Summary
The Boston Red Sox will host the Kansas City Royals at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts, on July 12. The Red Sox are currently holding a 50-41 record, while the Royals are slightly ahead with a 51-43 record. This matchup will be an intriguing one, as both teams have shown competitive edge throughout the season. The Red Sox have been strong on the road with a 29-17 record but have struggled at home, going 21-24. On the other hand, the Royals have a solid home record of 31-18 but have a weaker road performance at 20-25.
Currently, the Red Sox are ranked 3rd in the AL East, whereas the Royals are positioned 3rd in the AL Central. The game will be pivotal for both teams as they aim to strengthen their standings in their respective divisions. Both teams have shown prowess in hitting and pitching, making this a tightly contested game.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 9.0 |
| Boston Red Sox Moneyline | -115 |
| Kansas City Royals Moneyline | -105 |
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 5-6 | 3.28 | 1.17 | 109.2 | 91 | 134 | 37 | 8 |
| Undecided (BOS) | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Team Previews
Boston Red Sox
Hitting: The Red Sox have been solid offensively, ranking 9th in hits with 793 and holding a batting average of .253, which is also 9th in the league. Rafael Devers leads the team with a .292 average, 21 home runs, and 58 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Red Sox bullpen has contributed 24 saves, ranking 12th in MLB. Their overall ERA sits at 3.69, ranked 6th, showing a strong pitching performance throughout the season.
Fielding: Defensively, the Red Sox have committed 67 errors, which is the highest in the league, indicating room for improvement in their fielding.
Starting Pitchers: The Red Sox are yet to decide on their starting pitcher for this game, which adds some uncertainty to their pitching strategy.
Kansas City Royals
Hitting: The Royals have been productive at the plate, ranking 13th in hits with 771 and 12th in runs with 432. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the team with a .325 average, and Salvador Perez has hit 16 home runs with 62 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Royals' bullpen has also recorded 24 saves, tying them with the Red Sox for 12th place. Their team ERA is 3.79, ranked 9th in the league.
Fielding: The Royals have committed 46 errors, which places them 19th in MLB, showing a relatively strong defensive setup compared to the Red Sox.
Starting Pitchers: Cole Ragans will be the starting pitcher for the Royals, holding a 5-6 record with a 3.28 ERA and 134 strikeouts this season.
Team Injuries
Boston Red Sox
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vaughn Grissom | 2B | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
Kansas City Royals
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Altavilla | RP | Oblique | Expected to be out until at least Sep 18 |
| Josh Taylor | RP | Biceps | Expected to be out until at least Jul 25 |
Betting Trends
- Boston Red Sox have gone Over the total in 45 of 90 games this season.
- Kansas City Royals have gone Over the total in 38 of 92 games this season.
- Red Sox are 50-41 overall this season.
- Royals are 51-43 overall this season.
- Red Sox are 21-24 at home this season.
- Royals are 20-25 on the road this season.
- Red Sox bullpen has an ERA of 3.69.
- Royals bullpen has an ERA of 3.79.
- Red Sox have committed 67 errors this season.
- Royals have committed 46 errors this season.
Recent Games
Boston Red Sox
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Oakland | 12-9 | W |
| vs Oakland | 5-2 | L |
| @ New York | 3-0 | W |
| @ New York | 14-4 | L |
| @ New York | 5-3 | W |
Kansas City Royals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ St. Louis | 8-5 | W |
| @ St. Louis | 6-4 | W |
| @ Colorado | 10-1 | W |
| @ Colorado | 3-1 | L |
| @ Colorado | 4-2 | L |
Team Rankings
| Category | Red Sox Rank | Royals Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 9th | 13th |
| Starting Pitching | 11th | 8th |
| Relief Pitching | 6th | 9th |
| Fielding | 1st | 19th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Red Sox have gone Over the total in 50% of their home games.
- Royals have gone Over the total in 55% of their road games.
- Red Sox games have gone Over the total 45 times this season.
- Royals games have gone Over the total 38 times this season.
- Red Sox bullpen ERA is 3.69, 6th in MLB.
- Royals bullpen ERA is 3.79, 9th in MLB.
- Red Sox are 50-41 overall this season.
- Royals are 51-43 overall this season.
- Red Sox hitting ranks 9th in MLB.
- Royals hitting ranks 13th in MLB.
Weather
Intermittent clouds, temperature around 83°F. Weather Link
Prediction
Pick: Over 9.0 runs
Both teams have shown strong offensive capabilities and with the current form, the game trends suggest a high-scoring affair. The Red Sox have been consistent in their hitting, and the Royals have also demonstrated the ability to score runs. Given the respective team stats and the over/under line set at 9.0, betting on the Over seems to be a prudent choice.
