MLB Total Bets: Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers 7/21

- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 20, 2024, 9:17:10 PM
MLB Total Bets: Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers
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Game Summary
The Baltimore Orioles will face the Texas Rangers on July 21 at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. This matchup features two teams with contrasting seasons so far. The Orioles are struggling, sitting at a 46-51 record, and are looking to find some consistency. Meanwhile, the Rangers boast a strong 59-38 record and are performing well both at home and on the road.
The Orioles will have Dean Kremer on the mound, who has a 4-5 record with a 4.38 ERA. The Rangers will counter with Andrew Heaney, who has a 3-10 record but a respectable 3.79 ERA. This game is set up to be an interesting pitching duel, and both teams will be looking to their starters to set the tone early.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 8.5 | -110 |
| Under 8.5 | -110 |
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Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer (BAL) | 4-5 | 4.38 | 1.19 | 63.2 | 51 | 64 | 25 | 13 |
| Andrew Heaney (TEX) | 3-10 | 3.79 | 1.25 | 95.0 | 93 | 97 | 26 | 14 |
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Team Previews
Baltimore Orioles
Hitting: The Orioles have been average offensively, ranking 18th in runs scored (415) and 16th in hits (781). Josh Smith leads the team with a .290 batting average, while Corey Seager has been the primary power source with 18 home runs.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been a weak spot for Baltimore, with only 19 saves (26th in MLB). They will need their relievers to step up in high-leverage situations.
Fielding: Defensively, the Orioles have struggled, committing 43 errors (27th in MLB). Improved fielding could help alleviate some pressure on their pitching staff.
Starting Pitchers: Dean Kremer has shown flashes of potential, but his consistency has been an issue. He will need to be at his best against a potent Rangers lineup.
Texas Rangers
Hitting: The Rangers have been one of the better offensive teams, ranking 4th in both hits (849) and runs scored (483). Gunnar Henderson leads the team with a .293 batting average and 28 home runs, while Marcus Semien has driven in 63 runs.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been solid, with 31 saves (4th in MLB). They have a reliable group of relievers who can close out games effectively.
Fielding: Defensively, the Rangers have committed 44 errors (26th in MLB). Improving their fielding could further enhance their overall performance.
Starting Pitchers: Andrew Heaney has been a steady presence in the rotation, with a 3.79 ERA and nearly a strikeout per inning. His ability to limit runs will be crucial in this matchup.
Team Injuries
Baltimore Orioles
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Coulombe | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Sep 1 |
| Heston Kjerstad | LF | Concussion | Expected to be out until at least Jul 20 |
Texas Rangers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Pruitt | RP | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Jul 20 |
Betting Trends
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games on the road.
- Baltimore is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games at home.
- Texas is 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home.
Recent Games
Baltimore Orioles
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Texas | W 9-1 | W |
| @ Tampa Bay | L 5-2 | L |
| @ Tampa Bay | L 4-3 | L |
| @ Tampa Bay | W 5-4 | W |
| vs Boston | L 6-2 | L |
Texas Rangers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Baltimore | L 9-1 | L |
| vs Houston | W 7-5 | W |
| vs Houston | W 5-3 | W |
| vs Houston | L 6-4 | L |
| vs Seattle | W 3-2 | W |
Team Rankings
| Category | Baltimore Orioles | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 18th | 4th |
| Starting Pitching | 17th | 7th |
| Relief Pitching | 26th | 4th |
| Fielding | 27th | 26th |
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Significant Betting Stats
- Baltimore is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games on the road.
- Texas is 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home.
- Texas is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games at home.
- Texas is 10-4 SU in their last 14 games.
- Texas is 13-7 SU in their last 20 games against an opponent in the American League.
- The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Texas's last 11 games this season.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games against an opponent in the American League East Division.
Weather
Partly sunny with thunderstorms, temperature around 91°F. Weather conditions could play a factor in the game's outcome, particularly with potential delays or interruptions.
Prediction
Pick: Under 8.5 runs
Given the recent trends and the pitching matchup, the under 8.5 runs seems to be the more favorable bet. Both teams have shown tendencies for lower-scoring games recently, and the starting pitchers have the capability to contain the opposing lineups. Additionally, weather conditions and the potential for delays could further suppress scoring opportunities.
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