MLB Total Bet Advice: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians - 8/7
MLB Total Bet Advice: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians - 8/7
Game Summary
The Arizona Diamondbacks are set to face off against the Cleveland Guardians on August 7, 2024, at the iconic Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. This matchup showcases two teams with contrasting seasons as the Diamondbacks currently hold a commendable 67-45 record, placing them among the top contenders in the National League West. Meanwhile, the Guardians sit at 61-52, fighting for positioning in the competitive American League Central.
Both teams have had their share of ups and downs as the season progresses, with the Diamondbacks benefiting from a strong offensive lineup that ranks 11th in runs scored (524) and 15th in batting average (.242). Their pitching staff, led by Carlos Carrasco, has performed admirably with a combined ERA of 3.73, ranking 5th in the league. On the other hand, the Guardians have been a force offensively, standing 2nd in the league with 582 runs scored and boasting a solid batting average of .258, placing them 4th overall.
Historical matchups favor the Diamondbacks, but the Guardians are known for their resilience, particularly at home where they have a 31-25 record this season. With both teams aiming for postseason potential, this game is expected to be a tightly contested battle. As we delve into the stats, injuries, and trends for both teams, bettors should keep an eye on the total runs set at 8.0, which presents an interesting opportunity for both over and under bets.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Market |
Odds |
| Over |
-115 |
| Under |
-105 |
| Point Total |
8.0 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher |
W-L |
ERA |
WHIP |
IP |
H |
K |
BB |
HR |
| Carlos Carrasco (ARI) |
3-9 |
5.53 |
1.39 |
99.1 |
107 |
84 |
31 |
17 |
| Eduardo Rodriguez (CLE) |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Team Previews
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Arizona Diamondbacks have built a strong season around their consistent hitting and effective pitching. Leading the offense, Steven Kwan has an impressive batting average of .334 and has shown the ability to get on base, complementing the power of Jose Ramirez, who has hit 29 home runs and driven in 94 runs. The Diamondbacks' lineup ranks 19th in hits with 896 but ranks 11th in runs, reflecting their ability to score when it counts.
On the pitching side, the Diamondbacks have a solid rotation with Carrasco struggling at times but capable of delivering strong performances when needed. Their bullpen has been reliable, contributing to their impressive ERA of 3.73. However, they will be without Merrill Kelly, a key starter, due to a shoulder injury, which may affect their depth.
Overall, the Diamondbacks are known for their aggressive playstyle and ability to capitalize on opponent mistakes, which could serve them well against the Guardians.
Cleveland Guardians
The Cleveland Guardians have shown themselves to be a formidable opponent this season, characterized by a strong offense and decent pitching. Their batting average of .258 ranks 4th in the league, and they have scored 582 runs—ranking 2nd overall. Leading the charge is Ketel Marte, who boasts a .300 average, while José Ramirez plays a crucial role with 28 home runs and 78 RBIs.
However, the Guardians' pitching has been inconsistent as of late. Eduardo Rodriguez, projected to start, has faced challenges that could impact their performance. The Guardians rank 26th in ERA at 4.53, indicating potential vulnerabilities against a potent offense like Arizona's.
With injuries affecting their rotation, the Guardians will need to rely heavily on their hitters to keep the game competitive.
Team Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Player Name |
Position |
Injury |
Injury Status |
| Merrill Kelly |
SP |
Shoulder |
Expected to be out until at least Aug 11 |
| Gabriel Moreno |
C |
Groin |
Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
| Bryce Jarvis |
RP |
Elbow |
Out for the season |
Cleveland Guardians
| Player Name |
Position |
Injury |
Injury Status |
| Matthew Boyd |
SP |
Elbow |
Expected to be out until at least Aug 12 |
Betting Trends
- Arizona is 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Cleveland has gone under in 4 of their last 6 games.
- The total has gone over in 5 of Arizona’s last 7 road games.
- Cleveland is 2-5 in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record.
- Arizona is 6-2 in their last 8 games against Cleveland.
Recent Games
Arizona Diamondbacks Recent Games
| Opponent |
Score |
W/L |
| @ Chicago |
W5-2 |
W |
| @ Chicago |
W3-0 |
W |
| @ Kansas City |
L10-4 |
L |
| vs Pittsburgh |
W4-3 |
W |
| vs Washington |
W17-0 |
W |
Cleveland Guardians Recent Games
| Opponent |
Score |
W/L |
| vs San Diego |
W7-0 |
W |
| vs San Diego |
L7-0 |
L |
| vs Detroit |
W5-4 |
W |
| vs Baltimore |
L9-5 |
L |
| vs Arizona |
L7-6 F/10 |
L |
Significant Betting Stats
- Arizona has a 67-45 record overall.
- Cleveland ranks 2nd in the league for runs scored.
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Cleveland is 4-2 in their last 6 games against Arizona.
- Arizona has hit over in 5 of their last 7 games.
- Cleveland has struggled against teams with winning records.
- Arizona's pitching staff has a combined ERA of 3.73.
- Cleveland has a higher batting average at home.
- Both teams have been inconsistent with the over/under this season.
- Expect runs as both teams have powerful lineups.
Weather
Partly sunny, temperature at 75°F.
Prediction
Given the offensive capabilities of both teams and their recent performances, the total set at 8.0 runs presents a compelling opportunity for bettors. The Diamondbacks have consistently scored runs, particularly in critical situations, while the Guardians are known for their strong batting average and ability to find gaps. With the current weather conditions being favorable for hitting, I foresee a high-scoring game.
Additionally, both starting pitchers have shown vulnerabilities, especially Carrasco with his high ERA of 5.53. This game could easily see both teams reaching the total set. Therefore, I recommend taking the over in this matchup.
Pick: Over 8.0 runs
