MLB Total Best Picks: Orioles vs Yankees Prediction 7/12

A Plus Picks
Jul 11, 2024, 10:35:21 PM

MLB Total Best Picks: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees - 7/12

Game Summary

A highly anticipated matchup between the Baltimore Orioles and the New York Yankees is set to take place on July 12 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. The Orioles, currently holding a record of 57-36, are looking to maintain their strong performance at home, where they have a 29-20 record. On the other hand, the Yankees are not far behind with a 56-39 record and have also been impressive on the road with a 31-20 record. This game features two teams that are leading in various offensive and defensive statistics, making it a must-watch for baseball fans and bettors alike.

The Orioles have been impressive with their hitting, ranking 5th in hits (811) and 2nd in runs (466). Their pitching has also been solid, with a team ERA of 3.62, ranking 5th. The Yankees, however, lead the league in runs scored (469) and are 4th in team ERA (3.58). Both teams have shown resilience and consistency throughout the season, setting up an exciting clash.

The starting pitchers for this game are Cade Povich for the Orioles and Gerrit Cole for the Yankees. Povich has had a challenging season with a 1-3 record and a 6.51 ERA, while Cole, despite his struggles, remains a formidable opponent with a 1-1 record and a 6.75 ERA. This pitching matchup will be crucial in determining the outcome of the game, as both teams possess powerful lineups capable of capitalizing on any mistakes.

Odds and Betting Lines

Market	Odds
Over/Under	9.0 (-112/-108)
Baltimore Orioles Spread	-1.5 (+135)
New York Yankees Spread	+1.5 (-155)
Baltimore Orioles Moneyline	-110
New York Yankees Moneyline	-110

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Gerrit Cole (NYY)	1-1	6.75	1.62	17.1	20	19	8	5
Cade Povich (BAL)	1-3	6.51	1.48	27.2	28	18	13	6

Team Previews

Baltimore Orioles

Hitting: The Orioles have been a formidable force at the plate, ranking 5th in hits with 811 and 2nd in runs with 466. Gunnar Henderson has been a standout performer, leading the team with a .288 batting average, 27 home runs, and 61 RBIs. The team boasts a solid .255 batting average, placing them 6th in the league.

Relief Pitching: The Orioles' bullpen has been reliable with 31 saves, ranking 4th. Their team ERA of 3.62 is also impressive, ranking 5th in the league.

Fielding: Defensively, the Orioles have committed 43 errors, ranking them tied for 24th. They will need to tighten their defense against a strong Yankees lineup.

Starting Pitching: Cade Povich has struggled with a 6.51 ERA and a 1-3 record. The Orioles will need him to step up and deliver a strong performance to counter the Yankees' powerful offense.

New York Yankees

Hitting: The Yankees lead the league in runs scored with 469 and are 11th in hits with 774. Aaron Judge has been exceptional, leading the team with a .304 batting average, 32 home runs, and 83 RBIs. The team has a .247 batting average, ranking 12th.

Relief Pitching: The Yankees' bullpen has secured 26 saves, ranking tied for 8th. Their team ERA of 3.58 is one of the best in the league, ranking 4th.

Fielding: The Yankees have committed 56 errors, ranking them tied for 6th. Their defensive prowess will be crucial in limiting the Orioles' offensive capabilities.

Starting Pitching: Gerrit Cole has had a tough season with a 6.75 ERA and a 1-1 record. Despite his struggles, Cole has the potential to dominate and will need to bring his best against the Orioles.

Team Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Kyle Bradish	SP	Elbow	Out for the season

New York Yankees

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Giancarlo Stanton	DH	Hamstring	Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
Lou Trivino	RP	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Jul 26

Betting Trends

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games.
Baltimore is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home against NY Yankees.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees' last 6 games.
NY Yankees are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against Baltimore.

Recent Games

Baltimore Orioles

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Chicago	2-9	L
vs Chicago	0-4	L
vs Chicago	0-8	L
@ Oakland	6-3	W
@ Oakland	8-19	L

New York Yankees

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Tampa Bay	4-5	L
@ Tampa Bay	1-2	W
@ Tampa Bay	3-5	L
vs Boston	0-3	L
vs Boston	14-4	W

Team Rankings

Category	Baltimore Orioles	New York Yankees
Hitting	5th	11th
Starting Pitching	5th	4th
Relief Pitching	4th	Tied-8th
Fielding	Tied-24th	Tied-6th

Significant Betting Stats

Baltimore is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games.
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home against NY Yankees.
NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against Baltimore.
NY Yankees are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees' last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees' last 7 games on the road.
NY Yankees are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games on the road.
Baltimore is 7-3 SU in their last 10 home games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baltimore's last 10 home games.

Weather

The weather forecast for the game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards predicts thunderstorms with a temperature of 78°F. This could potentially impact the game, especially if there are delays or interruptions due to the weather.

Prediction

Pick: Over 9.0 runs

Both teams feature powerful lineups and have shown the ability to score runs in bunches. The pitching matchup between Cade Povich and Gerrit Cole, both of whom have struggled this season, suggests that there could be plenty of scoring opportunities. Additionally, the over has hit in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games and 4 of the Yankees' last 6 games. With the weather potentially playing a factor and the offensive firepower on both sides, the over 9.0 runs is the recommended pick.