MLB Total Best Picks: Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/28
- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 27, 2024, 11:39:25 PM
Scan to Download the iOS App
Scan to Download the Android App
MLB Total Best Picks: Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/28
Game Summary
The Cincinnati Reds will face off against the Tampa Bay Rays on July 28, 2024, at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Both teams have had their struggles this season, with the Reds holding a record of 53-52 and the Rays slightly behind at 50-54. This matchup carries significant weight as both teams are vying for a stronger position in their respective divisions. The Reds have shown some offensive prowess with a total of 415 runs scored this season, but they rank low in batting average at .234. Their pitching staff holds an ERA of 4.15, which places them in the middle of the pack in terms of run prevention. On the other hand, the Tampa Bay Rays have a slightly better overall pitching ERA of 3.83, but their batting average is a concerning .230. Their recent form has shown a mix of wins and losses, with notable performances in their last few outings, including a recent win against the Reds. Hunter Greene, the Reds' starting pitcher, has been solid with a 7-4 record and a 3.14 ERA, while the Reds' Shawn Armstrong has struggled, posting a 5.64 ERA with a 2-2 record. This game will be crucial for both teams as they look to gain momentum heading into the later part of the season.
Don't miss out on our expert picks and in-depth analysis! Download the KingPin app now for iOS or Android for exclusive insights and real-time updates.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 7.5 |
| Cincinnati Reds Moneyline | +100 |
| Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline | -122 |
Get real-time odds and personalized betting tips! Join KingPin today on iOS or Android for exclusive insights and real-time updates.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Greene (TBR) | 7-4 | 3.14 | 1.09 | 117.1 | 133 | 48 | 10 |
| Shawn Armstrong (CIN) | 2-2 | 5.64 | 1.61 | 44.2 | 49 | 19 | 5 |
Unlock detailed team analysis and insider tips by downloading our app. Join KingPin today on iOS or Android for exclusive insights and real-time updates.
Team Previews
Cincinnati Reds
The Cincinnati Reds have struggled offensively this season, ranking 27th in the league with 415 runs scored. Despite their issues at the plate, they boast a solid bullpen with 33 saves, ranking tied for 4th in the league. Their starting pitching has been average, reflected in their 4.15 team ERA. Key players like Isaac Paredes lead the team with 16 home runs and 55 RBIs, showcasing their potential when they connect.
Tampa Bay Rays
In contrast, the Tampa Bay Rays have had a slightly better season, particularly in pitching, with a 3.83 ERA, placing them 12th overall. Their offense has not been as potent, with only 459 runs scored, ranking 15th in the league. However, players like Elly De La Cruz, who leads the team with 18 home runs and 64 RBIs, provide a spark. The Rays' bullpen has faced challenges, but they remain competitive within their division.
Team Injuries
Cincinnati Reds Injuries
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Burdick | RF | Undisclosed | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 |
| Luke Maile | C | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 |
Tampa Bay Rays Injuries
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Lovelady | RP | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 |
Betting Trends
- The Reds are 4-6 in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record.
- The Rays have won 7 of their last 10 home games against the Reds.
- The total has gone under in 6 of the Reds' last 7 games.
- The Rays are 5-2 in their last 7 games when playing at home.
Recent Games
Cincinnati Reds Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Washington | L 8-5 | L |
| @ Washington | L 5-4 | L |
| @ Washington | L 5-2 | L |
| @ Atlanta | W 4-1 | W |
| @ Atlanta | W 9-4 | W |
Tampa Bay Rays Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ New York | L 6-1 | L |
| @ New York | W 9-1 | W |
| @ New York | W 6-4 | W |
| @ New York | L 9-1 | L |
| @ Toronto | W 4-2 | W |
Stay updated on recent games and team performance Join KingPin today on iOS or Android for exclusive insights and real-time updates.
Team Rankings
| Team | Hitting Rank | Starting Pitching Rank | Relief Pitching Rank | Fielding Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds | 27th | 20th | Tied-4th | 16th |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 15th | 12th | Tied-24th | 4th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Cincinnati Reds are 50-53 against the moneyline this season.
- Tampa Bay Rays are 52-52 against the moneyline this season.
- The Reds have gone under in 46 of their last 100 games.
- The Rays have gone over in 51 of their last 100 games.
- Hunter Greene has a strong record against teams with a losing record.
- Shawn Armstrong has struggled against higher-ranked offenses.
- Both teams struggle to score runs in their recent matchups.
- The total has gone under in 6 of the last 7 games for the Reds.
- The Rays are 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
- The Reds have seen a drop in offensive production on the road.
Weather
Mostly sunny with a temperature of 86°F expected at game time.
Prediction
Given the recent trends and the matchup of these two teams, the prediction leans toward the total going under 7.5 runs. The Reds have been struggling to score, particularly against solid pitching, and with Greene on the mound for the Rays, they will likely find it difficult to generate runs. The Reds' pitching has been average, and with Armstrong's struggles, it’s reasonable to expect a low-scoring game.
Specific Pick: Under 7.5 runs
Get more predictions and expert picks!
Scan to Download the iOS App
Scan to Download the Android App
