MLB Total Best Bets: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers
- Mr Wager
- Jul 28, 2024, 12:07:03 AM
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MLB Total Best Bets: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers
Game Summary
The Miami Marlins are set to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers on July 28, 2024, at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. This matchup sees the Marlins, currently with a record of 59-45, visiting a struggling Brewers squad, which has a record of 39-66. The Marlins have been performing well this season, sitting tied for 8th in runs scored with 489 and boasting a solid .254 batting average, placing them 6th in the league. Their pitching staff has also been impressive, ranked 6th in ERA with a 3.72 mark.
On the other side, the Brewers find themselves in a tough spot, ranking 29th in runs scored with just 374 and holding a .236 batting average, which is 20th in the league. Their pitching has been facing challenges too, as they rank 25th in ERA at 4.48. The starting pitchers for this game include Tobias Myers for the Marlins, who has a 6-4 record and a 3.14 ERA, and Kyle Tyler for the Brewers, who is 0-1 with a 3.92 ERA. This game is crucial for both teams, with the Marlins looking to solidify their playoff position while the Brewers aim to build momentum for the remainder of the season.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| Miami Marlins Moneyline | -105 |
| Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline | -115 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tyler (MIL) | 0-1 | 3.92 | 1.45 | 20.2 | 20 | 15 | 10 | 1 |
| Tobias Myers (MIA) | 6-4 | 3.14 | 1.15 | 77.1 | 67 | 68 | 22 | 11 |
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Team Previews
Miami Marlins
The Miami Marlins have been one of the more surprising teams this season, sitting at 59-45. They rank 7th in hits with 890 and have a strong offensive line led by players like William Contreras, who has a .288 batting average, and Rhys Hoskins, who has hit 17 home runs. Defensively, the Marlins have been solid, and their pitching staff is anchored by Tobias Myers, who not only leads the rotation with a 3.14 ERA but also has a solid strikeout rate. The bullpen has been effective as well, ranking third in saves with 35.
Milwaukee Brewers
The Milwaukee Brewers are struggling this season, holding a 39-66 record. Their offense has been lackluster, ranking 29th in runs scored with only 374. Bryan De La Cruz leads the team with 18 home runs, but overall, the lineup has struggled to produce consistently. On the pitching side, Kyle Tyler has yet to find his footing with a 3.92 ERA. The Brewers' bullpen has also faced difficulties, as evidenced by their 25th ranking in team ERA at 4.48. This game will be critical for the Brewers to regain some momentum.
Team Injuries
Miami Marlins
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eury Perez | SP | Elbow | Out for the season |
| Josh Simpson | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio | RF | Ear | Probable for Jul 28 |
| Bryan Hudson | RP | Oblique | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
Betting Trends
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against NL Central teams.
- Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 games overall.
- The Under is 6-2 in Marlins last 8 games following a win.
- Brewers are 2-5 in their last 7 home games.
Recent Games
Miami Marlins
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs New York | W 6-4 | W |
| vs New York | L 1-0 | L |
| vs New York | W 4-2 | W |
| vs New York | L 6-4 | L |
| vs Baltimore | W 6-3 | W |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Minnesota | W 8-4 | W |
| @ Minnesota | W 8-7 | W |
| @ Chicago | L 3-1 | L |
| @ Chicago | W 1-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | W 3-2 | W |
Team Rankings
| Team | Hitting | Starting Pitching | Relief Pitching | Fielding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins | 6th | 6th | 3rd | 14th |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 20th | 25th | 27th | 1st |
Significant Betting Stats
- Marlins are 37-26 against teams with a losing record.
- Brewers are 23-38 against teams with a winning record.
- Marlins have a 28-19 record in games played away from home.
- Under has hit in 10 of the last 12 games for Miami.
- Milwaukee's games have gone Under in 6 of their last 9 games.
- Marlins are 5-2 in their last 7 games overall.
- Brewers are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a loss.
- Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs a left-handed starter.
- Miami has a strong 3.72 ERA, while Milwaukee's is 4.48.
Weather
Weather: Mostly sunny, temperature at 82°F
Prediction
Pick: Under 8.5 runs
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