MLB Total Analysis Today: Reds vs Rockies 7/11

MLB Total Analysis Today: Reds vs Rockies 7/11

MLB Total Analysis Today: Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies 7/11

Game Summary

The Cincinnati Reds will host the Colorado Rockies at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio, on July 11. Both teams have faced their share of struggles this season, with the Reds holding a record of 44-48 and the Rockies at 32-60. Cincinnati has shown some promise in recent games, winning their last two matchups against the Rockies with scores of 6-0 and 12-6. Meanwhile, Colorado has been struggling, particularly on the road, where they hold a 12-33 record. This game will feature a pitching duel between Hunter Greene for the Reds and Austin Gomber for the Rockies.

Odds and Betting Lines

Bet Type Odds
Over/Under 9.0
Cincinnati Reds Moneyline -105
Colorado Rockies Moneyline -115

 

Pitching Probables

Player W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR
Austin Gomber (COL) 2-5 4.47 1.29 94.2 98 62 24 16
Hunter Greene (CIN) 5-4 3.45 1.14 104.1 76 116 43 9

 

Team Previews

Cincinnati Reds

Hitting: The Reds have accumulated 681 hits, ranking 29th in the league, and have scored 400 runs, which ranks them 16th. They have a team batting average of .227, placing them 27th overall. Key players include Jonathan India with a .270 average and Elly De La Cruz leading with 15 home runs.

Relief Pitching: The Reds' bullpen has managed to secure 21 saves, ranking them tied for 18th in the league. Their bullpen ERA is 3.81, ranking them 10th overall.

Fielding: Defensively, the Reds have committed 56 errors, ranking them tied for 5th most in the league.

Starting Pitchers: Hunter Greene, the probable starter for this game, has a record of 5-4 with a 3.45 ERA and 116 strikeouts in 104.1 innings pitched.

 

Colorado Rockies

Hitting: The Rockies have a better hitting lineup with 760 hits, ranking them tied for 12th in the league. They have scored 379 runs, which places them 22nd. Their team batting average is .244, ranking them 16th. Brenton Doyle leads the team with a .279 average, while Ryan McMahon has hit 14 home runs.

Relief Pitching: The Rockies' bullpen has struggled, securing only 18 saves, tied for 25th in the league. Their bullpen ERA is significantly higher at 5.55, ranking them 30th.

Fielding: The Rockies have committed 45 errors, ranking them tied for 20th.

Starting Pitchers: Austin Gomber, the probable starter, holds a record of 2-5 with a 4.47 ERA and 62 strikeouts in 94.2 innings pitched.

 

Team Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
TJ Friedl CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
Nick Martini DH Thumb Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
Ian Gibaut RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
Matt McLain SS Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
Brandon Williamson SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

 

Colorado Rockies

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Jacob Bird RP Groin Expected to be out until at least Jul 19

 

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of the Reds' last 7 home games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Rockies' last 6 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of the last 10 meetings between these two teams.
  • The Reds are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
  • The Rockies are 2-8 in their last 10 games.
  • The Reds have a 22-26 home record.
  • The Rockies have a 12-33 road record.
  • The Reds are 5-4 in games started by Hunter Greene.
  • The Rockies are 2-5 in games started by Austin Gomber.
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of the Rockies' last 9 road games.

 

Recent Games

Opponent Score W/L
Colorado 12-6 W
Colorado 6-0 W
Detroit 1-5 L
Detroit 3-5 L
Detroit 4-5 L

 

Team Rankings

Category Cincinnati Reds Colorado Rockies
Hitting 29th 12th
Starting Pitching 10th 30th
Relief Pitching 10th 30th
Fielding 5th 20th

 

Significant Betting Stats

  • The Reds are 5-4 in games started by Hunter Greene.
  • The Rockies are 2-5 in games started by Austin Gomber.
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of the last 10 meetings between these two teams.
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of the Rockies' last 9 road games.
  • The Reds average 4.4 runs per game at home.
  • The Rockies average 3.6 runs per game on the road.
  • Hunter Greene has a strikeout rate of 10.0 K/9 innings.
  • Austin Gomber has allowed 16 home runs in 94.2 innings pitched.
  • The Reds bullpen has a 3.81 ERA, ranking 10th in the league.
  • The Rockies bullpen has a 5.55 ERA, ranking 30th in the league.

 

Weather

Partly sunny with a temperature of 81°F.

 

Prediction

Pick: Over 9.0 runs
Upgrade to View Prediction

The Reds and Rockies both have starting pitchers who have shown inconsistency this season. With the Reds averaging 4.4 runs per game at home and the Rockies averaging 3.6 runs per game on the road, combined with the fact that the total has gone OVER in 8 of the last 10 meetings between these two teams, the over 9.0 runs seems to be a strong play. Additionally, Hunter Greene's strikeout prowess and Austin Gomber's tendency to give up home runs add further potential for a high-scoring game. Considering the recent performances and the offensive capabilities of both teams, the over 9.0 runs is the recommended bet.

Winnings $95,870
last 30 days winnings $26,800
Yesterday winnings $0
Top Sport MLB
W-L-D 1506 - 1295 - 105
Winnings % 51%
Winnings $91,965
last 30 days winnings $8,320
Yesterday winnings ($830)
Top Sport MLB
W-L-D 776 - 520 - 14
Winnings % 58%
Winnings $51,760
last 30 days winnings $3,170
Yesterday winnings $0
Top Sport MLB
W-L-D 420 - 283 - 8
Winnings % 58%