MLB Total Advice: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates 7/28
- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 28, 2024, 12:17:37 AM
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MLB Total Advice: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates 7/28
Game Summary
The Arizona Diamondbacks will host the Pittsburgh Pirates on July 28 at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. This matchup features two teams with contrasting performances in the 2024 MLB season. The Diamondbacks currently hold a record of 55-50, ranking third in the National League West, while the Pirates are at 52-52, sitting in a competitive National League Central. Both teams are looking to gain momentum as they head into the latter part of the season.
The Diamondbacks have shown strength offensively with 513 runs scored this season, ranking them third in the league. Their batting average of .253 puts them in a solid position to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Notably, Ketel Marte leads the team with a .296 batting average and 23 home runs, showcasing his capability to deliver in crucial moments.
On the other hand, the Pirates have struggled at the plate, ranking 23rd with only 425 runs scored. Their batting average of .232 further reflects their offensive challenges. Oneil Cruz is a key player for the Pirates, contributing 16 home runs and 52 RBIs, but overall, the team needs to improve its consistency to compete effectively.
From a pitching perspective, Mitch Keller (PIT) has performed admirably with a record of 10-5 and an ERA of 3.34, making him a reliable asset for the Pirates. In contrast, Yilber Diaz (ARI) has had a rough season with a 1-1 record and a 5.40 ERA. This pitching matchup could significantly influence the game's outcome, particularly in determining the number of runs scored.
Overall, this game presents a fascinating clash as both teams strive for victory. The Diamondbacks are favored due to their home advantage and superior offensive capabilities, but the Pirates' pitching could keep the score low.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline | -110 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline | -110 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Keller (PIT) | 10-5 | 3.34 | 1.24 | 121.1 | 119 | 108 | 32 | 13 |
| Yilber Diaz (ARI) | 1-1 | 5.40 | 1.40 | 15.0 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
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Team Previews
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Arizona Diamondbacks have established themselves as a formidable offensive team this season. With a total of 888 hits and 513 runs scored, their offensive statistics rank them among the top teams. Their batting average of .253 reflects their capability to reach base consistently. Key players include Ketel Marte, who leads the team with a .296 batting average, 23 home runs, and 71 RBIs, making him a crucial component of their lineup.
In terms of pitching, the Diamondbacks have struggled with their overall ERA of 4.49, ranking 26th in the league. Yilber Diaz, the probable starter, has a 5.40 ERA, indicating potential vulnerabilities in their starting rotation. Their bullpen has also faced challenges, contributing to their overall performance issues.
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pittsburgh Pirates have had a mixed season, with an overall record of 52-52. Their struggles are evident in their offensive numbers, where they have only scored 425 runs, ranking 23rd in the league. Their batting average of .232 illustrates their difficulties in generating offense consistently. Oneil Cruz stands out with 16 home runs and 52 RBIs, but the team as a whole needs to improve its offensive output.
On the pitching side, Mitch Keller has been a bright spot, boasting a 3.34 ERA and a 10-5 record. His ability to limit runs will be pivotal in this matchup against the Diamondbacks. The Pirates' bullpen has shown resilience, but they need to continue to support Keller if they want to compete effectively.
Team Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly | SP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales | 2B | Groin | Probable for Jul 28 |
| Rowdy Tellez | 1B | Back | Probable for Jul 28 |
| Jared Jones | SP | Lat | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
Betting Trends
- The Diamondbacks have hit the Over in 53% of their home games this season.
- The Pirates have gone Under in 57% of their away games.
- Arizona is 5-2 in their last 7 games against Pittsburgh.
- Pittsburgh is 1-4 in their last 5 games overall.
- The total has gone Over in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games.
Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Chicago | W 5-2 | W |
| @ Chicago | W 3-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | L 2-1 F/10 | L |
| @ Kansas City | L 10-4 | L |
| @ Kansas City | W 6-2 | W |
Team Rankings
| Category | Arizona Diamondbacks | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3rd | 23rd |
| Starting Pitching | 26th | 11th |
| Relief Pitching | 30th | 14th |
| Fielding | 30th | 21st |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Diamondbacks are 54-50 overall.
- The Pirates are 52-52 overall.
- Arizona has averaged 4.5 runs per game at home.
- Pittsburgh has averaged 3.7 runs per game on the road.
- The total has gone Over in 7 of Arizona's last 10 games.
- Arizona is 3-1 in their last 4 home games.
- Pittsburgh is 2-5 in their last 7 games against Arizona.
- Arizona is 5-2 in their last 7 games overall.
- Pittsburgh ranks 26th in total hits this season.
- Mitch Keller has a 3.34 ERA in his last 5 starts.
Weather
Weather for the game: Mostly sunny, temperature at 101°F.
Prediction
Pick: Over 8.5 runs
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