MLB Spread Value Bets: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves 7/9

Preview: Braves bring 3-game win streak into matchup with the Diamondbacks

By Data Skrive
Jul 9, 2024, 04:01 am

Game Summary

The Atlanta Braves (50-39, second in the NL East) are set to face the Arizona Diamondbacks (45-46, third in the NL West) in a crucial matchup at Chase Field, Phoenix, on Tuesday, July 9, 2024, at 9:40 p.m. EDT. The Braves come into this game riding a three-game win streak, looking to continue their dominance over the Diamondbacks, having already won all four meetings between these teams this season. The Diamondbacks, with a 22-22 home record, are aiming to halt their opponents' momentum and improve their overall standing.

The Diamondbacks have shown their capability in offense, particularly when they record at least eight hits, boasting a 38-18 record in such games. However, their inconsistent performance at home mirrors their overall record. The Braves, on the other hand, have been formidable on the road, particularly excelling in games where they prevent home runs, holding a 32-9 record in those situations.

Top performers for the Diamondbacks include Ketel Marte, who has hit 17 home runs with a .281 batting average, and Christian Walker, who has been on fire recently with five home runs and 14 RBIs in the last 10 games. For the Braves, Marcell Ozuna leads with 23 home runs, while Ozzie Albies has also been in good form with two home runs and six RBIs in the past 10 games.

Odds and Betting Lines

Betting Line	Odds
Over/Under	7.5 runs
Spread	Braves -1.5 (-127), Diamondbacks +1.5 (+106)
Moneyline	Braves -127, Diamondbacks +106

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	WHIP	Strikeouts
Chris Sale (ATL)	11-3	2.71	0.91	127
Zac Gallen (ARI)	6-4	3.06	1.11	71

Team Previews

Arizona Diamondbacks

Hitting: The Diamondbacks rank 8th in hits with 782, 5th in runs with 448, and 8th in batting average at .253. Ketel Marte and Christian Walker are key players in their lineup, providing consistent offensive production.

Relief Pitching: The Diamondbacks' bullpen has struggled, ranking 24th in saves with 19 and having a team ERA of 4.62, which is 28th in the league. Injuries have also plagued the bullpen, impacting their overall performance.

Fielding: Arizona has committed 39 errors this season, ranking 27th in the league, highlighting a need for improvement in defensive consistency.

Starting Pitchers: Zac Gallen leads the rotation with a 3.06 ERA and 71 strikeouts. Despite his solid performance, the team needs more support from the rest of the rotation to climb the standings.

Atlanta Braves

Hitting: The Braves are 17th in hits with 727 and 17th in runs with 384, with a team batting average of .242. Marcell Ozuna and Ozzie Albies provide the core offensive power, making them a threat at the plate.

Relief Pitching: Atlanta's bullpen is a strength, ranking 8th in saves with 25 and maintaining a team ERA of 3.41, which is 2nd in the league. Their ability to close out games has been crucial to their success.

Fielding: The Braves have committed 38 errors, ranking 29th in the league, indicating some defensive vulnerabilities that opponents can exploit.

Starting Pitchers: Chris Sale is the ace of the rotation with an ERA of 2.71 and 127 strikeouts, leading a strong pitching staff that has been key to their success this season.

Team Injuries

Arizona Diamondbacks

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Brandon Pfaadt	SP	Ankle	Day-to-day
Jordan Montgomery	SP	Knee	15-Day IL
Blake Walston	SP	Elbow	15-Day IL
Merrill Kelly	SP	Shoulder	60-Day IL
Kyle Nelson	RP	Shoulder	60-Day IL
Miguel Castro	RP	Shoulder	15-Day IL
Eduardo Rodriguez	SP	Shoulder	60-Day IL
Drey Jameson	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL

Atlanta Braves

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Raymond Kerr	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Ramon Laureano	RF	Back	Day-to-day
Brian Anderson	3B	Bacterial Infection	10-Day IL
AJ Smith-Shawver	SP	Oblique	15-Day IL
Spencer Strider	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Hurston Waldrep	SP	Elbow	15-Day IL
Huascar Ynoa	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Michael Harris II	CF	Hamstring	10-Day IL
Ronald Acuna Jr.	RF	Knee	60-Day IL
Jimmy Herget	RP	Shoulder	15-Day IL
Tyler Matzek	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Angel Perdomo	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL

Betting Trends

• The Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 games against the Diamondbacks.
• The Diamondbacks are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• The Braves have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games.
• The Diamondbacks have a 22-22 record at home this season.
• The Braves are 21-22 on the road this season.
• The Braves are 32-9 in games where they did not allow a home run.
• The Diamondbacks are 38-18 in games when they record at least eight hits.
• The Diamondbacks have outscored opponents by 22 runs in their last 10 games.
• The Braves have outscored opponents by 11 runs in their last 10 games.
• Marcell Ozuna leads the Braves with 23 home runs this season.

Recent Games

Arizona Diamondbacks

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ San Diego	W9-1	W
@ San Diego	W7-5 F/10	W
@ San Diego	L10-8	L
@ Los Angeles	W9-3	W
@ Los Angeles	W12-4	W

Atlanta Braves

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Arizona	W5-4 F/11	W
vs Philadelphia	W6-0	W
vs Philadelphia	W5-1	W
vs Philadelphia	L8-6	L
vs San Francisco	L4-2	L

Team Rankings

Category	Arizona Diamondbacks	Atlanta Braves
Hitting	8th	17th
Starting Pitching	28th	2nd
Relief Pitching	24th	8th
Fielding	27th	29th

Significant Betting Stats

• The Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 games against the Diamondbacks.
• The Diamondbacks are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• The Braves have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games.
• The Diamondbacks have a 22-22 record at home this season.
• The Braves are 21-22 on the road this season.
• The Braves are 32-9 in games where they did not allow a home run.
• The Diamondbacks are 38-18 in games when they record at least eight hits.
• The Diamondbacks have outscored opponents by 22 runs in their last 10 games.
• The Braves have outscored opponents by 11 runs in their last 10 games.
• Marcell Ozuna leads the Braves with 23 home runs this season.

Weather

The weather for the game at Chase Field, Phoenix, is expected to be cloudy with a temperature of 105°F.

Prediction