MLB Spread Value Bets: Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins 7/11

Preview:
The Houston Astros, currently on an eight-game home win streak, will host the struggling Miami Marlins on July 11 at Minute Maid Park. The Astros are 48-44 overall and 26-19 at home, while the Marlins are 32-60 overall and 14-29 on the road. Houston's hitters boast a collective .421 slugging percentage, ranking fourth in the AL, whereas Miami has a dismal record but shows promise when they manage more hits than their opponents, holding a 22-10 record in such games. This marks the third meeting between the teams this season.
Top performers for the Astros include Yordan Alvarez, with 21 doubles, a triple, and 19 home runs, and Alex Bregman, who is 13-for-41 with three doubles, two home runs, and eight RBIs over the last 10 games. For the Marlins, Jazz Chisholm leads with a .256 batting average, 12 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs, 32 walks, and 41 RBIs. Xavier Edwards has been notable recently, going 10-for-30 with two RBIs over the past 10 games.
Over the last ten games, the Astros are 7-3, batting .267 with a 4.45 ERA, and have outscored their opponents by 18 runs. Meanwhile, the Marlins are 3-7, batting .230 with a 4.60 ERA, and have been outscored by 17 runs.
Venue:
Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas (Indoor)

 

Odds and Betting Lines

Bet	Odds
Over/Under	8.5
Houston Astros Spread	-1.5 (+110)
Miami Marlins Spread	+1.5 (-130)
Houston Astros Moneyline	-197
Miami Marlins Moneyline	+163

 

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Roddery Munoz (MIA)	1-3	5.48	40
Jake Bloss (HOU)	0-0	4.91	2

 

Team Previews

Houston Astros

Hitting: The Astros have a collective .421 slugging percentage, ranking fourth in the AL. Yordan Alvarez is a key player, hitting 21 doubles, a triple, and 19 home runs.
Relief Pitching: The Astros bullpen has been decent, with 21 saves, ranking tied for 18th in the league.
Fielding: The Astros have committed 39 errors, ranking 29th in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Jake Bloss will start the game with a 4.91 ERA and only two strikeouts in 3.2 innings pitched.

 

Miami Marlins

Hitting: Jazz Chisholm leads the Marlins with a .256 batting average, 12 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs, and 41 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Marlins bullpen has struggled, with only 15 saves, ranking last in the league.
Fielding: The Marlins have committed 62 errors, ranking tied for 2nd in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Roddery Munoz has a 5.48 ERA with 40 strikeouts over 44.1 innings pitched.

 

Team Injuries

Houston Astros

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Yordan Alvarez	LF	Hip	Day-to-day
Jake Bloss	SP	Shoulder	15-Day IL
Victor Caratini	C	Hip	10-Day IL
Justin Verlander	SP	Neck	15-Day IL
Cristian Javier	SP	Forearm	60-Day IL
Kyle Tucker	RF	Shin	10-Day IL
Jose Urquidy	SP	Forearm	60-Day IL
Oliver Ortega	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Bennett Sousa	RP	Shoulder	60-Day IL
Penn Murfee	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Luis Garcia	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Lance McCullers Jr.	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Kendall Graveman	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL

 

Miami Marlins

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Ryan Weathers	SP	Finger	60-Day IL
Otto Lopez	IF	Back	10-Day IL
Sixto Sanchez	SP	Shoulder	60-Day IL
Braxton Garrett	SP	Elbow	15-Day IL
Jesus Luzardo	SP	Back	60-Day IL
Josh Simpson	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Eury Perez	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Sandy Alcantara	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL

 

Betting Trends

• Houston is 7-3 in their last 10 games.
• Houston has outscored their opponents by 18 runs in their last 10 games.
• Miami is 3-7 in their last 10 games.
• Miami has been outscored by 17 runs in their last 10 games.
• Houston is 26-19 at home.
• Miami is 14-29 on the road.
• Houston's hitters have a collective .421 slugging percentage.
• Miami is 22-10 in games when they have more hits than their opponents.
• Houston is on an eight-game home win streak.
• Miami has committed 62 errors, ranking tied for 2nd in the league.

 

Recent Games

Houston Astros

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Minnesota	L3-2	L
@ Minnesota	L9-3	L
@ Minnesota	W13-12	W
@ Toronto	W5-3	W
@ Toronto	W9-2	W

 

Miami Marlins

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Houston	L9-1	L
@ Houston	L4-3	L
vs Chicago	W7-4	W
vs Chicago	W4-3	W
vs Chicago	L3-2	L

 

Team Rankings

Category	Houston Astros	Miami Marlins
Hitting	2nd	24th
Starting Pitching	18th	27th
Relief Pitching	21st	30th
Fielding	29th	2nd

 

Significant Betting Stats

• Houston is 7-3 in their last 10 games.
• Miami is 3-7 in their last 10 games.
• Houston is 26-19 at home.
• Miami is 14-29 on the road.
• Houston's hitters have a collective .421 slugging percentage.
• Miami is 22-10 in games when they have more hits than their opponents.
• Houston is on an eight-game home win streak.
• Miami has committed 62 errors, ranking tied for 2nd in the league.
• Houston's Yordan Alvarez has 19 home runs this season.
• Miami's Jazz Chisholm leads the team with a .256 batting average.

 

Weather

Cloudy, 84°F
AccuWeather Forecast

 

Prediction