MLB Spread Trends: Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies 7/8

MLB Spread Trends: Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies 7/8

MLB Spread Trends: Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies 7/8

 

Game Summary

The Cincinnati Reds will host the Colorado Rockies at Great American Ball Park on July 8. This matchup features two teams with contrasting seasons so far. The Reds are struggling to gain consistency, holding a record of 42-48 and sitting 4th in the NL Central. Conversely, the Rockies are experiencing a tough season, with a 32-58 record, placing them last in the NL West. Cincinnati's recent form has been a mixed bag, while Colorado is looking to find some form of stability as they fight to avoid finishing at the bottom of the standings.

Historically, the Reds and Rockies have had competitive matchups, but Cincinnati's current standing suggests they might have the upper hand. The Reds' offense has seen flashes of brilliance, with players like Jonathan India and Elly De La Cruz leading the charge. Meanwhile, the Rockies have relied on Brendan Rodgers and Ryan McMahon to provide their offensive spark. Pitching will be a key focus in this game, as both teams have had their struggles on the mound.

 

Odds and Betting Lines

Market Odds
Over/Under Not Available
Cincinnati Reds Spread -1.5
Colorado Rockies Spread +1.5
Cincinnati Reds Moneyline 114
Colorado Rockies Moneyline -137

 

Pitching Probables

Player W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR
Dakota Hudson (COL) 2-12 5.84 1.64 86.1 96 48 46 10
Andrew Abbott (CIN) 8-6 3.28 1.20 96.0 79 74 36 16

 

Team Previews

Cincinnati Reds

  • Hitting: The Reds rank 27th in batting average (.226) but have shown moments of clutch hitting, especially from Jonathan India (.273 AVG) and Elly De La Cruz (15 HRs). They have the potential to capitalize on weaker pitching.
  • Relief Pitching: The Reds bullpen ranks 17th in saves (21), indicating they've had opportunities to close games but also highlighting some struggles in high-leverage situations.
  • Fielding: Cincinnati's defense has committed 53 errors, ranking 6th, which could be a concern in close games.
  • Starting Pitchers: Andrew Abbott has been a bright spot in the rotation with an 8-6 record and a solid 3.28 ERA, providing a reliable arm for the Reds.

 

Colorado Rockies

  • Hitting: The Rockies have a .245 team batting average, ranking 14th overall. Brendan Rodgers leads the team with a .285 AVG, and Ryan McMahon has contributed 14 HRs and 45 RBIs.
  • Relief Pitching: Colorado's bullpen ranks 25th in saves (18), indicating struggles in maintaining leads and closing out games.
  • Fielding: The Rockies have committed 42 errors, ranking 23rd, which has contributed to their defensive struggles.
  • Starting Pitchers: Dakota Hudson has had a tough season with a 2-12 record and a 5.84 ERA, indicating significant struggles in the starting rotation.

 

Team Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Nick Martini DH Thumb Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
Nick Lodolo SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 11
Brandon Williamson SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 29

 

Colorado Rockies

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Jacob Bird RP Groin Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
Josh Rogers RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 26

 

Betting Trends

  • Reds are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
  • Rockies are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
  • Reds are 20-26 at home this season.
  • Rockies are 12-31 on the road this season.
  • Reds have a better record against teams with losing records.
  • Rockies have struggled against right-handed pitching.
  • Reds have covered the spread in 50 games this season.
  • Rockies have covered the spread in 42 games this season.
  • Reds have a better bullpen performance compared to the Rockies.
  • Rockies have struggled to close out games in the late innings.

 

Recent Games

Cincinnati Reds

Opponent Score W/L
@ New York W 8-4 W
vs Detroit L 5-4 L
vs Detroit L 5-3 L
vs Detroit L 5-1 L
@ New York W 3-2 W

 

Colorado Rockies

Opponent Score W/L
vs Milwaukee W 4-3 W
vs Kansas City W 4-2 W
vs Kansas City W 3-1 W
vs Kansas City L 10-1 L
vs Milwaukee L 3-0 L

 

Team Rankings

Category Cincinnati Reds Colorado Rockies
Hitting 27th 14th
Starting Pitching 11th 30th
Relief Pitching 17th 25th
Fielding 6th 23rd

 

Significant Betting Stats

  • Reds are 20-26 at home this season.
  • Rockies are 12-31 on the road this season.
  • Reds have covered the spread in 50 games this season.
  • Rockies have covered the spread in 42 games this season.
  • Reds have a better bullpen performance compared to the Rockies.
  • Rockies have struggled to close out games in the late innings.
  • Reds have a better record against teams with losing records.
  • Rockies have struggled against right-handed pitching.
  • Reds are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
  • Rockies are 3-7 in their last 10 games.

 

Weather

The weather forecast for the game at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio, predicts thunderstorms with a temperature of 85°F. The game might face interruptions due to weather conditions.

 

Prediction

Pick: Cincinnati Reds to cover -1.5

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The Cincinnati Reds are in a better position to take advantage of the struggling Colorado Rockies. With Andrew Abbott on the mound, who has been solid this season, the Reds have a reliable pitcher to navigate through the Rockies' lineup. On the other hand, Dakota Hudson's struggles have been evident, and facing a Reds lineup that can capitalize on weak pitching, it’s likely that Cincinnati will cover the -1.5 spread. Additionally, Cincinnati's better bullpen and fielding performance further support this pick.

 

Photo Credit: © Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports

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