MLB Spread Trends: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates 8/3
- Big Ben Profits
- Aug 2, 2024, 11:43:16 PM
MLB Spread Trends: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates 8/3
Photo Credit: nan
Game Summary
The Arizona Diamondbacks are set to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates on August 3 at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The Diamondbacks enter this matchup with a current record of 55-54, while the Pirates boast a slightly better record at 59-51. Both teams have shown fluctuating performances throughout the season, and this game is crucial as they look to solidify their standings in the competitive NL playoff race.
The Diamondbacks have struggled at times with consistency, particularly in their hitting, where they rank 24th in runs scored with 451. Their pitching has been more reliable, currently holding a 3.77 ERA, which ranks them 7th in the league. Mitch Keller is slated to take the mound for the Diamondbacks, bringing a solid 10-5 record and a 3.30 ERA, making him one of their more dependable pitchers this season.
On the other hand, the Pirates have been a more offensive powerhouse, ranking 2nd in the league with 558 runs scored and boasting a batting average of .258, ranking 4th. However, their pitching staff has been a point of concern, struggling with a 4.48 ERA. Jordan Montgomery will be starting for the Pirates, with a record of 7-5 and an ERA of 6.51, raising questions about his ability to contain the Diamondbacks' lineup.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Team | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Spreads | Arizona Diamondbacks | -1.5 (Odds: -205) |
| Spreads | Pittsburgh Pirates | +1.5 (Odds: 175) |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Montgomery (PIT) | 7-5 | 6.51 | 1.69 | 74.2 | 99 | 48 | 27 | 9 |
| Mitch Keller (ARI) | 10-5 | 3.30 | 1.21 | 128.1 | 121 | 114 | 34 | 13 |
Team Previews
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Arizona Diamondbacks feature a lineup that has struggled to find offensive rhythm, ranking near the bottom in multiple hitting categories. With a .232 batting average and 451 runs scored, their offense needs to step up if they hope to succeed against the Pirates. Their pitching staff, however, shines as one of the top units in the league with a 3.77 ERA, highlighted by Mitch Keller's strong performance this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates have been riding a wave of offensive success, ranking 2nd in the majors with 558 runs scored and 4th with a .258 batting average. Their pitching staff, however, presents a concern with a 4.48 ERA. Jordan Montgomery's inconsistent performances could impact the outcome of this game, especially against a team like the Diamondbacks that can capitalize on pitching mistakes.
Team Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly | SP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 12 |
| Blake Walston | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 14 |
| Bryce Jarvis | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 2B | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
| Ryan Borucki | RP | Wrist | Expected to be out until at least Sep 1 |
| Ji-Hwan Bae | CF | Knee | Probable for Aug 3 |
Betting Trends
- Pittsburgh Pirates are 60-48 against the spread this season.
- Arizona Diamondbacks have a 55-54 spread record.
- Diamondbacks are 8-2 in their last 10 games against the Pirates.
- The total has gone over in 6 of the last 8 games for the Pirates.
Recent Games
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Chicago | W5-2 | W |
| @ Chicago | W3-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | L2-1 F/10 | L |
| @ Kansas City | L10-4 | L |
| @ Kansas City | W6-2 | W |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia | W8-7 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | W4-1 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | L6-0 | L |
| vs St. Louis | W2-1 | W |
| vs St. Louis | L2-1 | L |
Team Rankings
| Team | Hitting | Pitching |
|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 24th | 7th (ERA) |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 2nd | 25th (ERA) |
Significant Betting Stats
- Diamondbacks rank 24th in runs scored.
- Pirates rank 2nd in runs scored.
- Pirates have a 60% win rate against the spread.
- Diamondbacks are 8-2 in their last 10 against the Pirates.
- Pirates pitching has a 4.48 ERA, ranking 25th.
- Diamondbacks pitching is 7th in the league with a 3.77 ERA.
- Pirates have allowed 558 runs this season, ranking 2nd in the league.
- Diamondbacks have hit the over in 6 of their last 8 games.
- Pirates have a home record of 31-25.
- Diamondbacks are 29-27 on the road.
Weather
Intermittent clouds with a temperature of 79°F expected at game time.
Prediction
Given the matchup between the Diamondbacks' strong pitching and the Pirates' potent offense, a close game is anticipated. Mitch Keller's solid performance could stifle the Pirates' scoring. With the history of the Diamondbacks performing well against the Pirates, the pick tilts towards Arizona to cover the spread.
Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks to cover -1.5
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