MLB Spread Predictions Today: Tigers vs Dodgers 7/12
- Kingpin
- Jul 11, 2024, 10:29:51 PM
Photo Credit: © Junfu Han / USA TODAY NETWORK
MLB Spread Predictions Today: Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Game Summary
The Detroit Tigers will host the Los Angeles Dodgers on July 12 at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. This game is set to be an intriguing matchup between two teams with contrasting seasons so far. The Tigers have been fighting to stay afloat in the standings with a 45-49 record, while the Dodgers have been one of the top teams in the league with a 55-39 record.
Detroit's probable starting pitcher, Tarik Skubal, has been exceptional this season, posting a 10-3 record with a 2.37 ERA. Skubal has been a bright spot in the Tigers' rotation and will look to continue his strong performances. On the other side, the Dodgers will counter with James Paxton, who has a 7-2 record and a 4.24 ERA. Paxton has shown flashes of brilliance but has struggled with consistency.
The Tigers have had their struggles offensively, ranking 22nd in hits and 20th in runs scored. Riley Greene has been a standout, leading the team in batting average (.266), home runs (17), and RBIs (48). The Dodgers, on the other hand, have been a powerhouse at the plate, ranking 6th in hits and 3rd in runs. Shohei Ohtani has been the standout performer for the Dodgers, leading the team with a .314 batting average, 28 home runs, and 66 RBIs.
This game promises to be a fascinating contest, with the Tigers looking to pull off an upset against the high-flying Dodgers. With two strong pitchers on the mound, it could be a tight affair.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| Detroit Tigers Spread | -1.5 (+158) |
| Los Angeles Dodgers Spread | +1.5 (-192) |
| Detroit Tigers Moneyline | +120 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline | -140 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | Team | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal | Detroit Tigers | 10-3 | 2.37 | 132 |
| James Paxton | Los Angeles Dodgers | 7-2 | 4.24 | 56 |
Team Previews
Detroit Tigers
Hitting: The Tigers rank 22nd in hits with 719 and 20th in runs with 385. They have struggled to consistently produce runs. Riley Greene has been the bright spot with a .266 batting average, 17 home runs, and 48 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been a mixed bag, with 21 saves ranking them tied for 18th. The bullpen ERA of 3.95 is 14th in the league.
Fielding: The Tigers have committed 56 errors, ranking them tied for 6th in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Tarik Skubal has been their ace with a 10-3 record and a 2.37 ERA. The rest of the rotation has been inconsistent.
Los Angeles Dodgers
Hitting: The Dodgers have been an offensive juggernaut, ranking 6th in hits with 809 and 3rd in runs with 462. Shohei Ohtani has led the charge with a .314 batting average, 28 home runs, and 66 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Dodgers' bullpen has been solid with 27 saves, ranking 7th in the league. Their bullpen ERA of 3.70 is 7th best.
Fielding: The Dodgers have committed 44 errors, ranking them 23rd in the league.
Starting Pitchers: James Paxton has a 7-2 record with a 4.24 ERA. The starting rotation has been one of the strengths of the team.
Team Injuries
Detroit Tigers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Meadows | CF | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Jul 19 |
| Kerry Carpenter | RF | Back | Expected to be out until at least Aug 1 |
Los Angeles Dodgers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brasier | RP | Calf | Expected to be out until at least Jul 25 |
Betting Trends
- The Tigers are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- The Dodgers are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- The Tigers are 22-23 at home this season.
- The Dodgers are 27-20 on the road this season.
- The Tigers have the 14th best ERA in the league at 3.95.
- The Dodgers have the 7th best ERA in the league at 3.70.
- The Tigers have committed 56 errors, tied for 6th most in the league.
- The Dodgers have committed 44 errors, ranking them 23rd in the league.
- Tarik Skubal has a 10-3 record with a 2.37 ERA.
- James Paxton has a 7-2 record with a 4.24 ERA.
Recent Games
Detroit Tigers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Cleveland | 10-1 | W |
| Cleveland | 5-4 | W |
| Cleveland | 9-8 | L |
| Cleveland | 1-0 | W |
| Cincinnati | 5-1 | W |
Los Angeles Dodgers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | 5-1 | L |
| Philadelphia | 4-3 | L |
| Philadelphia | 10-1 | L |
| Milwaukee | 9-2 | L |
| Milwaukee | 5-3 | W |
Team Rankings
| Category | Detroit Tigers | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 22nd | 6th |
| Starting Pitching | 14th | 7th |
| Relief Pitching | 18th | 7th |
| Fielding | 6th (most errors) | 23rd |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Tigers are 43-49 against the spread this season.
- The Dodgers are 55-39 against the spread this season.
- The Tigers are 22-23 at home this season.
- The Dodgers are 27-20 on the road this season.
- Tarik Skubal has a 10-3 record with a 2.37 ERA.
- James Paxton has a 7-2 record with a 4.24 ERA.
- The Tigers have committed 56 errors, tied for 6th most in the league.
- The Dodgers have committed 44 errors, ranking them 23rd in the league.
- The Tigers have a bullpen ERA of 3.95, 14th best in the league.
- The Dodgers have a bullpen ERA of 3.70, 7th best in the league.
Weather
The weather for the game at Comerica Park is expected to be mostly sunny with a high temperature of 82°F.
Prediction
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5 (-192)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have been a dominant team this season and even though they are on the road, they are favored to win this matchup. Given the Tigers' struggles offensively and the Dodgers' strong lineup, the +1.5 spread in favor of the Dodgers offers good value. James Paxton, despite his inconsistency, has the capability to deliver a strong outing, while the Dodgers' bats, led by Shohei Ohtani, should provide enough run support. Hence, taking the Dodgers on the +1.5 spread is the recommended bet.
