MLB Spread Predictions Today: Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays

Photo Credit: © Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

 

1. Game Summary

The Cleveland Guardians will face the Tampa Bay Rays on July 13 at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. The Guardians, with an overall record of 46-47, are looking to bounce back after a few tough losses. They are currently 25-26 at home and 21-21 on the road. On the other hand, the Tampa Bay Rays boast a stronger record at 57-35, making them one of the top teams in the league. They have been particularly dominant at home, with a 30-11 record at Tropicana Field.

The Guardians have struggled offensively this season, ranking 27th in runs scored with 370. They also have a batting average of .236, ranking 20th. Their pitching staff has been slightly better, with a team ERA of 4.30, but they still rank 22nd in that category. Defensively, they have committed 43 errors, placing them 24th in the league.

The Rays, meanwhile, have a more balanced team. They rank 7th in runs scored with 450 and have a team batting average of .245, ranking 13th. Their pitching staff has been solid, with a team ERA of 3.78, ranking 9th. Defensively, they have committed 46 errors, placing them 19th in the league.

 

2. Odds and Betting Lines

Market	Odds
Over/Under	8.5
Cleveland Guardians Spread	-1.5 (+155)
Tampa Bay Rays Spread	+1.5 (-175)
Cleveland Guardians Moneyline	-120
Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline	+100

 

3. Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Zack Littell (CLE)	3-6	4.44	91
Gavin Williams (TB)	0-1	4.82	7

 

4. Team Previews

Cleveland Guardians

Hitting: The Guardians have struggled offensively this season, scoring just 370 runs (27th in MLB) with a team batting average of .236 (20th in MLB). Yandy Diaz leads the team with a .272 batting average, while Isaac Paredes has been the power hitter with 15 home runs and 50 RBIs.

Relief Pitching: The Guardians' bullpen has been a bright spot, with 29 saves, ranking 5th in the league.

Fielding: Defensively, the Guardians have committed 43 errors, placing them 24th in the league.

Starting Pitchers: Zack Littell will take the mound with a 3-6 record and a 4.44 ERA. He has struck out 91 batters over 95.1 innings pitched.

Tampa Bay Rays

Hitting: The Rays have a more potent offense, scoring 450 runs (7th in MLB) with a team batting average of .245 (13th in MLB). Steven Kwan leads the team with a .361 batting average, while Jose Ramirez has been the power hitter with 23 home runs and 77 RBIs.

Relief Pitching: The Rays' bullpen has been solid, with 33 saves, ranking 2nd in the league.

Fielding: Defensively, the Rays have committed 46 errors, placing them 19th in the league.

Starting Pitchers: Gavin Williams will take the mound with a 0-1 record and a 4.82 ERA. He has struck out 7 batters over 9.1 innings pitched.

 

5. Team Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Sam Hentges	RP	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Jul 27

Tampa Bay Rays

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Drew Rasmussen	SP	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
Wander Franco	SS	Personal	Out for the season

 

6. Betting Trends

• Guardians are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
• Rays are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• Guardians are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as road underdogs.
• Rays are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as home favorites.
• Under is 8-2 in Guardians' last 10 games.
• Over is 6-4 in Rays' last 10 games.

 

7. Recent Games

Cleveland Guardians

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs New York Yankees	L 10-1	L
@ Detroit Tigers	L 5-4	L
@ Detroit Tigers	W 9-8	W
@ Detroit Tigers	L 1-0	L
vs San Francisco Giants	W 5-4	W

Tampa Bay Rays

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs New York Yankees	W 5-4	W
vs New York Yankees	L 2-1	L
vs New York Yankees	W 5-3	W
@ Texas Rangers	L 13-2	L
@ Texas Rangers	L 4-3	L

 

8. Team Rankings

Category	Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays
Hitting	27th	7th
Starting Pitching	22nd	9th
Relief Pitching	5th	2nd
Fielding	24th	19th

 

9. Significant Betting Stats

• Guardians are 7-3 in their last 10 games against right-handed pitchers.
• Rays are 9-1 in their last 10 games against AL Central teams.
• Under is 8-2 in Guardians' last 10 road games.
• Over is 6-4 in Rays' last 10 home games.
• Guardians are 5-5 in their last 10 games as underdogs.
• Rays are 8-2 in their last 10 games as favorites.
• Guardians' bullpen ranks 5th in saves (29).
• Rays' bullpen ranks 2nd in saves (33).
• Guardians have committed 43 errors (24th in MLB).
• Rays have committed 46 errors (19th in MLB).

 

10. Weather

Cloudy with a temperature of 85°F. Weather Details

 

11. Prediction

The Tampa Bay Rays have been strong at home this season with a 30-11 record at Tropicana Field. Their balanced offense and solid bullpen give them an edge over the Cleveland Guardians, who have struggled offensively. Additionally, the Rays have been effective against AL Central teams, going 9-1 in their last 10 games. Given the Guardians' inconsistent performance and the Rays' home advantage, taking Tampa Bay with the +1.5 spread is a prudent choice.