MLB Spread Predictions for Today: Diamondbacks vs Cubs 7/19
- A Plus Picks
- Jul 18, 2024, 3:16:58 PM
MLB Spread Predictions for Today: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs 7/19
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Game Summary
The Arizona Diamondbacks face off against the Chicago Cubs on July 19 at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. The Diamondbacks currently sit at a record of 47-51 while the Cubs are slightly better at 49-48. The Diamondbacks have struggled on the road with a 22-30 record, whereas the Cubs hold a respectable 26-24 home record. This game features Justin Steele on the mound for the Cubs, who boasts a 2.71 ERA and an impressive WHIP of 0.95. The Diamondbacks' probable pitcher has yet to be decided, which adds an element of uncertainty to their performance.
Both teams have had their ups and downs this season, with the Cubs having a slight edge in hitting metrics. They rank 8th in hits with 833 and 2nd in runs with 482, while the Diamondbacks rank 18th in hits with 768 and 16th in runs with 415. However, the Diamondbacks have a better overall ERA at 3.79 compared to the Cubs' 4.56, indicating a stronger pitching staff. The game promises to be a competitive one with both teams looking to improve their standings.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 9.5 |
| Spread (Arizona Diamondbacks) | -1.5 |
| Spread (Chicago Cubs) | +1.5 |
| Moneyline (Arizona Diamondbacks) | +146 |
| Moneyline (Chicago Cubs) | -178 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Undecided (Arizona Diamondbacks) | -- | -- | -- |
| Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs) | 2-3 | 2.71 | 81 |
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Team Previews
Arizona Diamondbacks
Hitting: The Diamondbacks rank 18th in hits (768) and 16th in runs (415) with a team batting average of .235 (22nd in the league). Michael Busch leads the team with a .271 average, while Christopher Morel tops the home run chart with 18 homers.
Relief Pitching: The Diamondbacks' bullpen has managed 22 saves (21st in the league) and has maintained an ERA of 3.79, ranking 9th overall.
Fielding: Defensively, the Diamondbacks have committed 53 errors, ranking 13th in the league.
Starting Pitchers: With the starting pitcher undecided, the Diamondbacks' rotation has a combined ERA of 3.79, which is 9th in the league.
Chicago Cubs
Hitting: The Cubs rank 8th in hits (833) and 2nd in runs (482), with a team batting average of .254 (7th in the league). Ketel Marte leads the team with a .292 average, while Christian Walker has hit 22 home runs.
Relief Pitching: The Cubs' bullpen has recorded 21 saves (Tied-22nd) and has an ERA of 4.56, ranking 26th overall.
Fielding: The Cubs rank 28th in fielding with 42 errors this season.
Starting Pitchers: Justin Steele is the standout with a 2.71 ERA, contributing significantly to the Cubs' starting rotation.
Team Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Walston | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 10 |
Chicago Cubs
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Kilian | RP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
Betting Trends
- Diamondbacks are 2-8 in their last 10 road games.
- Cubs are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in Diamondbacks' last 6 games following a loss.
- Under is 4-1 in Cubs' last 5 home games.
Recent Games
| Arizona Diamondbacks | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15 | vs Cardinals | 5-7 | L |
| Jul 14 | vs Cardinals | 3-6 | L |
| Jul 13 | vs Cardinals | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 12 | vs Dodgers | 4-8 | L |
| Jul 11 | vs Dodgers | 3-2 | W |
| Chicago Cubs | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15 | @ Reds | 6-5 | W |
| Jul 14 | @ Reds | 3-4 | L |
| Jul 13 | @ Reds | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 12 | @ Reds | 1-8 | L |
| Jul 11 | vs Pirates | 4-0 | W |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Arizona Diamondbacks | Chicago Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 18th | 8th |
| Starting Pitching | 9th | 26th |
| Relief Pitching | 21st | 22nd |
| Fielding | 13th | 28th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Diamondbacks are 10-4 in their last 14 Friday games.
- Cubs are 7-3 in their last 10 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Diamondbacks' last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 5-2 in Cubs' last 7 games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss.
- Cubs are 8-2 in their last 10 games following a day off.
- Diamondbacks are 5-2 in their last 7 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
- Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
- Over is 7-3 in Diamondbacks' last 10 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-2 in Cubs' last 8 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Weather
Mostly sunny with a temperature of 75°F. Weather details
Prediction
Pick: Chicago Cubs to cover +1.5
The Cubs have a slight edge in hitting metrics and a reliable starting pitcher in Justin Steele, who has been excellent this season. Although the Diamondbacks have a better bullpen, the Cubs' home-field advantage and recent form make them a solid choice to cover the spread.
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