MLB Spread Predictions and Picks: Astros vs Marlins 7/9

MLB Spread Predictions and Picks: Astros vs Marlins 7/9

MLB Spread Predictions and Picks: Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins 7/9

Game Summary

On July 9th, the Houston Astros will face off against the Miami Marlins at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas. This matchup features two teams with contrasting seasons. The Houston Astros, with a record of 46-44, are in the middle of the pack in the AL West and are looking to build momentum as they push for a playoff spot. Their offensive prowess is evident as they rank 2nd in hits and 1st in batting average. On the mound for the Astros will be Ronel Blanco, who boasts an impressive 8-3 record with a 2.53 ERA. The Miami Marlins, on the other hand, are struggling this season with a record of 32-58. Their offensive struggles are clear as they rank 29th in runs and 23rd in batting average. Trevor Rogers will take the mound for the Marlins, looking to improve on his 1-9 record and 4.91 ERA. This game is a critical one for both teams, albeit for different reasons - the Astros to solidify their playoff aspirations and the Marlins to break out of their slump.

Odds and Betting Lines

Market Odds
Over/Under 8.5
Spread (Houston Astros -1.5) -104
Spread (Miami Marlins +1.5) -115
Moneyline (Houston Astros) -190
Moneyline (Miami Marlins) +170

Pitching Probables

Pitcher W-L ERA Strikeouts Walks Innings Pitched Hits Allowed Home Runs Allowed
Ronel Blanco (HOU) 8-3 2.53 88 39 96.0 58 13
Trevor Rogers (MIA) 1-9 4.91 70 39 84.1 96 10

Team Previews

Houston Astros

Hitting: The Astros' offense has been a strong point this season. Led by Jose Altuve with a .309 average, the team ranks 2nd in hits and 1st in batting average. Yordan Alvarez has been a key power hitter with 19 home runs and 50 RBIs. Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been average, with 20 saves ranking them 22nd in the league. They need to improve their consistency to support their starting rotation better. Fielding: Defensively, the Astros have committed 39 errors, ranking them 27th. This is an area that can be exploited by opponents. Starting Pitchers: Ronel Blanco has been a standout with an 8-3 record and a 2.53 ERA. His ability to control games will be crucial against the Marlins' struggling offense.

Miami Marlins

Hitting: The Marlins have struggled mightily with their offense, ranking 29th in runs and 23rd in batting average. Jazz Chisholm Jr. leads the team with a .255 average, and Bryan De La Cruz has provided some power with 15 home runs and 42 RBIs. Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been the worst in the league with only 15 saves, ranking them 30th. This has added pressure on their starting rotation. Fielding: Defensively, the Marlins have committed 60 errors, ranking them 2nd worst in the league. This lack of defensive efficiency has cost them in close games. Starting Pitchers: Trevor Rogers has had a tough season with a 1-9 record and a 4.91 ERA. He will need to find a way to shut down the Astros' potent offense to give his team a chance.

Team Injuries

Houston Astros

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Yordan Alvarez DH Knee Probable for Jul 9

Miami Marlins

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Ryan Weathers SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Aug 9

Betting Trends

  • The Astros are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
  • The Marlins are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
  • Astros are 24-19 at home this season.
  • Marlins are 14-27 on the road this season.
  • Astros’ games have gone over the total in 52.5% of their games this season.
  • Marlins’ games have gone under the total in 52.5% of their games this season.
  • Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 games against the Marlins.
  • Marlins are 1-6 in their last 7 games against AL West opponents.
  • Astros are 10-3 in their last 13 interleague games.
  • The total has gone over in 4 of the Astros' last 5 games.

Recent Games

Houston Astros

Date Opponent Result W/L
Sun, Jul 7 @ Minnesota L3-2 46-44
Sat, Jul 6 @ Minnesota L9-3 46-43
Fri, Jul 5 @ Minnesota W13-12 46-42
Thu, Jul 4 @ Toronto W5-3 45-42
Wed, Jul 3 @ Toronto W9-2 44-42

Miami Marlins

Date Opponent Result W/L
Sun, Jul 7 vs Chicago W7-4 32-58
Sat, Jul 6 vs Chicago W4-3 31-58
Fri, Jul 5 vs Chicago L3-2 30-58
Thu, Jul 4 vs Boston L6-5 F/12 30-57
Wed, Jul 3 vs Boston L7-2 30-56

Team Rankings

Category Houston Astros Miami Marlins
Hitting 2nd 21st
Starting Pitching 5th 26th
Relief Pitching 22nd 30th
Fielding 27th 2nd worst

Significant Betting Stats

  • Astros are 24-19 at home this season.
  • Marlins are 14-27 on the road this season.
  • Astros’ games have gone over the total in 52.5% of their games this season.
  • Marlins’ games have gone under the total in 52.5% of their games this season.
  • Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 games against the Marlins.
  • Marlins are 1-6 in their last 7 games against AL West opponents.
  • Astros are 10-3 in their last 13 interleague games.
  • The total has gone over in 4 of the Astros' last 5 games.
  • Astros are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
  • Marlins are 3-7 in their last 10 games.

Weather

The weather at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas is expected to be partly sunny with a high of 94°F. Since the game is indoors, the weather conditions will not have a significant impact on the gameplay.

Prediction

Pick: Houston Astros to cover -1.5

With Ronel Blanco on the mound and the Astros' strong home performance, they are well-positioned to cover the -1.5 spread against the struggling Miami Marlins. The Marlins' offensive and defensive struggles make them unlikely to keep up with the Astros' potent lineup. Additionally, the Astros' recent form and home advantage further support this pick.

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