MLB Spread Play: Twins vs Giants - 7/13

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 12, 2024, 7:57:56 PM
MLB Spread Play: Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants - 7/13
Photo Credit: © Mark Hoffman / USA TODAY NETWORK
Game Summary
The Minnesota Twins will face off against the San Francisco Giants on July 13 at Oracle Park in San Francisco, California. The Twins, currently holding a record of 45-49, will be looking to improve their standings as they go up against the Giants, who are 53-40 this season. Both teams have had their ups and downs, but the Giants have shown more consistency, particularly at home where they boast a 27-18 record. The Twins, on the other hand, have struggled on the road with a 19-28 record.
In this matchup, starting pitchers Hayden Birdsong for the Twins and Simeon Woods Richardson for the Giants will take the mound. Birdsong has a 4.40 ERA with a 1-0 record over 14.1 innings pitched, while Woods Richardson has a 3.48 ERA and a 3-1 record over 77.2 innings. The Giants have a stronger batting lineup, with a team average of .255 compared to the Twins' .244. Additionally, the Giants have scored 459 runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league, while the Twins have scored 415 runs, ranking 14th.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Betting Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| Minnesota Twins Spread | -1.5 (+143) |
| San Francisco Giants Spread | +1.5 (-163) |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts | Innings Pitched |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Birdsong (MIN) | 1-0 | 4.40 | 15 | 14.1 |
| Simeon Woods Richardson (SFG) | 3-1 | 3.48 | 64 | 77.2 |
Team Previews
Minnesota Twins
Hitting: The Twins rank 12th in hits with 776 and 14th in batting average at .244. Their offense is led by Matt Chapman, who boasts a .241 batting average. Heliot Ramos has been a key power hitter with 14 home runs and 45 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Twins' bullpen has struggled, ranking 25th in ERA at 4.49. They have managed only 18 saves, which places them tied for 26th in the league.
Fielding: Defensively, the Twins have committed 54 errors, ranking them 10th in the league. Their fielding percentage has been solid overall.
Starting Pitchers: Hayden Birdsong, with a 4.40 ERA and a 1-0 record, will look to secure another win. The Twins' rotation has been inconsistent, and their overall team ERA of 4.49 reflects that.
San Francisco Giants
Hitting: The Giants are 7th in hits with 804 and 5th in batting average at .255. Carlos Correa has been a standout performer, leading the team with a .310 average. Ryan Jeffers has also contributed significantly with 14 home runs and 47 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Giants have a solid bullpen, ranking 19th in ERA at 4.13. They have recorded 28 saves, placing them 6th in the league.
Fielding: The Giants have committed 43 errors, ranking them tied for 24th. This has been an area of concern and could be a factor in close games.
Starting Pitchers: Simeon Woods Richardson has been impressive with a 3.48 ERA and a 3-1 record. The Giants' rotation has provided stability, and they will rely on Woods Richardson to keep the Twins' hitters at bay.
Team Injuries
Minnesota Twins
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Farmer | 2B | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 21 |
San Francisco Giants
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Murphy | C | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Jul 19 |
| Austin Warren | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Jul 12 |
Betting Trends
- The Twins are 45-49 overall this season.
- The Giants are 53-40 overall this season.
- The Twins have a 19-28 record on the road.
- The Giants have a 27-18 record at home.
- The Giants' last 5 games have gone over the total 4 times.
- The Twins' last 5 games have gone under the total 3 times.
Recent Games
| Minnesota Twins | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs Houston | W3-2 | W | |
| vs Houston | W9-3 | W | |
| vs Houston | L13-12 | L | |
| vs Detroit | W12-3 | W | |
| vs Detroit | L9-2 | L |
| San Francisco Giants | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs Toronto | L5-3 | L | |
| vs Toronto | L10-6 | L | |
| vs Toronto | W4-3 | W | |
| @ Cleveland | L5-4 | L | |
| @ Cleveland | W4-2 | W |
Team Rankings
| Category | Minnesota Twins | San Francisco Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 12th | 7th |
| Starting Pitching | 25th | 19th |
| Relief Pitching | 26th | 6th |
| Fielding | 10th | 24th |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Twins are 45-49 overall this season.
- The Giants are 53-40 overall this season.
- The Twins have a 19-28 record on the road.
- The Giants have a 27-18 record at home.
- The Giants' last 5 games have gone over the total 4 times.
- The Twins' last 5 games have gone under the total 3 times.
- Hayden Birdsong has a 4.40 ERA.
- Simeon Woods Richardson has a 3.48 ERA.
- The Giants are 7th in hits with 804.
- The Twins have committed 54 errors this season.
Weather
Intermittent clouds with a temperature of 67°F.
Prediction
Pick: San Francisco Giants +1.5
The San Francisco Giants have shown more consistency this season, especially at home. With a stronger batting lineup and steadier pitching, they have the edge over the Twins. Given the Twins' struggles on the road and their weaker bullpen, the Giants covering the +1.5 spread is a solid bet.


