MLB Spread Picks Tonight: Diamondbacks vs Cubs 7/21

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 20, 2024, 9:15:03 PM
MLB Spread Picks Tonight: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs 7/21
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Game Summary
The Arizona Diamondbacks will face off against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on July 21. This matchup features two teams with contrasting recent performances. The Diamondbacks, with a record of 47-52, have been struggling to find consistency, while the Cubs, sitting at 50-48, have been slightly better but still face challenges of their own.
Shota Imanaga is slated to start for the Diamondbacks. He has been impressive this season with an 8-2 record and a 2.97 ERA. His control and ability to limit runs make him a formidable opponent. On the other hand, the Cubs will counter with Brandon Pfaadt, who holds a 4-6 record and a 3.97 ERA. Pfaadt has shown flashes of brilliance but has also been inconsistent at times.
Offensively, the Cubs have the edge with a higher team batting average (.255) and more runs scored (487) compared to the Diamondbacks (.235 AVG and 417 runs). However, Arizona's pitching staff has a better overall ERA at 3.80 compared to Chicago's 4.54. This game is poised to be a battle between Arizona's pitching and Chicago's hitting.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | O/U 8.5 |
| Spread | Diamondbacks -1.5, Cubs +1.5 |
| Moneyline | Diamondbacks -142, Cubs +172 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shota Imanaga (ARI) | 8-2 | 2.97 | 98 | 1.11 |
| Brandon Pfaadt (CHC) | 4-6 | 3.97 | 104 | 1.16 |
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Team Previews
Arizona Diamondbacks
Hitting: The Diamondbacks rank 22nd in batting average (.235) and 17th in runs scored (417). Michael Busch is their top hitter with a .270 average. Their key power hitter is Christopher Morel with 18 home runs.
Relief Pitching: The Diamondbacks' bullpen has been relatively solid, ranking 10th in ERA (3.80). They have converted 22 saves, placing them 21st in the league.
Fielding: The defense has been average with 53 errors, ranking 13th in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Shota Imanaga leads the rotation with an 8-2 record and a 2.97 ERA. His consistency has been a bright spot for the team.
Chicago Cubs
Hitting: The Cubs boast a strong offense, ranking 5th in batting average (.255) and 2nd in runs scored (487). Ketel Marte leads the team with a .295 average, while Christian Walker has hit 22 home runs and driven in 68 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen struggles, ranking 26th in ERA (4.54), which has been a significant weakness.
Fielding: The defense has also been a challenge, ranking 28th with 42 errors.
Starting Pitchers: Brandon Pfaadt has been inconsistent with a 4-6 record and a 3.97 ERA.
Team Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | SP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
| Jordan Montgomery | SP | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Jul 23 |
Chicago Cubs
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Merryweather | RP | Ribs | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
| Jordan Wicks | SP | Oblique | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
| Ben Brown | RP | Neck | Expected to be out until at least Aug 5 |
Betting Trends
- Diamondbacks are 2-8 in their last 10 games.
- Cubs are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.
- Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 games.
- Under is 4-3 in Cubs last 7 games.
Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs | W 5-2 | W |
| Chicago Cubs | 7:15 PM | Upcoming |
| Chicago Cubs | 2:20 PM | Upcoming |
| Kansas City Royals | 8:10 PM | Upcoming |
| Kansas City Royals | 8:10 PM | Upcoming |
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks | L 2-5 | L |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 7:15 PM | Upcoming |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 2:20 PM | Upcoming |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 8:05 PM | Upcoming |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 8:05 PM | Upcoming |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Diamondbacks | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 22nd (.235 AVG) | 5th (.255 AVG) |
| Starting Pitching | 10th (3.80 ERA) | 26th (4.54 ERA) |
| Relief Pitching | 21st (22 SV) | 21st (22 SV) |
| Fielding | 13th (53 Errors) | 28th (42 Errors) |
Significant Betting Stats
- Diamondbacks are 2-8 in their last 10 games.
- Cubs are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.
- Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 games.
- Under is 4-3 in Cubs last 7 games.
- Diamondbacks rank 22nd in team batting average.
- Cubs rank 5th in team batting average.
- Diamondbacks rank 10th in team ERA.
- Cubs rank 26th in team ERA.
Weather
The weather at Wrigley Field on July 21 is expected to be intermittent clouds with a temperature of 77°F. For the most up-to-date weather information, visit AccuWeather.
Prediction
Pick: Diamondbacks to cover -1.5
Given the Diamondbacks' edge in starting pitching with Shota Imanaga and their solid bullpen, they are well-positioned to cover the spread. The Cubs' offensive strength will face a tough challenge against Imanaga, and their struggling bullpen may give up critical runs late in the game. The Diamondbacks' recent form has been poor, but the pitching matchup favors them significantly in this contest.
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