MLB Spread Picks Today: Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins 7/12

 

Game Summary

The Cincinnati Reds are set to face the Miami Marlins on July 12 at the Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. The Reds have had a mixed season so far, sitting at 44-49 overall and hoping to turn things around at home where they hold a 22-27 record. The Marlins, on the other hand, have struggled significantly this season with a 32-60 overall record, including a dismal 14-29 on the road. This game could be pivotal for both teams as they look to improve their standings.

The Reds will rely on the arm of Carson Spiers, who has been a solid performer with a 2-2 record and a 3.64 ERA over 42 innings pitched. Spiers will need to be at his best against a Marlins lineup that has struggled to produce runs, ranking 29th in the league in runs scored. The Marlins will counter with Yonny Chirinos, who has a 4.19 ERA but has yet to record a win or loss this season. Chirinos will need to navigate a Reds lineup that has shown power, particularly through players like Elly De La Cruz who leads the team with 15 home runs.

This matchup promises to be an intriguing contest as both teams have their strengths and weaknesses. The Reds' offense, despite a low team batting average, has managed to score runs and will look to capitalize on Chirinos' vulnerabilities. Defensively, the Reds are relatively sound, ranking 5th in errors committed, which could prove crucial in a close game. The Marlins, while struggling offensively, have a few bright spots in players like Bryan De La Cruz and Jazz Chisholm Jr., who will need to step up if the Marlins are to have any chance.

 

Odds and Betting Lines

Market	Odds
Over/Under	8.5
Spread (Cincinnati Reds -1.5)	+132
Spread (Miami Marlins +1.5)	-160
Moneyline (Cincinnati Reds)	-140
Moneyline (Miami Marlins)	+120

 

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Carson Spiers (CIN)	2-2	3.64	32
Yonny Chirinos (MIA)	0-0	4.19	20

 

Team Previews

Cincinnati Reds

Hitting: The Reds have struggled with consistency at the plate, ranking 27th in team batting average at .228. However, they have managed to score runs, ranking 15th with 405 runs scored. Jonathan India leads the team with a .269 average, while Elly De La Cruz provides power with 15 home runs.

Relief Pitching: The Reds' bullpen has been middle-of-the-pack, with a team ERA of 3.84 which ranks 11th in the league. They have 21 saves, ranking 18th, and have shown the ability to close out games effectively.

Fielding: Defensively, the Reds are relatively strong, ranking 5th in the league with only 57 errors committed. This defensive stability will be crucial in tight games.

Starting Pitchers: Carson Spiers has been a reliable starter for the Reds, with a 3.64 ERA and 32 strikeouts over 42 innings. His ability to keep hitters off-balance will be key against a struggling Marlins lineup.

 

Miami Marlins

Hitting: The Marlins have struggled mightily at the plate, ranking 29th in runs scored with only 320 runs. They also rank 25th in team batting average at .230. Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Bryan De La Cruz have been bright spots, with De La Cruz leading the team with 15 home runs and 43 RBIs.

Relief Pitching: The Marlins' bullpen has been one of the worst in the league, with a team ERA of 4.54, ranking 27th. They have managed only 15 saves, the lowest in the league, indicating struggles in closing out games.

Fielding: Defensively, the Marlins are also near the bottom, committing 62 errors which ranks 2nd most in the league. This lack of defensive stability could be a significant disadvantage.

Starting Pitchers: Yonny Chirinos will be on the mound for the Marlins. He has a 4.19 ERA and 20 strikeouts in 19.1 innings. Chirinos will need to be sharp to give the Marlins a chance against a capable Reds lineup.

 

Team Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
TJ Friedl	CF	Hamstring	Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
Nick Martini	DH	Thumb	Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
Ian Gibaut	RP	Forearm	Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
Matt McLain	SS	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
Brandon Williamson	SP	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

 

Miami Marlins

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Ryan Weathers	SP	Finger	Expected to be out until at least Aug 9

 

Betting Trends

• The Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the Marlins.
• The Marlins are 0-5 in their last 5 road games.
• The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the Reds' last 7 games.
• The total has gone OVER in 6 of the Marlins' last 7 games.
• The Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.

 

Recent Games

Cincinnati Reds

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Colorado	W6-0	W
vs Colorado	W12-6	W
vs Colorado	L6-5	L
vs Colorado	W8-1	W
vs Detroit	L5-3	L

 

Miami Marlins

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Houston	L9-1	L
@ Houston	L4-3	L
vs Chicago	W7-4	W
vs Chicago	W4-3	W
vs Chicago	L3-2	L

 

Team Rankings

Category	Cincinnati Reds	Miami Marlins
Hitting	27th	25th
Starting Pitching	11th	27th
Relief Pitching	18th	30th
Fielding	5th	2nd

 

Significant Betting Stats

• The Reds are 44-48 on the season.
• The Marlins are 32-60 on the season.
• The Reds have a 22-27 home record.
• The Marlins have a 14-29 road record.
• Carson Spiers has a 3.64 ERA with 32 strikeouts.
• Yonny Chirinos has a 4.19 ERA with 20 strikeouts.
• The Reds rank 11th in team ERA at 3.84.
• The Marlins rank 27th in team ERA at 4.54.
• The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the Reds' last 7 games.
• The total has gone OVER in 6 of the Marlins' last 7 games.

 

Weather

Weather on the day of the game is expected to be mostly sunny with a temperature of 85°F. Check detailed weather forecast

 

Prediction

 

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