MLB Spread Picks of the Day: Orioles vs Rangers 7/19
- A Plus Picks
- Jul 18, 2024, 7:03:55 PM
MLB Spread Picks of the Day: Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers 7/19
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Game Summary
The Baltimore Orioles will face the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas, on July 19. This matchup features two teams with contrasting records and strengths. The Orioles, with a 46-50 record, are struggling to stay above .500, while the Rangers boast a strong 58-38 record, making them one of the top teams in the league.
The Orioles have faced several challenges this season, including injuries to key players such as Heston Kjerstad and Danny Coulombe. They rank 16th in hits and 17th in runs, indicating a middling offensive performance. Their pitching staff, led by an ERA of 3.98, ranks 15th, showing some stability. However, their defense has been a weak point, with 43 errors ranking 27th in the league.
On the other hand, the Rangers have been impressive, ranking 6th in hits and 5th in runs. Their batting average of .253 places them in the top 10, and their pitching staff, with an ERA of 3.71, ranks 6th. Despite some defensive lapses, with 44 errors ranking 26th, their overall performance has been consistent.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 9.5 |
| Baltimore Orioles Spread | -1.5 (+106) |
| Texas Rangers Spread | +1.5 (-128) |
| Baltimore Orioles Moneyline | -120 |
| Texas Rangers Moneyline | +110 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Means (BAL) | 5-4 | 3.12 | 87 |
| Dane Dunning (TEX) | 7-2 | 3.45 | 95 |
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Team Previews
Baltimore Orioles
Hitting: The Orioles' offense has been inconsistent, ranking 16th in hits (779) and 17th in runs (414). Their team batting average of .241 places them 18th in the league. Josh Smith leads the team with a .293 average, while Corey Seager has contributed 18 home runs.
Relief Pitching: The Orioles' bullpen has struggled, ranking 26th with 19 saves. Injuries to key relievers like Danny Coulombe and Felix Bautista have impacted their performance.
Fielding: Defensively, the Orioles have been one of the worst teams, with 43 errors ranking 27th in the league. This has cost them several games and remains a significant area of concern.
Starting Pitching: The starting rotation, led by John Means, has been decent, with an ERA of 3.98 ranking 15th. However, they need more consistency from their starters to compete against top teams.
Texas Rangers
Hitting: The Rangers' offense has been a standout, ranking 6th in hits (838) and 5th in runs (474). Their .253 batting average ranks 9th. Gunnar Henderson leads the team with a .286 average and 28 home runs, while Marcus Semien has driven in 63 runs.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been reliable, ranking 4th with 31 saves. They have managed to close out games effectively, contributing to their strong record.
Fielding: The Rangers' defense has been a weak point, with 44 errors ranking 26th. Improving their defensive performance will be crucial for maintaining their standing.
Starting Pitching: The starting rotation, led by Dane Dunning, has been solid, with a team ERA of 3.71 ranking 6th. They have been able to keep opposing offenses in check and provide stability.
Team Injuries
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heston Kjerstad | LF | Concussion | 7-Day IL (Expected to be out until at least Jul 20) |
| Danny Coulombe | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL (Expected to be out until at least Sep 1) |
| Felix Bautista | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL (Expected to be out until at least Feb 1) |
| Tyler Wells | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL (Expected to be out until at least May 1) |
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL (Expected to be out until at least Aug 5) |
| Josh Jung | 3B | Wrist | 7-Day IL (Expected to be out until at least Jul 22) |
| Evan Carter | LF | Back | 7-Day IL (Expected to be out until at least Jul 29) |
| Cody Bradford | SP | Ribs | 7-Day IL (Expected to be out until at least Jul 29) |
| Carson Coleman | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL (Expected to be out until at least Aug 4) |
Betting Trends
- Baltimore Orioles are 5-4 in their last 9 games against the spread.
- Baltimore Orioles have hit the over in 5 of their last 10 games.
- Texas Rangers are 6-3 in their last 9 games against the spread.
- Texas Rangers have hit the under in 6 of their last 10 games.
Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs. Tampa Bay | 4-7 | L |
| vs. Tampa Bay | 7-5 | W |
| @ New York Yankees | 3-6 | L |
| @ New York Yankees | 2-4 | L |
| @ New York Yankees | 5-3 | W |
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Houston Astros | 5-2 | W |
| @ Houston Astros | 2-4 | L |
| @ Houston Astros | 3-1 | W |
| vs. Seattle Mariners | 4-7 | L |
| vs. Seattle Mariners | 6-5 | W |
Team Rankings
| Category | Baltimore Orioles | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 16th | 6th |
| Starting Pitching | 15th | 6th |
| Relief Pitching | 26th | 4th |
| Fielding | 27th | 26th |
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Significant Betting Stats
- The Orioles are 5-7 in games decided by 2 runs or less.
- The Rangers are 10-4 in games decided by 2 runs or less.
- The Orioles have a 5-5 record in their last 10 road games.
- The Rangers have a 7-3 record in their last 10 home games.
- The Orioles' bullpen has a 4.50 ERA in their last 10 games.
- The Rangers' bullpen has a 3.20 ERA in their last 10 games.
- The Orioles have scored an average of 4.2 runs per game in their last 10 games.
- The Rangers have scored an average of 5.0 runs per game in their last 10 games.
- The Orioles have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games.
- The Rangers have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games.
Weather
The weather forecast for the game at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas, is mostly sunny with a temperature of 92°F. This could favor hitters, as the warm conditions may help the ball travel further.
Prediction
Pick: Texas Rangers to cover +1.5
Given the current form and statistical advantages, the Texas Rangers are well-positioned to cover the spread of +1.5. Their strong hitting lineup, combined with the Orioles' defensive struggles, makes this a favorable bet. Additionally, the Rangers' bullpen has been more reliable, which could be a deciding factor in a close game.
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