MLB Spread Picks of the Day: Marlins vs Mets 7/20
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MLB Spread Picks of the Day: Marlins vs Mets 7/20

 

MLB Spread Picks of the Day: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets 7/20

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Game Summary

The Miami Marlins face off against the New York Mets on July 20th at loanDepot Park in Miami, Florida. The Marlins have been struggling this season, with a dismal record of 33-63, ranking near the bottom in several key statistics. Their home record stands at 18-31, and they have had particular trouble away from home with a 15-32 record. The Marlins' hitting has been one of their weak points, with a team batting average of just .234, ranking 25th in the league. They have also struggled to produce runs, sitting at the 29th position with only 336 runs scored. On the other hand, the New York Mets hold a more promising record of 49-46. Despite a balanced home record of 26-26, their road performance has been stronger at 23-20. The Mets have been consistent in hitting, with a team batting average of .250, ranking 10th in the league. With 465 runs scored, they are positioned 8th, showing a more potent offensive lineup compared to the Marlins. As the game approaches, it's important to consider the starting pitchers. Roddery Munoz will start for the Marlins, bringing a 1-4 record with a 5.47 ERA. Jose Quintana will take the mound for the Mets, with a 4-6 record and a 4.13 ERA. The Marlins' pitching staff has struggled, with an overall team ERA of 4.60, ranking 29th, while the Mets have a slightly better team ERA of 4.23, ranking 22nd. The matchup presents a clear contrast in team performance and individual player stats, setting the stage for an intriguing game.

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Odds and Betting Lines

Market Odds
Over/Under 8.5
Miami Marlins Spread +1.5 (-120)
New York Mets Spread -1.5 (+100)
Miami Marlins Moneyline +150
New York Mets Moneyline -170

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Pitching Probables

Pitcher W-L ERA Strikeouts
Roddery Munoz (MIA) 1-4 5.47 42
Jose Quintana (NYM) 4-6 4.13 79

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Team Previews

Miami Marlins

Hitting: The Marlins have struggled offensively this season, with a team batting average of .234, ranking 25th in the league. Jazz Chisholm Jr. leads the team with a batting average of .249. Bryan De La Cruz has been a key player, leading the team in home runs (16) and RBIs (44).

Relief Pitching: The bullpen has not been a strong point for the Marlins, with only 16 saves, ranking last in the league. The team's overall ERA of 4.60 is also among the worst in the league.

Fielding: Defensively, the Marlins have committed 66 errors, ranking 2nd in the league, indicating struggles in fielding.

Starting Pitchers: Roddery Munoz will start this game with a 1-4 record and a 5.47 ERA. The starting rotation has been inconsistent, contributing to the team's overall struggles.

New York Mets

Hitting: The Mets have been more consistent offensively, with a team batting average of .250, ranking 10th. Francisco Lindor leads the team with a .253 average, while Pete Alonso has hit 19 home runs. Brandon Nimmo has contributed significantly with 63 RBIs.

Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been relatively solid with 25 saves, tied for 14th in the league. The team's overall ERA of 4.23 ranks 22nd, indicating some room for improvement.

Fielding: Defensively, the Mets have committed 64 errors, ranking 3rd in the league, showing some vulnerabilities in the field.

Starting Pitchers: Jose Quintana will start this game with a 4-6 record and a 4.13 ERA. The starting rotation has been decent, with Quintana being a reliable option.

Team Injuries

Miami Marlins

Player Position Injury Injury Status
Braxton Garrett SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
Dane Myers RF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

New York Mets

Player Position Injury Injury Status
Jose Quintana SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Jul 23

Betting Trends

  • Marlins are 1-5 in their last 6 home games.
  • Mets are 5-2 in their last 7 road games.
  • Under is 4-1 in Marlins' last 5 home games.
  • Over is 6-2 in Mets' last 8 road games.

Recent Games

Opponent Score W/L
New York Yankees 2-6 L
New York Yankees 3-5 L
New York Yankees 4-1 W
Baltimore Orioles 1-2 L
Baltimore Orioles 3-4 L

Team Rankings

Category Miami Marlins New York Mets
Hitting 22nd 10th
Starting Pitching 29th 22nd
Relief Pitching 30th 14th
Fielding 2nd 3rd

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Significant Betting Stats

  • Mets are 49-46 on the Moneyline this season.
  • Marlins are 33-63 on the Moneyline this season.
  • Mets are 49-46 against the spread this season.
  • Marlins are 42-54 against the spread this season.
  • Mets have a better road record (23-20) than Marlins' home record (18-31).
  • Mets' team ERA is 4.23, better than Marlins' ERA of 4.60.
  • Mets have scored 465 runs this season, compared to Marlins' 336.
  • Mets' batting average is .250, compared to Marlins' .234.
  • Marlins have committed 66 errors, whereas Mets have committed 64.

Weather

The weather forecast for the day of the game is intermittent clouds with a high temperature of 91°F. The game will be played indoors at loanDepot park, so weather conditions will not impact the play.

Prediction

Pick: New York Mets to cover -1.5

The New York Mets have a clear advantage in terms of both overall team performance and individual player statistics. With Jose Quintana on the mound, the Mets' pitching is more reliable compared to the Marlins' Roddery Munoz. Additionally, the Mets' offense has been more consistent, and their road performance has been solid. Given the Marlins' struggles at home and their overall poor record, the Mets are likely to cover the -1.5 spread in this matchup.

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