MLB Spread Picks of the Day: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/27
- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 26, 2024, 11:23:30 PM
MLB Spread Picks of the Day: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/27
Photo Credit: nan
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Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves will face off against the New York Mets on July 27 at Citi Field in Queens, New York. This game is pivotal as both teams are neck and neck in the standings, with the Braves holding a 55-48 record and the Mets at 54-48. Both teams have shown resilience and are looking to gain an edge in the highly competitive National League East.
The Braves have been solid on the road with a 27-22 record, while the Mets have been formidable at home, boasting a 30-21 record. The pitching matchup features Tylor Megill for the Braves, who has a 2-4 record with a 5.08 ERA, and Spencer Schwellenbach for the Mets, holding a 3-5 record and a 4.62 ERA. The Braves' offense has been more potent, ranking 6th in runs scored, while the Mets' pitching staff holds a slight advantage with a 3rd place ranking in ERA.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| Atlanta Braves Spread | -1.5 (+146) |
| New York Mets Spread | +1.5 (-178) |
| Atlanta Braves Moneyline | -120 |
| New York Mets Moneyline | +100 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tylor Megill (ATL) | 2-4 | 5.08 | 49 |
| Spencer Schwellenbach (NYM) | 3-5 | 4.62 | 49 |
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Team Previews
Atlanta Braves
Hitting: The Braves rank 6th in runs scored with 496 and have a team batting average of .249, ranking 11th. Francisco Lindor has been a standout, leading the team with a .257 batting average, 22 home runs, and 63 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Braves' bullpen has been effective, securing 28 saves, ranking 9th in the league.
Fielding: The Braves have committed 70 errors, ranking 3rd in fielding errors, showing room for improvement in their defensive play.
Starting Pitchers: Tylor Megill has struggled with a 5.08 ERA and a 2-4 record, highlighting the need for better performances from their starters.
New York Mets
Hitting: The Mets are ranked 20th in runs scored with 424 and have a team batting average of .240, ranking 17th. Marcell Ozuna leads the team with a .308 batting average, 29 home runs, and 81 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Mets' bullpen has contributed 26 saves, ranking 13th in the league.
Fielding: The Mets have committed only 43 errors, ranking 28th, showcasing their strong defensive capabilities.
Starting Pitchers: Spencer Schwellenbach has been more consistent with a 4.62 ERA and a 3-5 record, providing some stability to their rotation.
Team Injuries
Atlanta Braves
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Whit Merrifield | LF | Finger | Probable for Jul 26 |
New York Mets
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bader | CF | Ankle | Probable for Jul 27 |
| Dedniel Nunez | RP | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
| Kodai Senga | SP | Calf | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
Betting Trends
- Braves are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- Mets are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
- The total has gone under in 4 of the Braves' last 6 games.
- The total has gone over in 5 of the Mets' last 7 games at home.
- Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.
- Mets are 8-2 in their last 10 home games.
Recent Games
Atlanta Braves
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| St. Louis | 3-2 | W |
| St. Louis | 5-9 | L |
| St. Louis | 2-6 | L |
| Cincinnati | 1-4 | L |
| Cincinnati | 4-9 | L |
New York Mets
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Miami | 4-6 | L |
| Miami | 1-0 | W |
| Miami | 2-4 | L |
| Miami | 6-4 | W |
| New York | 3-2 | W |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Braves | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 6th | 20th |
| Starting Pitching | 20th | 3rd |
| Relief Pitching | 9th | 13th |
| Fielding | 3rd | 28th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Braves are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- Mets are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
- The total has gone under in 4 of the Braves' last 6 games.
- The total has gone over in 5 of the Mets' last 7 games at home.
- Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.
- Mets are 8-2 in their last 10 home games.
Weather
Mostly sunny with a high of 84°F.
Prediction
The Mets have shown better form recently, especially at home. With Schwellenbach providing some stability on the mound and the offensive prowess of Marcell Ozuna, the Mets have a slight edge. The Braves' pitching struggles, particularly with Megill, might make it difficult for them to cover the spread.
Pick: New York Mets to cover +1.5
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