MLB Spread Picks of the Day: Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/29
- Mr Wager
- Jul 29, 2024, 2:42:12 AM
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MLB Spread Picks of the Day: Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/29
Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves are set to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers on July 29 at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. The Braves (60-45) have been competitive in the National League East, showcasing a strong batting lineup that currently ranks 5th in batting average (.254) and 9th in runs scored (498) for the season. Their pitching staff has also been solid with a team ERA of 3.74, ranking 7th in the league.
On the other hand, the Milwaukee Brewers (56-48) are looking to improve their standing in the NL Central. The Brewers have struggled offensively with only 441 runs scored, ranking 21st in the league, but they counterbalance this with a strong pitching performance, holding a 3.47 team ERA, which is 3rd overall.
The matchup features Colin Rea (9-3, 3.60 ERA) for the Braves, who has been effective in his starts, and Grant Holmes (0-0, 2.70 ERA) for the Brewers, who has shown promise despite limited innings. Both teams will be eager to capitalize on this critical game as they look to solidify their playoff positions.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | Not Available |
| Atlanta Braves Spread | -1.5 |
| Milwaukee Brewers Spread | +1.5 |
| Atlanta Braves Moneyline | -195 |
| Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline | +170 |
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Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Holmes (MIL) | 0-0 | 2.70 | 0.94 | 23.1 | 17 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| Colin Rea (ATL) | 9-3 | 3.60 | 1.21 | 110.0 | 100 | 84 | 33 | 14 |
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Team Previews
Atlanta Braves
The Braves have been a formidable team this season, ranking 7th in hits with 907 and featuring a balanced offensive attack. The team’s batting average of .254 is bolstered by key players like William Contreras, who leads the team with a .286 batting average. Rhys Hoskins has also been pivotal, contributing 17 home runs and 68 RBIs.
On the pitching side, Colin Rea has been effective with a 3.60 ERA over 110 innings pitched. The Braves' bullpen has been reliable, contributing to a total of 35 saves, ranked 3rd in the league. However, they have faced issues with errors, sitting at 16th in the league with 55.
Milwaukee Brewers
The Brewers have had their ups and downs this season. While they rank 3rd in ERA (3.47), their offense has struggled, sitting at 19th in batting average (.239) and 21st in runs scored (441). Marcell Ozuna has been the standout player, boasting a .306 batting average, 30 home runs, and 82 RBIs, which has kept the Brewers competitive.
Grant Holmes, the probable starter, has shown promise with a 2.70 ERA in limited innings. The Brewers' bullpen has also been strong, with 26 saves, which is tied for 15th in the league. They will need to capitalize on their pitching strength to overcome any offensive shortcomings in this matchup.
Team Injuries
Atlanta Braves
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reynaldo Lopez | SP | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Aug 3 |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Hudson | RP | Oblique | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
Betting Trends
- The Braves are 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games.
- The Brewers are 3-2 against the spread in their last 5 games.
- Atlanta has covered the spread in 60% of their road games this season.
- Milwaukee has struggled against teams with a winning record, going 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against such teams.
Recent Games
Atlanta Braves
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs St. Louis | Postponed | Postponed |
| vs St. Louis | W3-2 F/10 | W |
| vs St. Louis | L9-5 | L |
| vs St. Louis | L6-2 | L |
| vs Cincinnati | L4-1 | L |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Minnesota | W8-4 F/12 | W |
| @ Minnesota | W8-7 | W |
| @ Chicago | L3-1 | L |
| @ Chicago | W1-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | W3-2 | W |
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Team Rankings
| Team | Hitting | Starting Pitching | Relief Pitching | Fielding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | 5th | 7th | 3rd | 16th |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 19th | 3rd | 15th | 27th |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Braves are 6-4 in their last 10 games against the spread.
- The Brewers are 5-5 in their last 10 games against the spread.
- Atlanta has a 60% win rate when scoring 5 or more runs in a game.
- Milwaukee's pitching staff has allowed an average of 4.2 runs per game this season.
- When playing at home, the Brewers are 20-10 against the spread.
- The Braves have a 45-31 record against the spread this season.
- Atlanta is 12-8 in one-run games this year.
- Milwaukee has a strong 11-4 record in extra-inning games this season.
- Both teams have shown a tendency to go Under the total in their recent matchups.
- The Braves are 5-2 against the spread in their last 7 games against the Brewers.
Weather
Weather: Cloudy, 84°F
Prediction
Pick: Atlanta Braves -1.5
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