MLB Spread Picks: Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals 7/20

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Game Summary

On July 20th, the Atlanta Braves will host the St. Louis Cardinals at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. This matchup features two teams with playoff aspirations, both looking to gain ground in their respective divisions. The Braves, boasting a record of 53-42, are currently 8th in the MLB standings, while the Cardinals, with a record of 50-46, are 12th. This game is crucial for both teams as they aim to solidify their standings and build momentum in the second half of the season.

The Braves are led by starting pitcher Charlie Morton, who has a record of 5-5 with a 4.07 ERA. Morton's performance has been solid, but consistency has been an issue. On the other side, the Cardinals will counter with Kyle Gibson, who has been slightly better with a 7-3 record and a 4.16 ERA. The pitching duel promises to be an interesting one, with both pitchers having the capability to dominate on any given night.

Offensively, both teams have had their ups and downs. The Braves are ranked 17th in hits and batting average (.241), while the Cardinals rank slightly better at 14th in hits and 13th in batting average (.245). Key players to watch include Marcell Ozuna for the Braves, who leads the team with a .303 batting average, 26 home runs, and 77 RBIs. For the Cardinals, Alec Burleson has been impressive with a .288 batting average, and Nolan Gorman has provided power with 17 home runs.

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Odds and Betting Lines

Bet Type	Odds
Over/Under	O/U 8.5
Spread	Braves -1.5
Moneyline	Braves -160, Cardinals +140

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Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Charlie Morton (ATL)	5-5	4.07	97
Kyle Gibson (STL)	7-3	4.16	96

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Team Previews

Atlanta Braves

Hitting: The Braves' offense has been anchored by Marcell Ozuna, who leads the team in batting average (.303), home runs (26), and RBIs (77). Despite ranking 17th in hits and batting average, the Braves have shown the ability to score runs in bunches, especially at home.

Relief Pitching: The Braves' bullpen has been a strength, with 26 saves (tied for 9th in MLB) and a team ERA of 3.40, which is the best in the league. The bullpen's ability to close out games will be crucial in this matchup.

Fielding: Defensively, the Braves have struggled, ranking 30th in errors with 39. Improving their fielding will be key to supporting their pitchers and preventing unearned runs.

Starting Pitchers: Charlie Morton leads the rotation with a 5-5 record and a 4.07 ERA. His ability to go deep into games and keep the Cardinals' hitters off balance will be crucial.

St. Louis Cardinals

Hitting: The Cardinals have a balanced offense, with Alec Burleson leading the team in batting average (.288) and Nolan Gorman providing power with 17 home runs. They rank 14th in hits and 13th in batting average, showing consistency at the plate.

Relief Pitching: The Cardinals' bullpen has been solid, leading the league with 35 saves. Their team ERA of 4.02 ranks 16th, indicating some room for improvement but generally reliable performance.

Fielding: Defensively, the Cardinals have committed 46 errors (tied for 22nd). While not the best, their defensive play has been adequate, and they will need to minimize mistakes against a potent Braves lineup.

Starting Pitchers: Kyle Gibson has been a key part of the rotation with a 7-3 record and a 4.16 ERA. His ability to limit the Braves' offense will be a determining factor in this game.

Team Injuries

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Michael Harris	CF	Hamstring	Expected to be out until at least Aug 1

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Steven Matz	SP	Back	Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
Tommy Edman	2B	Wrist	Expected to be out until at least Jul 29

Betting Trends

• Braves are 8-2 in their last 10 home games.
• Cardinals are 5-5 in their last 10 road games.
• Braves have hit the over in 6 of their last 10 games.
• Cardinals have hit the under in 7 of their last 10 games.

Recent Games

Opponent	Score	W/L
Marlins	5-4	W
Marlins	3-2	L
Mets	4-6	L
Mets	7-6	W
Phillies	2-1	W

Opponent	Score	W/L
Brewers	4-3	W
Brewers	2-5	L
Dodgers	6-4	W
Dodgers	1-3	L
Rockies	7-2	W

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Team Rankings

Category	Braves Ranking	Cardinals Ranking
Hitting	17th	14th
Starting Pitching	1st	16th
Relief Pitching	9th	1st
Fielding	30th	22nd

Significant Betting Stats

• Braves are 8-2 in their last 10 home games.
• Braves have the best team ERA in MLB at 3.40.
• Cardinals bullpen leads the league with 35 saves.
• Marcell Ozuna leads the Braves in batting average, home runs, and RBIs.
• Cardinals' Alec Burleson has a .288 batting average.
• Braves are ranked 17th in hits and batting average.
• Cardinals are ranked 14th in hits and 13th in batting average.
• Cardinals are 5-5 in their last 10 road games.
• Braves have hit the over in 6 of their last 10 games.
• Cardinals have hit the under in 7 of their last 10 games.

Weather

The weather for the game is expected to be thunderstorms with a temperature of 76°F. This could potentially impact the game, especially for the pitchers and fielders.

Prediction

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