MLB Spread Picks and Predictions: Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers 7/20

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Game Summary

The Boston Red Sox will take on the Los Angeles Dodgers on July 20 at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California. The Red Sox have had a strong season so far, boasting a record of 56-41, and they have performed well both at home (28-19) and on the road (28-22). The Dodgers, with a 53-42 record, have been formidable as well, especially on the road where they have a 29-17 record, though they have been less dominant at home with a 24-25 record.

Both teams have potent offenses, with the Red Sox ranking 4th in hits and 3rd in runs scored, while the Dodgers are 7th in hits and 12th in runs. The pitching matchup for this game features Justin Wrobleski for the Red Sox and Brayan Bello for the Dodgers. Wrobleski has struggled with a 6.30 ERA, while Bello has been slightly better with a 5.32 ERA but has accumulated 10 wins this season.

Historically, these two teams have had competitive matchups, and this game promises to be an exciting contest with significant playoff implications.

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Odds and Betting Lines

Betting Market	Odds
Over/Under	O/U 9.5
Spread - Boston Red Sox	+1.5 (-172)
Spread - Los Angeles Dodgers	-1.5 (+142)
Moneyline - Boston Red Sox	+105
Moneyline - Los Angeles Dodgers	-125

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Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Justin Wrobleski (BOS)	0-1	6.30	8
Brayan Bello (LAD)	10-5	5.32	85

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Team Previews

Boston Red Sox

The Boston Red Sox have been impressive this season with a strong offensive lineup. They rank 4th in hits (842), 3rd in runs scored (479), and have a batting average of .254, ranking 6th in the league. Shohei Ohtani has been a standout player for the Red Sox, leading the team with a .316 batting average, 29 home runs, and 69 RBIs.

On the pitching side, the Red Sox have a solid bullpen with 28 saves, ranking 7th in the league. However, their starting pitching has been a mixed bag, with Justin Wrobleski struggling with a 6.30 ERA. The team's overall ERA is 3.76, which is 8th best in the league. Defensively, the Red Sox have committed 48 errors, ranking them tied for 18th in the league.

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Los Angeles Dodgers have also had a strong season. They rank 7th in hits (834) and 12th in runs scored (446), with a team batting average of .255, which is 4th in the league. Rafael Devers has been a key player for the Dodgers, leading the team with a .295 batting average, 23 home runs, and 61 RBIs.

The Dodgers' bullpen has been effective with 26 saves, ranking tied for 9th in the league. Brayan Bello has been a reliable starter with a 10-5 record, though his ERA is a bit high at 5.32. The team's overall ERA is 3.64, ranking 5th in the league. The Dodgers have committed 68 errors, the highest in the league, which could be a concern in close games.

Team Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Bryan Mata	RP	Lat	Expected to be out until at least Aug 2

Los Angeles Dodgers

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Jason Heyward	RF	Knee	Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
Tyler Glasnow	SP	Back	Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
Walker Buehler	SP	Hip	Expected to be out until at least Jul 24

Betting Trends

• Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
• Dodgers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
• Red Sox have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games.
• Dodgers have failed to cover the spread in 3 of their last 5 games.

Recent Games

Boston Red Sox	Score	W/L
@ Los Angeles Dodgers	3-4	L
@ Los Angeles Dodgers	5-2	W
@ Los Angeles Dodgers	2-6	L
@ Colorado Rockies	7-5	W
@ Colorado Rockies	4-3	W

Los Angeles Dodgers	Score	W/L
vs Boston Red Sox	4-3	W
vs Boston Red Sox	2-5	L
vs Boston Red Sox	6-2	W
vs San Francisco Giants	3-1	W
vs San Francisco Giants	5-8	L

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Team Rankings

Category	Boston Red Sox	Los Angeles Dodgers
Hitting	4th	7th
Starting Pitching	8th	5th
Relief Pitching	7th	9th
Fielding	18th	1st

Significant Betting Stats

• The Red Sox are 10-5 against the spread in their last 15 games.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the spread in 7 of their last 10 home games.
• The Red Sox have an overall win percentage of .577.
• The Dodgers have an overall win percentage of .558.
• Red Sox games have gone under the total in 8 of their last 10 road games.
• Dodgers games have gone over the total in 6 of their last 10 home games.
• Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record.
• Dodgers are 3-4 in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record.
• The total has gone under in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
• Justin Wrobleski's ERA is significantly higher than Brayan Bello's.

Weather

Weather for the game is expected to be mostly sunny with a temperature of 87°F. For more details, check the Weather Forecast.

Prediction

The Boston Red Sox have shown strong performances on the road and have a potent offense that can challenge the Dodgers' pitching staff. Despite Justin Wrobleski's struggles, the Red Sox bullpen has been reliable. Given the Dodgers' inconsistency at home and their high error rate, the Red Sox stand a good chance of covering the spread.

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