MLB Spread Picks and Predictions: Orioles vs Yankees 7/13

- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 12, 2024, 7:34:16 PM
MLB Spread Picks and Predictions: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees 7/13

Photo Credit: © Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Baltimore Orioles will face off against the New York Yankees on July 13 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. This matchup features two top teams from the American League East, both of whom have been performing exceptionally well this season. The Orioles currently boast a record of 57-36, placing them second in the division, while the Yankees are just behind with a 56-39 record, occupying the fourth spot. The Orioles have been impressive both at home and on the road, with a 29-20 record at home and 28-16 on the road. The Yankees have been similarly strong with a 25-19 home record and 31-20 on the road.
In their most recent encounters, the Orioles have had mixed results, showcasing both high-scoring victories and tough losses. Similarly, the Yankees have demonstrated resilience and competitive spirit in their recent games, making this matchup highly anticipated by fans and analysts alike.
Pitching will be a focal point in this game, with Grayson Rodriguez starting for the Orioles and Luis Gil taking the mound for the Yankees. Both pitchers have been consistent, with Rodriguez holding an 11-3 record and a 3.52 ERA, while Gil has a 9-5 record and a 3.27 ERA. The outcome of this game will likely hinge on their performances, as well as the offensive capabilities of both teams.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| Baltimore Orioles Spread | -1.5 |
| New York Yankees Spread | +1.5 |
| Baltimore Orioles Moneyline | -152 |
| New York Yankees Moneyline | +172 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts | WHIP | IP | H | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson Rodriguez (BAL) | 11-3 | 3.52 | 105 | 1.21 | 94.2 | 85 | 30 | 10 |
| Luis Gil (NYY) | 9-5 | 3.27 | 111 | 1.09 | 96.1 | 57 | 48 | 9 |
Team Previews
Baltimore Orioles
Hitting: The Orioles have been one of the best hitting teams this season, ranking 2nd in runs scored with 466 and tied for 4th in hits with 816. Gunnar Henderson leads the team with a .288 batting average, 27 home runs, and 61 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: Baltimore's bullpen has been solid, boasting 31 saves, which ranks 4th in the league. They have a team ERA of 3.66, ranking 6th.
Fielding: The Orioles have committed 43 errors, ranking tied for 24th in the league. Their defensive play will need to be sharp to support their pitchers.
Starting Pitchers: The rotation has been anchored by Grayson Rodriguez, who has a strong 11-3 record and a 3.52 ERA.
New York Yankees
Hitting: The Yankees lead the league in runs scored with 473 and are ranked 11th in hits with 782. Aaron Judge has been a standout performer, hitting .304 with 32 home runs and 83 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Yankees' bullpen has been effective, securing 26 saves, ranking tied for 8th. Their team ERA is 3.60, ranking 4th.
Fielding: New York has committed 56 errors, placing them tied for 6th in the league. Solid defensive play will be crucial in this game.
Starting Pitchers: Luis Gil has been a key part of the rotation, with a 9-5 record and a 3.27 ERA. His performance will be pivotal in this matchup.
Team Injuries
Baltimore Orioles
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Bradish | SP | Elbow | Out for the season |
New York Yankees
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| J.D. Davis | 1B | Illness | Expected to be out until at least Jul 20 |
Betting Trends
- The Orioles are 10-3 in their last 13 home games.
- The Yankees are 5-5 in their last 10 away games.
- The Orioles have covered the spread in 50 out of 93 games this season.
- The Yankees have covered the spread in 47 out of 95 games this season.
- The total has gone under in 7 of the last 10 games for the Orioles.
- The total has gone under in 6 of the last 10 games for the Yankees.
- The Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the Yankees.
- The Yankees are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the Orioles.
- The total has gone over in 3 of the last 5 games between these two teams.
- The Orioles are 5-2 in their last 7 home games against teams with a winning record.
Recent Games
Baltimore Orioles
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago | 0-4 | L |
| Chicago | 0-8 | L |
| Oakland | 6-3 | W |
| Oakland | 8-19 | L |
| Oakland | 3-2 | W |
New York Yankees
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | 4-5 | L |
| Tampa Bay | 1-2 | W |
| Tampa Bay | 3-5 | L |
| Boston | 0-3 | L |
| Boston | 4-14 | W |
Team Rankings
| Category | Baltimore Orioles | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 7th | 12th |
| Starting Pitching | 6th | 4th |
| Relief Pitching | 4th | 8th |
| Fielding | 24th | 6th |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Orioles are 57-36 overall this season.
- The Yankees are 56-39 overall this season.
- The Orioles have a home record of 29-20.
- The Yankees have a road record of 31-20.
- The Orioles are 11-3 in games started by Grayson Rodriguez.
- The Yankees are 9-5 in games started by Luis Gil.
- The total has gone under in 54% of Orioles games this season.
- The total has gone under in 52% of Yankees games this season.
- The Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the Yankees.
- The Yankees are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the Orioles.
Weather
The weather for the game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is expected to be partly sunny, with a temperature of 87°F. Fans can expect warm and pleasant conditions for the game.
Prediction
Pick: Baltimore Orioles -1.5
I am picking the Baltimore Orioles to cover the -1.5 spread in this matchup. Grayson Rodriguez has been stellar this season, and the Orioles' offense has been one of the best in the league. The Yankees have been solid, but with their recent form and the Orioles' home advantage, Baltimore is in a strong position to secure a victory and cover the spread. The Orioles' bullpen has also been reliable, and I expect them to limit the Yankees' scoring opportunities.


