MLB Spread Picks and Odds: Astros vs Mariners 7/19
- Kingpin
- Jul 18, 2024, 7:24:10 PM
MLB Spread Picks and Odds: Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners 7/19
Game Summary
The Houston Astros will travel to T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington, to face the Seattle Mariners on July 19. This game is crucial for both teams as they are neck and neck in the standings, with the Astros holding a 52-46 record and the Mariners closely behind at 50-46. The Astros have shown resilience on the road, while the Mariners are formidable at home.
Houston's pitching has been stellar, ranking 3rd in ERA at 3.46. However, their hitting has struggled, ranking 30th in AVG at .219, and 27th in runs scored with 379. Standout performances have come from players like Julio Rodriguez, who leads the team with a .267 batting average, and Cal Raleigh, who has 20 home runs. On the other hand, the Mariners boast one of the best offenses in the league, ranking 1st in AVG at .262 and 2nd in hits with 866. Jose Altuve has been a key player with a .306 batting average, and Yordan Alvarez leads in home runs with 19.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | TBD |
| Houston Astros Spread | 1.5 |
| Seattle Mariners Spread | -1.5 |
| Houston Astros Moneyline | -205 |
| Seattle Mariners Moneyline | +168 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| H. Brown (HOU) | 7-6 | 4.39 | 105 |
| Undecided (SEA) | -- | -- | -- |
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Team Previews
Houston Astros
Hitting: The Astros have struggled offensively this season, ranking last in hits and batting average. Julio Rodriguez has been a bright spot with a .267 average, but the team needs more consistent production.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been a strength, with the team tied for 9th in saves. This has helped Houston secure close games.
Fielding: The Astros have committed 51 errors, ranking 14th in the league. Improved defense will be key to their success.
Starting Pitchers: The starting rotation has been solid, anchored by players like H. Brown. Houston's 3rd-ranked ERA of 3.46 demonstrates their pitching prowess.
Seattle Mariners
Hitting: The Mariners boast the best batting average in the league at .262 and are 2nd in hits. Jose Altuve and Yordan Alvarez have been key contributors.
Relief Pitching: Seattle's bullpen has been mediocre, tied for 18th in saves. Improved relief pitching will be crucial for their playoff push.
Fielding: The Mariners have been one of the best defensive teams, with only 41 errors, ranking 29th in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Seattle's starting rotation has been average, with a team ERA of 4.03. They need more consistency from their starters to compete with top teams.
Team Injuries
Houston Astros
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia | SP | Elbow | Out until at least Aug 12 |
| Blair Henley | SP | Undisclosed | Out until at least Jul 22 |
Seattle Mariners
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryne Stanek | RP | Back | Out until at least Jul 19 |
Betting Trends
- The Astros are 3-7 in their last 10 road games.
- The Mariners are 5-5 in their last 10 home games.
- Houston is 6-4 against Seattle in their last 10 meetings.
- The total has gone under in 6 of Houston's last 10 games.
- The total has gone over in 7 of Seattle's last 10 games.
Recent Games
Houston Astros
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Oakland | 5-4 | W |
| @ Texas | 3-6 | L |
| @ Texas | 4-2 | W |
| @ Texas | 1-4 | L |
| vs New York | 7-5 | W |
Seattle Mariners
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Los Angeles | 8-5 | W |
| @ Los Angeles | 3-4 | L |
| @ Los Angeles | 2-6 | L |
| vs Baltimore | 5-3 | W |
| vs Baltimore | 1-2 | L |
Team Rankings
| Category | Houston Astros | Seattle Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 30th | 1st |
| Starting Pitching | 3rd | 17th |
| Relief Pitching | Tied-9th | Tied-18th |
| Fielding | Tied-14th | 29th |
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Significant Betting Stats
- Astros are 6-4 against the Mariners in their last 10 meetings.
- Mariners have a better home record at 28-21 compared to Astros' away record of 22-28.
- Astros have a superior pitching staff, ranked 3rd in ERA.
- Mariners lead the league in batting average and hits.
- Astros are 3-7 in their last 10 road games.
- Mariners are 5-5 in their last 10 home games.
- Houston is 6-4 straight up in their last 10 games.
- Seattle is 5-5 straight up in their last 10 games.
- The total has gone under in 6 of Houston's last 10 games.
- The total has gone over in 7 of Seattle's last 10 games.
Weather
The weather forecast for the game is mostly sunny with a temperature of 77°F.
Prediction
Pick: Seattle Mariners to cover -1.5
Given the Mariners' strong home record and superior hitting, they have the advantage in this matchup. The Astros' struggles on the road and hitting woes give Seattle the edge. Despite Houston's strong pitching, the Mariners' offense should be able to produce enough runs to cover the spread.
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