MLB Spread Picks and Bets: Phillies vs Pirates - 7/19

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 18, 2024, 4:11:25 PM
© Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
MLB Spread Picks and Bets: Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates - 7/19

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Game Summary
The Philadelphia Phillies will face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates on July 19 at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The game is set to be an exciting showdown, with both teams having a lot to prove. The Phillies, currently with a record of 48-48, are looking to gain momentum and improve their standings. They have been fairly consistent both at home (22-24) and on the road (26-24). However, they are facing some challenges with key players like Zack Wheeler, Taijuan Walker, and J.T. Realmuto out due to injuries.
On the other hand, the Pittsburgh Pirates are having an impressive season with a record of 62-34. They have a strong home record of 37-16 and have been performing well on the road as well (25-18). The Pirates' hitting has been particularly noteworthy, ranking 3rd in hits with 846 and 4th in runs with 477. They also boast a solid pitching staff, with an ERA of 3.41, ranking 2nd in the league.
Aaron Nola will likely be the starting pitcher for the Phillies. He has been a key player for them, with an 11-4 record and a 3.38 ERA. The Pirates have yet to announce their starting pitcher for this matchup. Given the current form and the home advantage, the Pirates will be looking to extend their winning streak and maintain their position at the top of the standings.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| Spreads | Phillies -1.5 (+122), Pirates +1.5 (-146) |
| Moneyline | Phillies -120, Pirates +100 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola (PHI) | 11-4 | 3.38 | 116 |
| Undecided (PIT) | -- | -- | -- |
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Team Previews
Philadelphia Phillies
Hitting: The Phillies have been struggling with their batting, ranking 27th in average with .231. They have accumulated 751 hits and 402 runs, ranking 24th and 21st respectively. Key players like Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm have been leading the team in batting average and RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Phillies' bullpen has recorded 25 saves, ranking 14th in the league. Their combined ERA is 3.86, ranking 13th. Injuries to key relievers like Dylan Covey and Luis Ortiz have impacted their performance.
Fielding: The Phillies have committed 48 errors, ranking 18th in the league. Their defense will need to be more solid to support their pitchers.
Starting Pitchers: Aaron Nola has been the standout performer with an 11-4 record and a 3.38 ERA. The absence of Zack Wheeler and Ranger Suarez due to injuries has put more pressure on the remaining starters.
Pittsburgh Pirates
Hitting: The Pirates have been one of the best hitting teams in the league, ranking 3rd in hits (846) and batting average (.259). They have also scored 477 runs, ranking 4th. Bryan Reynolds has been a key player, leading the team in home runs and RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Pirates' bullpen has been solid, with 26 saves, ranking 9th. They have a combined ERA of 3.41, which is the 2nd best in the league. The bullpen has been crucial in securing their victories.
Fielding: The Pirates have committed 56 errors, ranking 9th. Their solid defense has been a significant factor in their success this season.
Starting Pitchers: The Pirates' starting rotation has been impressive, with a combined ERA of 3.41. The team has yet to announce their starting pitcher for this game, but they will be looking to continue their strong performance on the mound.
Team Injuries
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler | SP | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 22 |
| Taijuan Walker | SP | Finger | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
| J.T. Realmuto | C | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Jul 22 |
| Dylan Covey | RP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
| Luis Ortiz | RP | Elbow | Out for the season |
| Michael Rucker | RP | Hand | Expected to be out until at least Jul 19 |
| Ranger Suarez | SP | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 22 |
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Borucki | RP | Wrist | Expected to be out until at least Jul 19 |
Betting Trends
- The Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record.
- The Pirates are 8-2 in their last 10 home games.
- The Phillies have gone under in 6 of their last 8 road games.
- The Pirates have gone over in 4 of their last 6 games at home.
Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Pittsburgh | 6-4 | W |
| @ Pittsburgh | 6-4 | W |
| @ Pittsburgh | 1-3 | L |
| @ Minnesota | 7-4 | W |
| @ Minnesota | 1-5 | L |
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia | 6-4 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | 6-4 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | 1-3 | L |
| vs St. Louis | 7-4 | W |
| vs St. Louis | 1-5 | L |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Philadelphia Phillies | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 27th | 3rd |
| Starting Pitching | 13th | 2nd |
| Relief Pitching | 14th | 9th |
| Fielding | 18th | 9th |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Phillies are 48-48 overall this season.
- The Pirates are 62-34 overall this season.
- The Phillies have a 22-24 home record.
- The Pirates have a 37-16 home record.
- The Phillies are 26-24 on the road.
- The Pirates are 25-18 on the road.
- The Phillies have a team batting average of .231, ranking 27th.
- The Pirates have a team batting average of .259, ranking 3rd.
- The Phillies have an ERA of 3.86, ranking 13th.
- The Pirates have an ERA of 3.41, ranking 2nd.
Weather
The weather for the game is expected to be mostly sunny with a temperature of 83°F. This should provide ideal conditions for both players and fans. Weather Details
Prediction
Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates to cover +1.5
The Pittsburgh Pirates have been in excellent form this season, particularly at home. Their strong hitting lineup and solid pitching staff give them an edge over the Phillies. While Aaron Nola is a formidable pitcher, the Pirates' offense has been consistent and is likely to challenge him. Considering the Pirates' home record and the Phillies' injury concerns, the Pirates covering the spread at +1.5 seems to be the safer bet.
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