MLB Spread Picks and Bets: Mets vs Nationals 7/11

MLB Spread Picks and Bets: Mets vs Nationals 7/11

MLB Spread Picks and Bets: New York Mets vs Washington Nationals (7/11)

 

Game Summary

The New York Mets will face the Washington Nationals on July 11 at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The Mets currently hold a .500 record, standing at 45-45, while the Nationals are lagging behind with a record of 42-50. This game will feature an intriguing pitching matchup between David Peterson for the Mets and MacKenzie Gore for the Nationals.

David Peterson (3-0, 3.58 ERA) has been consistent for the Mets, delivering solid performances in his limited outings this season. On the other hand, MacKenzie Gore (6-7, 3.83 ERA) has shown flashes of brilliance but has struggled with consistency. Both teams have had their ups and downs this season, but the Mets have a slight edge, especially playing at home.

The Mets' offense is spearheaded by Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso, who have been instrumental in driving in runs. The Nationals, despite their subpar record, have a solid contributor in Luis Garcia Jr., who leads the team with a .277 batting average. This game promises to be an exciting clash between two teams looking to gain momentum as we approach the mid-point of the season.

 

Odds and Betting Lines

Market Odds
Over/Under 9.5
New York Mets Spread -1.5
Washington Nationals Spread +1.5
New York Mets Moneyline -152
Washington Nationals Moneyline +184

 

Pitching Probables

Pitcher W-L ERA Strikeouts
David Peterson (NYM) 3-0 3.58 27
MacKenzie Gore (WAS) 6-7 3.83 112

 

Team Previews

New York Mets

The Mets' hitting has been solid, ranking 10th in MLB with 770 hits and a team batting average of .248. Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been key contributors, with Lindor leading the team in batting average (.253) and Alonso in home runs (18). The pitching staff, however, has struggled at times, with a team ERA of 4.25, placing them 21st in MLB. Despite these challenges, the Mets' bullpen has managed 22 saves, ranking them 16th in the league.

Washington Nationals

The Nationals' offense has been less potent, ranking 19th with 726 hits and a team batting average of .239. Luis Garcia Jr. has been a standout performer, leading the team with a .277 batting average. The pitching staff has also faced difficulties, with a team ERA of 4.06, placing them 17th in MLB. The bullpen has been relatively reliable, securing 24 saves, ranking them 12th in the league.

Team Injuries

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Reed Garrett RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Trevor Williams SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 27

 

Betting Trends

  • Mets are 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
  • Nationals are 2-5 in their last 7 road games.
  • The over is 4-1 in the Mets' last 5 home games.
  • The under is 5-2 in the Nationals' last 7 road games.

### Recent Games

Opponent Score W/L
Washington 7-5 W
Pittsburgh 2-8 L
Pittsburgh 3-2 W
Pittsburgh 5-2 W
Pittsburgh 2-14 L
Opponent Score W/L
New York 5-7 L
St. Louis 0-6 L
St. Louis 3-8 L
St. Louis 6-14 W
St. Louis 7-6 L

Team Rankings

Category New York Mets Washington Nationals
Hitting 10th 19th
Starting Pitching 21st 17th
Relief Pitching 16th 12th
Fielding 2nd (61 errors) 12th (51 errors)

 

Significant Betting Stats

  • Mets are 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
  • Nationals are 2-5 in their last 7 road games.
  • The over is 4-1 in the Mets' last 5 home games.
  • The under is 5-2 in the Nationals' last 7 road games.
  • Mets are 10th in hitting with 770 total hits.
  • Nationals are 19th in hitting with 726 hits.
  • Mets' bullpen has 22 saves, ranking 16th in the league.
  • Nationals' bullpen has 24 saves, ranking 12th in the league.
  • David Peterson has a 3.58 ERA in limited innings.
  • MacKenzie Gore has 112 strikeouts, showing strong potential.

 

Weather

The weather forecast for the game day at Citi Field is mostly cloudy with thunderstorms. The temperature is expected to be around 84°F, which could affect the game atmosphere.

 

Prediction

Pick: New York Mets to cover -1.5

The Mets have been consistent at home and have a slight edge in both hitting and starting pitching. David Peterson's solid performance in limited appearances and the Mets' stronger offensive lineup give them an advantage. Although the Nationals have shown resilience, their recent form and the fact that they are on the road make the Mets the better pick to cover the spread of -1.5. Additionally, the Mets' recent home performance trends indicate a likelihood of them winning by more than one run.

Upgrade to View Prediction
Winnings $95,870
last 30 days winnings $27,710
Yesterday winnings $30
Top Sport MLB
W-L-D 1506 - 1295 - 105
Winnings % 51%
Winnings $92,795
last 30 days winnings $9,150
Yesterday winnings $280
Top Sport MLB
W-L-D 774 - 517 - 14
Winnings % 58%
Winnings $51,760
last 30 days winnings $3,170
Yesterday winnings ($130)
Top Sport MLB
W-L-D 420 - 283 - 8
Winnings % 58%