MLB Spread Picks and Bets: Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays - 7/12
- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 11, 2024, 10:45:36 PM
© Rick Scuteri-USA TODAY Sports
MLB Spread Picks and Bets: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Toronto Blue Jays - 7/12
Read our expert spread pick for the Arizona Diamondbacks vs Toronto Blue Jays game on July 12. Get the latest odds, betting trends, and in-depth team analysis.
Game Summary
The Arizona Diamondbacks will host the Toronto Blue Jays at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona, on July 12. This game features two teams with contrasting fortunes this season. The Diamondbacks, currently holding a 46-47 record, are looking to break even and keep their playoff hopes alive. They have performed admirably at home with a 23-23 record. On the other hand, the Blue Jays are struggling with a 43-50 record and have a subpar 22-26 record on the road.
Arizona's offense has been relatively potent, ranking 5th in runs scored (457) and 8th in hits (797) in the league. Their pitching, however, has been a significant concern, with an ERA of 4.63, ranking 29th. The Blue Jays have struggled offensively, ranking 25th in runs scored (372) and 26th in hits (711). Their pitching has been slightly better, with an ERA of 4.35, ranking 23rd.
Ryne Nelson (6-6, 5.08 ERA) will take the mound for the Diamondbacks, while Yariel Rodriguez (1-3, 3.68 ERA) will pitch for the Blue Jays. Nelson has had his ups and downs this season, and the Diamondbacks will need a solid performance from him to secure a win. Rodriguez has shown promise and will look to continue his decent form against a potent Arizona lineup.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks Spread | -1.5 (+164) |
| Toronto Blue Jays Spread | +1.5 (-184) |
| Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline | -135 |
| Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline | +115 |
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yariel Rodriguez (TOR) | 1-3 | 3.68 | 1.33 | 29.1 | 24 | 29 | 15 | 3 |
| Ryne Nelson (ARI) | 6-6 | 5.08 | 1.48 | 79.2 | 98 | 54 | 20 | 10 |
Team Previews
Arizona Diamondbacks
Hitting: The Diamondbacks have been impressive offensively, ranking 8th in hits (797) and 5th in runs scored (457). Ketel Marte leads the team with a batting average of .283, while Christian Walker has been the power hitter with 22 home runs and 66 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has struggled, with a team ERA of 4.63, ranking 29th in the league. This is a significant area of concern for the Diamondbacks, and they will need their relievers to step up to support their starting pitchers.
Fielding: The Diamondbacks have committed 40 errors this season, ranking 27th in the league. Clean fielding will be crucial to avoid giving away easy runs to the opposition.
Starting Pitchers: Ryne Nelson, their probable starter, has had a mixed season with a 6-6 record and a 5.08 ERA. He will need to deliver a strong performance to give his team a chance to win.
Toronto Blue Jays
Hitting: The Blue Jays have struggled offensively, ranking 25th in runs scored (372) and 26th in hits (711). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the team with a .287 batting average, 13 home runs, and 53 RBIs, but the rest of the lineup needs to step up.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been slightly better, with a team ERA of 4.35, ranking 23rd. Consistency from the relievers will be key to support their starting pitchers.
Fielding: The Blue Jays have committed 53 errors this season, ranking 10th in the league. Solid defense will be necessary to back up their pitchers.
Starting Pitchers: Yariel Rodriguez, their probable starter, has shown promise with a 3.68 ERA. He will look to maintain his form and keep the Diamondbacks' potent offense in check.
Team Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | SP | Thu, Jul 11 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | LF | Thu, Jul 11 | Undisclosed | Probable for Jul 12 |
| Jordan Montgomery | SP | Thu, Jul 11 | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Jul 19 |
Toronto Blue Jays
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | SS | Thu, Jul 11 | Calf | Probable for Jul 12 |
| Daulton Varsho | LF | Thu, Jul 11 | Knee | Probable for Jul 12 |
Betting Trends
- Diamondbacks are 4-2 in their last 6 games.
- Diamondbacks are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
- Blue Jays are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
- Blue Jays are 4-6 in their last 10 road games.
- Diamondbacks have hit the over in 7 of their last 10 games.
- Blue Jays have hit the under in 6 of their last 10 games.
Recent Games
Arizona Diamondbacks
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Jul 10 | vs Atlanta | W7-5 | 46-47 | Thompson 5-3 | Jimenez 1-3 | Sewald 12 | 18020 |
| Tue, Jul 9 | vs Atlanta | L6-2 | 45-47 | Sale 12-3 | Gallen 6-5 | NaN | 21652 |
| Mon, Jul 8 | vs Atlanta | L5-4 F/11 | 45-46 | Iglesias 1-1 | Martinez 3-1 | Jimenez 2 | 20594 |
| Sun, Jul 7 | @ San Diego | W9-1 | 45-45 | Nelson 6-6 | Cease 7-8 | NaN | 41112 |
| Sat, Jul 6 | @ San Diego | W7-5 F/10 | 44-45 | Thompson 4-3 | Peralta 2-2 | Castellanos 1 | 44761 |
Toronto Blue Jays
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Jul 11 | @ San Francisco | W5-3 | 43-50 | Gausman 7-8 | Hicks 4-6 | Green 5 | 30064 |
| Wed, Jul 10 | @ San Francisco | W10-6 | 42-50 | Bassitt 8-7 | Webb 7-7 | NaN | 32014 |
| Tue, Jul 9 | @ San Francisco | L4-3 | 41-50 | Miller 3-2 | Richards 1-1 | NaN | 32924 |
| Sun, Jul 7 | @ Seattle | W5-4 F/10 | 41-49 | Green 2-1 | Snider 0-1 | Cabrera 2 | 34885 |
| Sat, Jul 6 | @ Seattle | W5-4 | 40-49 | Rodriguez 1-3 | Hancock 3-4 | Green 4 | 38264 |
Team Rankings
| Category | Arizona Diamondbacks | Toronto Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 8th | 26th |
| Starting Pitching | 29th | 23rd |
| Relief Pitching | 29th | 23rd |
| Fielding | 27th | 10th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Diamondbacks are 6-6 when Ryne Nelson starts.
- Blue Jays are 3-1 when Yariel Rodriguez starts.
- Diamondbacks have hit the over in 7 of their last 10 games.
- Blue Jays have hit the under in 6 of their last 10 games.
- Diamondbacks are 4-2 in their last 6 games.
- Blue Jays are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
- Diamondbacks are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
- Blue Jays are 4-6 in their last 10 road games.
- Diamondbacks rank 5th in runs scored this season.
- Blue Jays rank 25th in runs scored this season.
Weather
Mostly sunny with a high temperature of 114°F. The game will be played indoors at Chase Field, so weather conditions will not impact the game.
Prediction
Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks to cover -1.5 (+164)
Given the Diamondbacks' recent form and their stronger offensive capabilities, they have the edge over the struggling Blue Jays. Ryne Nelson has shown flashes of brilliance, and if he can deliver a solid performance, the Diamondbacks should be able to cover the spread. The Blue Jays' offensive struggles and inconsistent pitching further bolster this pick.
