MLB Spread Picks 2024: White Sox vs Royals 7/21

- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 20, 2024, 9:11:55 PM
MLB Spread Picks 2024: Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals 7/21
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Game Summary
The Chicago White Sox will take on the Kansas City Royals in an intriguing matchup on July 21 at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. The White Sox, currently holding a 53-45 record, are looking to strengthen their position in the standings. Meanwhile, the Royals, with a disappointing 27-72 record, aim to regain some pride and provide a challenge to their opponents.
The White Sox have been solid overall, particularly impressive at home with a 32-18 record. However, they've struggled slightly on the road with a 21-27 record. The Royals have had a tough season, especially on the road with a 10-38 record, and have fared slightly better at home with a 17-34 record.
On the mound, the White Sox will rely on their probable starting pitcher Seth Lugo, who has been one of the standout performers this season with an 11-4 record and a 2.48 ERA. The Royals will counter with Drew Thorpe, who has shown promise with a 3-1 record and a 3.58 ERA.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Betting Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 9.5 |
| Spreads | Chicago White Sox +1.5 (-110) | Kansas City Royals -1.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | Chicago White Sox +145 | Kansas City Royals -165 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Lugo (Chicago White Sox) | 11-4 | 2.48 | 116 |
| Drew Thorpe (Kansas City Royals) | 3-1 | 3.58 | 19 |
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Team Previews
Chicago White Sox
Hitting: The White Sox have showcased a solid offensive performance this season, ranking 11th in runs scored with 449 and hitting .247 as a team. Their lineup features key players like Bobby Witt Jr., who leads the team with a .328 batting average and 65 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been fairly reliable, with a combined ERA of 3.77, ranking 9th in the league. Closer statistics indicate that they have 24 saves, tied for 16th in the league.
Fielding: Defensively, the White Sox have committed 46 errors, which is tied for 23rd in MLB, an area they need to improve.
Starting Pitchers: The starting rotation has been a strength, led by Seth Lugo, who has been dominant with an 11-4 record and a 2.48 ERA. The rotation's overall performance has helped keep the team in many games.
Kansas City Royals
Hitting: The Royals have struggled offensively, ranking 30th in runs scored with only 314 and hitting .220 as a team. Andrew Vaughn is a standout performer, leading the team with a .235 average and 43 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been less reliable, with a combined ERA of 4.60, ranking 28th in the league. They have managed just 17 saves, tied for 29th in MLB.
Fielding: Defensively, the Royals have committed 57 errors, which is tied for 8th in MLB, showing some defensive lapses.
Starting Pitchers: The starting rotation has seen mixed results, but Drew Thorpe has shown promise with a 3-1 record and a 3.58 ERA, offering some hope for the future.
Team Injuries
Chicago White Sox
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Soroka | RP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 30 |
Kansas City Royals
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Melendez | LF | Ankle | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
Betting Trends
- White Sox are 11-4 in Seth Lugo's last 15 starts.
- Royals are 3-1 in Drew Thorpe's last 4 starts.
- White Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 games as an underdog.
- Royals are 2-8 in their last 10 home games.
- Under is 6-2 in White Sox's last 8 road games with a total set at 9.5.
- Over is 4-1 in Royals' last 5 home games against a team with a winning record.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.
- Royals are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win.
- White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 games versus a right-handed starter.
- Royals are 0-7 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Recent Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Kansas City | 1-7 | L |
| Thu, Jul 18 | vs Houston | 4-3 | W |
| Wed, Jul 17 | vs Houston | 2-5 | L |
| Tue, Jul 16 | vs Houston | 3-7 | L |
| Sun, Jul 14 | @ Oakland | 6-2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Chicago | 7-1 | W |
| Thu, Jul 18 | @ Detroit | 0-4 | L |
| Wed, Jul 17 | @ Detroit | 2-5 | L |
| Tue, Jul 16 | @ Detroit | 3-7 | L |
| Sun, Jul 14 | vs Texas | 6-7 | L |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Chicago White Sox | Kansas City Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 11th (.247 AVG) | 29th (.220 AVG) |
| Starting Pitching | 9th (3.77 ERA) | 28th (4.60 ERA) |
| Relief Pitching | 16th (24 saves) | 29th (17 saves) |
| Fielding | 23rd (46 errors) | 8th (57 errors) |
Significant Betting Stats
- White Sox are 11-4 in Seth Lugo's last 15 starts.
- Royals are 3-1 in Drew Thorpe's last 4 starts.
- White Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 games as an underdog.
- Royals are 2-8 in their last 10 home games.
- Under is 6-2 in White Sox's last 8 road games with a total set at 9.5.
- Over is 4-1 in Royals' last 5 home games against a team with a winning record.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.
- Royals are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win.
- White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 games versus a right-handed starter.
- Royals are 0-7 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Weather
Intermittent clouds, temperature around 78°F. Weather Forecast
Prediction
Pick: Chicago White Sox to cover +1.5
Considering the significant differences in team performance and pitching strength, the Chicago White Sox have a strong chance to cover the +1.5 spread. Seth Lugo has been outstanding on the mound, and the White Sox have shown resilience following losses. Meanwhile, the Royals have struggled both offensively and defensively throughout the season. The White Sox's solid hitting and relatively strong starting pitching should give them the edge in this matchup.
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