MLB Spread Picks 2024: Orioles vs Yankees 7/12
- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 11, 2024, 10:36:26 PM
© Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports
MLB Spread Picks 2024: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees 7/12
Game Summary
The Baltimore Orioles will host the New York Yankees on July 12, 2024, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. This matchup features two teams from the AL East that have been performing at a high level throughout the season. The Orioles, with a record of 57-36, are currently in a tight race for the top spot in their division. They have been strong both at home and on the road, boasting balanced performance across hitting, pitching, and fielding.
The Yankees, on the other hand, are not far behind with a 56-39 record. They have shown resilience and consistency, particularly in their ability to finish games strong. Both teams have key players who have been performing exceptionally well, with Gunnar Henderson leading the Orioles in batting average and home runs, while Aaron Judge continues to be a powerhouse for the Yankees.
The pitching matchup for this game will see Cade Povich (Baltimore) go up against Gerrit Cole (New York). Povich has struggled with a high ERA and limited wins, while Cole, despite a similar ERA, has a more favorable win-loss record. This game is expected to be a closely contested battle, with both teams looking to gain an edge in the standings.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 9.5 |
| Baltimore Orioles Spread | +1.5 (-146) |
| New York Yankees Spread | -1.5 (+122) |
| Baltimore Orioles Moneyline | +150 |
| New York Yankees Moneyline | -170 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Povich (BAL) | 1-3 | 6.51 | 18 |
| Gerrit Cole (NYY) | 1-1 | 6.75 | 19 |
Team Previews
Baltimore Orioles
Hitting: The Orioles are among the top hitting teams in the league, ranking 5th in hits with 811 and 2nd in runs scored with 466. Gunnar Henderson leads the team with a .288 batting average, 27 home runs, and 61 RBIs.
Starting Pitching: The starting rotation has been solid, with an overall ERA of 3.62, ranking 5th in the league. However, Cade Povich has struggled, posting a 6.51 ERA.
Relief Pitching: Baltimore's bullpen has been effective, accumulating 31 saves, which is 4th best in the league.
Fielding: The Orioles have committed 43 errors, which is relatively low, ranking them tied for 24th in the league.
New York Yankees
Hitting: The Yankees have a strong offense, ranking 11th in hits (774) and 1st in runs scored (469). Aaron Judge is the standout player with a .304 batting average, 32 home runs, and 83 RBIs.
Starting Pitching: The Yankees' starters have been impressive, with a 3.58 ERA, ranking 4th in the league. Gerrit Cole, despite his high ERA, remains a pivotal part of the rotation.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been reliable, with 26 saves, ranking tied for 8th in the league.
Fielding: New York has committed 56 errors, ranking tied for 6th, which indicates some defensive lapses.
Team Injuries
Baltimore Orioles
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Bradish | SP | Elbow | Out for the season |
New York Yankees
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton | DH | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Jul 23 |
| Lou Trivino | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
Betting Trends
- The Orioles are 50-41 against the spread this season.
- The Yankees are 47-46 against the spread this season.
- The Orioles are 19-10 in their last 29 games against the Yankees.
- The Yankees are 13-16 in their last 29 games on the road.
- The total has gone over in 7 of the Orioles' last 10 games.
- The total has gone under in 6 of the Yankees' last 10 games.
Recent Games
Baltimore Orioles
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Chicago | L9-2 | L |
| vs Chicago | L4-0 | L |
| vs Chicago | L8-0 | L |
| @ Oakland | W6-3 | W |
| @ Oakland | L19-8 | L |
New York Yankees
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Tampa Bay | L5-4 | L |
| @ Tampa Bay | W2-1 | W |
| @ Tampa Bay | L5-4 | L |
| vs Boston | W14-4 | W |
| vs Boston | L5-3 | L |
Team Rankings
| Category | Baltimore Orioles | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 5th | 11th |
| Starting Pitching | 5th | 4th |
| Relief Pitching | 4th | Tied-8th |
| Fielding | Tied-24th | Tied-6th |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Orioles have covered the spread in 55% of their games this season.
- The Yankees have covered the spread in 51% of their games this season.
- The total has gone over in 55% of Orioles' games this season.
- The total has gone under in 55% of Yankees' games this season.
- The Orioles have a winning percentage of 64% at home this season.
- The Yankees have a winning percentage of 57% on the road this season.
- The Orioles have an average of 5.1 runs per game this season.
- The Yankees have an average of 4.9 runs per game this season.
- The Orioles' bullpen has an ERA of 3.62 this season.
- The Yankees' bullpen has an ERA of 3.58 this season.
Weather
The weather forecast for Baltimore on July 12, 2024, shows a high possibility of thunderstorms with a temperature around 78°F. This could impact both teams' strategies, particularly in terms of pitching and fielding.
Prediction
Pick: New York Yankees to cover -1.5
The Yankees have shown a stronger overall performance with a better road record and a slightly superior bullpen. Although the Orioles have been formidable at home, the current form and the presence of Gerrit Cole on the mound gives the Yankees an edge. With the Orioles' recent struggles and Povich's high ERA, the Yankees covering the spread at -1.5 presents a more favorable betting option.
