MLB Spread Picks 2024: Orioles vs Cubs 7/11

MLB Spread Picks 2024: Orioles vs Cubs 7/11

MLB Spread Picks 2024: Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago Cubs 7/11

Game Summary

The Baltimore Orioles are set to face the Chicago Cubs on July 11 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. The Orioles, currently sitting at an impressive 57-34, are positioned near the top of their division. Their home record of 29-18 underscores their dominance at Camden Yards. On the other hand, the Cubs come into the game with a less stellar record of 43-49. However, their recent form shows a spark of resilience, especially after their recent win over the Orioles.

Both teams have shown different strengths and weaknesses throughout the season. The Orioles are among the top in hitting and pitching, while the Cubs have had a more turbulent season. This game will feature a starting pitching matchup between Albert Suarez for the Orioles and Justin Steele for the Cubs. Suarez has been impressive with a 2.48 ERA and a 5-2 record, while Steele has a respectable 2.95 ERA but a less favorable 1-3 win-loss record. This game promises to be an exciting contest between two teams with different trajectories this season.

 

Odds and Betting Lines

Betting Market Odds
Baltimore Orioles -1.5 +160
Chicago Cubs +1.5 -194

 

Pitching Probables

Pitcher W-L ERA Strikeouts
Albert Suarez (BAL) 5-2 2.48 51
Justin Steele (CHC) 1-3 2.95 77

 

Team Previews

Baltimore Orioles

Hitting: The Orioles have been stellar at the plate, accumulating 802 hits and 466 runs, ranking 4th and 2nd in the league respectively. Their batting average stands at .255, which is 7th in the league. Gunnar Henderson leads the team with a .293 batting average, 27 home runs, and 61 RBIs.

Relief Pitching: Baltimore's bullpen has been solid, boasting 31 saves, the 4th best in the league. Key relievers like Craig Kimbrel have been reliable in closing out games.

Fielding: The Orioles have committed 43 errors, placing them 24th in the league. Fielding could be an area of concern going forward.

Starting Pitchers: The starting rotation has been formidable with a collective ERA of 3.61, ranking 5th in the league. Albert Suarez has been a standout with a 2.48 ERA.

 

Chicago Cubs

Hitting: The Cubs' offense has struggled, with a batting average of .230 and only 701 hits, ranking 26th and 25th respectively. Michael Busch leads the team with a .273 batting average, while Christopher Morel has hit 15 home runs.

Relief Pitching: The Cubs' bullpen has recorded 21 saves, ranking them tied-18th in the league. They will need to improve to compete with top-tier teams.

Fielding: Chicago has committed 51 errors, ranking them tied-12th in the league. Their fielding has been a mixed bag this season.

Starting Pitchers: The Cubs' starting rotation has a collective ERA of 3.89, which is 13th in the league. Justin Steele has been a bright spot with a 2.95 ERA despite a 1-3 record.

 

Team Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Corbin Martin RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12

 

Chicago Cubs

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Caleb Kilian RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
Adbert Alzolay RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 1

 

Betting Trends

  • The Orioles are 50-41 against the spread this season.
  • The Cubs are 40-52 against the spread this season.
  • The Orioles have hit the over in 46 of their 91 games.
  • The Cubs have hit the over in 41 of their 92 games.

 

Recent Games

Team Opponent Score W/L
Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles 6-3 W
Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago 2-9 L
Chicago Cubs @ Baltimore 9-2 W

 

Team Rankings

Category Baltimore Orioles Chicago Cubs
Hitting 4th 25th
Starting Pitching 5th 13th
Relief Pitching 4th 18th
Fielding 24th 12th

 

Significant Betting Stats

  • The Orioles are 10-3 in their last 13 home games.
  • The Cubs are 5-10 in their last 15 road games.
  • The Orioles have covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games.
  • The Cubs are 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 games.
  • The Orioles' games have gone under the total in 8 of their last 12 games.
  • The Cubs' games have gone over the total in 6 of their last 10 games.
  • Albert Suarez has a 2.48 ERA at home this season.
  • Justin Steele has a 3.10 ERA on the road this season.
  • The Orioles are 5-1 in Suarez's last 6 starts.
  • The Cubs are 1-4 in Steele's last 5 starts.

 

Weather

Mostly sunny with a high of 92°F. Weather Link

 

Prediction

Pick: Baltimore Orioles to cover -1.5

The Baltimore Orioles have been one of the most consistent teams this season, especially at home. With Albert Suarez on the mound, they have a significant advantage over the Cubs' struggling offense. The Cubs have been inconsistent, particularly on the road. Given the Orioles' strong overall performance and the Cubs' inconsistent play, the Orioles are well-positioned to cover the -1.5 spread.

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Photo Credit: © Mitch Stringer-USA TODAY Sports

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