MLB Spread Matchups: Tigers vs Blue Jays (7/21)
- A Plus Picks
- Jul 20, 2024, 9:02:52 PM
© Kevin Sousa-USA TODAY Sports
MLB Spread Matchups: Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays (7/21)
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Game Summary
The Detroit Tigers will take on the Toronto Blue Jays at the Rogers Centre on July 21. The Tigers are currently holding a record of 44-53, struggling in both hitting and pitching aspects. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays, with a record of 48-50, are looking to bounce back from their recent losses and capitalize on their home-field advantage. Both teams are in the middle of the pack in their respective divisions, making this a critical game for playoff aspirations.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 9.5 |
| Detroit Tigers Spread | +1.5 (-164) |
| Toronto Blue Jays Spread | -1.5 (+136) |
| Detroit Tigers Moneyline | +120 |
| Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline | -140 |
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Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman (DET) | 7-8 | 4.50 | 104 |
| Keider Montero (TOR) | 1-2 | 5.47 | 23 |
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Team Previews
Detroit Tigers
Hitting: The Tigers have struggled offensively this season, ranking 25th in hits (755) and 25th in runs (394). Their team batting average is .236, which is 20th in the league. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the team with a .288 batting average, 15 home runs, and 57 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: Detroit's bullpen has been average, with 23 saves (19th) and a team ERA of 4.45 (25th). They have committed 56 errors, ranking 10th in the league.
Fielding: The Tigers' defense has been subpar, with 56 errors ranking them 10th in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Kevin Gausman has been a bright spot with a 7-8 record and 4.50 ERA, but the rest of the rotation has struggled.
Toronto Blue Jays
Hitting: The Blue Jays are slightly better offensively, with 770 hits (21st) and 418 runs (16th). They have a team batting average of .234, ranking 25th. Riley Greene leads the team with a .271 batting average, 17 home runs, and 51 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: Toronto's bullpen has been solid, with 22 saves (21st) and a team ERA of 3.95 (14th). They have committed 59 errors, ranking 6th in the league.
Fielding: The Blue Jays' fielding is better than average, with 59 errors ranking them 6th in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Keider Montero has struggled with a 5.47 ERA and a 1-2 record, but the rest of the rotation has been decent.
Team Injuries
Detroit Tigers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Meadows | CF | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Jul 20 |
Toronto Blue Jays
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 2B | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Jul 20 |
| Bo Bichette | SS | Calf | Expected to be out until at least Jul 30 |
| Nate Pearson | RP | Illness | Expected to be out until at least Jul 21 |
Betting Trends
- Detroit Tigers are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
- Toronto Blue Jays are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- Detroit Tigers are 21-25 at home this season.
- Toronto Blue Jays are 24-24 on the road this season.
Recent Games
Detroit Tigers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Toronto | W 5-4 | W |
| @ Cleveland | L 3-4 | L |
| vs Minnesota | W 7-6 | W |
| @ Chicago | L 2-3 | L |
| @ Seattle | W 4-3 | W |
Toronto Blue Jays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Detroit | L 4-5 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | W 5-3 | W |
| vs Texas | L 2-4 | L |
| @ Baltimore | W 6-1 | W |
| @ New York | L 1-5 | L |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Detroit Tigers | Toronto Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 25th | 21st |
| Starting Pitching | 25th | 14th |
| Relief Pitching | 19th | 21st |
| Fielding | 10th | 6th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Detroit Tigers are 48-50 ATS this season.
- Toronto Blue Jays are 49-48 ATS this season.
- Detroit Tigers games have gone over the total in 54 of 41 opportunities.
- Toronto Blue Jays games have gone over the total in 49 of 44 opportunities.
- Detroit Tigers are 21-25 at home this season.
- Toronto Blue Jays are 24-24 on the road this season.
- Kevin Gausman has a 4.50 ERA this season.
- Keider Montero has a 5.47 ERA this season.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Tigers in batting average, home runs, and RBIs.
- Riley Greene leads the Blue Jays in batting average, home runs, and RBIs.
Weather
The game will be held indoors at the Rogers Centre, so weather conditions will not be a factor.
Prediction
Pick: Detroit Tigers +1.5 (-164)
The Detroit Tigers have shown the ability to keep games close on the road, and with Kevin Gausman on the mound, they have a solid chance to cover the spread. The Blue Jays have struggled recently, and although they have home-field advantage, the Tigers' recent form gives them the edge in this matchup.
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