MLB Spread Market: Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals 7/21

 

Game Summary

The Atlanta Braves will take on the St. Louis Cardinals at Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia on July 21. This matchup features the Braves, currently 53-42, who are vying for a stronger position in the league standings. The Braves have been solid at home with a 29-17 record. Their counterpart, the Cardinals, hold a 50-46 record and have been quite balanced on the road with a 24-24 record. This game is crucial for both teams as they look to solidify their playoff aspirations.

Spencer Schwellenbach is expected to start for the Braves. Schwellenbach has a 3-4 record with a 4.43 ERA over 44.2 innings pitched. He will face Miles Mikolas of the Cardinals, who has a 7-8 record with a 5.13 ERA over 112.1 innings. Mikolas has struggled this season, allowing 119 hits and 17 home runs, but he remains a formidable presence on the mound.

Offensively, the Braves are led by Marcell Ozuna, who boasts a .303 batting average, 26 home runs, and 77 RBIs. Ozuna’s power-hitting has been a significant factor in the Braves’ success this season. On the other side, Alec Burleson of the Cardinals leads his team with a .288 batting average, while Nolan Gorman has contributed 17 home runs and 53 RBIs.

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Odds and Betting Lines

Market	Odds
Over/Under	9.5
Atlanta Braves Spread	-1.5
St. Louis Cardinals Spread	+1.5
Atlanta Braves Moneyline	-126
St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline	+152

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Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts	Innings Pitched
Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL)	3-4	4.43	41	44.2
Miles Mikolas (STL)	7-8	5.13	77	112.1

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Team Previews

Atlanta Braves

Hitting: The Braves rank 20th in hits (774) and 22nd in runs scored (407). Their team batting average is .241, ranking 17th in the league. Marcell Ozuna’s offensive prowess has been a bright spot for the Braves.

Relief Pitching: The Braves’ bullpen has recorded 26 saves, ranking 10th in the league. Their overall ERA stands at an impressive 3.40, the best in the league.

Fielding: The Braves have committed 39 errors, ranking them 30th in the league. While their fielding has been an area of concern, their pitching has often bailed them out.

Starting Pitchers: Spencer Schwellenbach has been steady with a 4.43 ERA and 41 strikeouts over 44.2 innings. His WHIP of 1.16 shows his ability to limit baserunners.

 

St. Louis Cardinals

Hitting: The Cardinals rank 15th in hits (799) and 24th in runs (398). Their team batting average is .245, which places them 13th in the league. Alec Burleson and Nolan Gorman have been key contributors.

Relief Pitching: The Cardinals’ bullpen leads the league with 35 saves. Their team ERA is 4.02, ranking 16th in the league, indicating some inconsistency in pitching.

Fielding: The Cardinals have committed 46 errors, ranking 23rd in the league. Defensive lapses have occasionally cost them crucial games.

Starting Pitchers: Miles Mikolas has struggled with a 5.13 ERA and 17 home runs allowed. His WHIP of 1.22 suggests he allows too many baserunners.

 

Team Injuries

Atlanta Braves

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Tyler Matzek	RP	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
Jimmy Herget	RP	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
Hurston Waldrep	SP	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Jul 20

 

St. Louis Cardinals

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Steven Matz	SP	Back	Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
Tommy Edman	2B	Wrist	Expected to be out until at least Jul 29

 

Betting Trends

• Braves are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• Cardinals are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
• Braves have a 29-17 home record.
• Cardinals have a 24-24 road record.
• Braves' last 5 games have gone under the total in 3 instances.
• Cardinals’ last 5 games have gone over the total in 2 instances.
• Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 home games against the Cardinals.
• Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 road games against the Braves.
• Braves are 5-2 in their last 7 games against right-handed starters.
• Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 games against left-handed starters.

 

Recent Games

Team	Opponent	Score	W/L
Braves	@ Nationals	4-1	W
Braves	vs Marlins	2-5	L
Braves	@ Cubs	6-4	W
Braves	@ Cubs	3-2	W
Braves	vs Marlins	1-3	L
Cardinals	vs Pirates	5-6	L
Cardinals	@ Reds	4-3	W
Cardinals	@ Reds	2-1	W
Cardinals	vs Brewers	7-8	L
Cardinals	vs Brewers	1-3	L

 

Team Rankings

Team	Hitting	Starting Pitching	Relief Pitching	Fielding
Braves	20th	1st	10th	30th
Cardinals	15th	16th	1st	23rd

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Significant Betting Stats

• Braves are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• Cardinals are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
• Braves have a 29-17 home record.
• Cardinals have a 24-24 road record.
• Braves’ last 5 games have gone under the total in 3 instances.
• Cardinals’ last 5 games have gone over the total in 2 instances.
• Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 home games against the Cardinals.
• Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 road games against the Braves.
• Braves are 5-2 in their last 7 games against right-handed starters.
• Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 games against left-handed starters.

 

Weather

The weather forecast for the game at Truist Park predicts intermittent clouds with a temperature of 79°F. The weather conditions should not significantly impact gameplay.

 

Prediction

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