MLB Spread Handicapping: Red Sox vs Athletics 7/10

MLB Spread Handicapping: Red Sox vs Athletics 7/10

MLB Spread Handicapping: Boston Red Sox vs Oakland Athletics 7/10

 

Game Summary

The Boston Red Sox are set to host the Oakland Athletics at Fenway Park on July 10. This game features two teams on different trajectories this season. The Red Sox have been consistent and competitive, boasting a record of 49-40, and are currently ranked third in the competitive AL East division. They have been playing well both at home and on the road, with a slightly better away record standing at 29-17 compared to their home record of 20-23. The team's offense has been robust, ranked 9th in hits and 9th in batting average (.252), spearheaded by stars like Rafael Devers who leads the team with a .293 batting average and 21 home runs.

On the other hand, the Oakland Athletics have struggled significantly this season, with a record of 34-58 placing them at the bottom of the AL West division. Their offensive struggles are evident, ranking 28th in both hits and batting average (.224). Brent Rooker has been one of the few bright spots for the Athletics, leading the team with a .278 average, 18 home runs, and 54 RBIs. The Athletics’ pitching has also been an issue, with a team ERA of 4.34, ranked 23rd in the league.

The pitching matchup for this game features Nick Pivetta for the Red Sox and JP Sears for the Athletics. Pivetta has had a decent season with a 4-5 record and a 4.06 ERA, while Sears has struggled with a 5-7 record and a 4.74 ERA. This game will be crucial for both teams; Boston will look to strengthen their playoff push, while Oakland will aim to salvage some pride and build momentum for the remainder of the season.

 

Odds and Betting Lines

Market Odds
Boston Red Sox Spread -1.5
Oakland Athletics Spread +1.5
Boston Red Sox Moneyline -100
Oakland Athletics Moneyline +120
Over/Under 8.5

 

Pitching Probables

Pitcher W-L ERA Strikeouts
Nick Pivetta (BOS) 4-5 4.06 78
JP Sears (OAK) 5-7 4.74 68

 

Team Previews

Boston Red Sox

Hitting: The Red Sox lineup has been productive this season, ranked 9th in hits and 13th in runs scored. Rafael Devers has been a key contributor with a .293 average, 21 home runs, and 55 RBIs.

Relief Pitching: The Boston bullpen has been solid, with a team ERA of 3.61, ranked 7th in the league. They have also accumulated 24 saves, tied for 12th in MLB.

Fielding: The Red Sox have committed 67 errors, the highest in the league, which is an area they need to improve.

Starting Pitchers: Nick Pivetta has been decent, with a 4-5 record and a 4.06 ERA. His WHIP of 1.14 and 78 strikeouts in 68.2 innings show that he can be effective.

Oakland Athletics

Hitting: The Athletics have struggled offensively, ranked 28th in hits and batting average. Brent Rooker has been the standout performer with a .278 average, 18 home runs, and 54 RBIs.

Relief Pitching: Oakland's bullpen has been one of the worst in the league with a team ERA of 4.34, ranked 23rd.

Fielding: The Athletics have committed 57 errors, ranked 4th in the league, which has contributed to their poor performance.

Starting Pitchers: JP Sears has had a tough season with a 5-7 record and a 4.74 ERA. His WHIP of 1.27 and 68 strikeouts in 95 innings indicate he has struggled to contain hitters.

 

Team Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Vaughn Grissom 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 29

Oakland Athletics

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Paul Blackburn SP Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 24

 

Betting Trends

  • Boston is 6-4 in their last 10 games.
  • Oakland is 3-7 in their last 10 games.
  • Boston is 5-5 against the spread in their last 10 games.
  • Oakland is 4-6 against the spread in their last 10 games.
  • The total has gone over in 6 of Boston’s last 10 games.
  • The total has gone over in 5 of Oakland’s last 10 games.

 

Recent Games

Boston Red Sox

Opponent Score W/L
@ New York Yankees W 3-0 W
@ New York Yankees L 14-4 L
@ New York Yankees W 5-3 W
@ Miami Marlins W 6-5 W
@ Miami Marlins W 7-2 W

Oakland Athletics

Opponent Score W/L
vs Baltimore Orioles L 6-3 L
vs Baltimore Orioles W 19-8 W
vs Baltimore Orioles L 3-2 L
vs Los Angeles Angels W 5-0 W
vs Los Angeles Angels W 5-0 W

 

Team Rankings

Category Boston Red Sox Oakland Athletics
Hitting 9th 28th
Starting Pitching 7th 23rd
Relief Pitching 12th 27th
Fielding 1st 4th

 

Significant Betting Stats

  • Boston is 15-8 in games where Nick Pivetta starts.
  • Oakland is 8-15 in games where JP Sears starts.
  • The total has gone over in 18 of Boston’s 40 home games.
  • The total has gone over in 17 of Oakland’s 25 road games.
  • Boston is 7-3 in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record.
  • Oakland is 3-7 in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record.
  • Boston’s bullpen has a 3.61 ERA, 7th in the league.
  • Oakland’s bullpen has a 4.34 ERA, 23rd in the league.
  • Boston has committed the most errors in the league with 67.
  • Oakland has committed 57 errors, ranked 4th in the league.

 

Weather

The weather forecast for the game at Fenway Park on July 10 is sunny with a temperature of 84°F. The conditions are ideal for a baseball game, with no expected interruptions.

 

Prediction

Pick: Boston Red Sox to cover -1.5

The Boston Red Sox should be able to handle the Oakland Athletics comfortably in this matchup. With Nick Pivetta on the mound, who has been reliable throughout the season, and their potent offense led by Rafael Devers, the Red Sox have the upper hand. The Athletics have struggled both offensively and defensively, and JP Sears has not been consistent enough to trust against a strong lineup like Boston's. Considering the Red Sox's recent form and Oakland's struggles, Boston covering the -1.5 spread appears to be the best bet.

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Photo Credit: © David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

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